Nerd's Eye View

JANUARY 3, 2024

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. The key point is that, given the current economic uncertainty, there are several ways that advisors can help clients prepare for potential downturns.

Economics 246

Economics Marketing Marketing Economy 246

Calculated Risk

JULY 28, 2022

percent in the second quarter of 2022, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2022 (Advance Estimate) Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.9 In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 1.6

Government 333

Government Economics Investing Investments 333

Calculated Risk

MARCH 4, 2025

This report is for private payrolls only (no government). At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. The consensus is for 140,000 payroll jobs added in February, down from 183,000 added in January.

Government 147

Government Banking Economics 147

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 4, 2023

And even though numerous signs are pointing to the looming possibility of a more widespread economic downturn – including the reduction of household savings, reduced lending, and the resumption of student loan payments for many borrowers – the job market remains strong. And even though U.S.

Valuation 246

Valuation Economics Economy Marketing 246

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 13, 2024

(rogersplanning.blogspot.com) Cities Detroit is experiencing an economic rebound. nytimes.com) Portland, Oregon's government is in turmoil. advisorperspectives.com) Many Americans don't have a good grasp of how government actually works. vox.com) Economic warfare doesn't work out how you would think. reason.com) The U.S.

Financial Advising 278

Financial Advising Government Economics Media 278

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 3, 2024

This report is for private payrolls only (no government). At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. . • At 8:15 AM, The ADP Employment Report for November. The consensus is for 166,000 jobs added, down from 233,000 in October. •

Government 162

Government Banking Economics 162

Calculated Risk

JULY 28, 2022

percent in the second quarter of 2022, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Of course - with the sudden economic stop due to COVID-19 - the usual pattern didn't apply. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 1.6 So, the usual pattern - both into and out of recessions is - red, green, blue.

Investing 352

Investing Investments Government Commission 352

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 23, 2023

The US government? This goes back to Grover Norquists ‘ idea that the government should be made so small it could be “ drowned in a bathtub.” 1 Instead of being financially secure and the strongest country economically by far, we have created an unforced error that weakens us over the long term.

Government 334

Government Economics Taxes Budgeting 334

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 8, 2024

riabiz.com) Policy Government agencies, like the BLS, revise data all the time. econbrowser.com) The Fed is always dealing with economic crosscurrents. tker.co) Why economic data is iffier: lower response rates. apolloacademy.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. carsongroup.com) Employment growth is slowing.

Marketing 278

Marketing Marketing Financial Advising Economics 278

Trade Brains

OCTOBER 28, 2024

This alliance has the potential to challenge established power structures, particularly in global economic governance. By facilitating transactions in local currencies, it promotes economic cooperation among member states. In addition, adopting a BRICS currency aligns with India’s broader economic strategy.

Economics 111

Economics Economy Government Investments 111

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 28, 2023

percent in the second quarter of 2023 , according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The increase in real GDP reflected increases in nonresidential fixed investment, consumer spending, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by a decrease in exports. percent (revised).

Economics 312

Economics Government Accounting Investing 312

Calculated Risk

JUNE 29, 2023

percent in the first quarter of 2023 , according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The updated estimates primarily reflected upward revisions to exports and consumer spending that were partly offset by downward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment and federal government spending.

Government 266

Government Economics Investing Investments 266

Mish Talk

DECEMBER 10, 2022

There is a single 10-year government bond. The ECB also treats all sovereign bank debt within the Eurozone as equal, and with no risk. The market disagrees and so do I. ECB vs Fed In the US there is one Central Bank. The Eurozone has the ECB to set interest rate policy, but each nation has its own central bank.

Economics 218

Economics Banking Government Numbers 218

Abnormal Returns

JULY 14, 2024

wsj.com) Why Medicare Advantage costs the government more the traditional Medicare. nbcnews.com) Economy An economic soft landing is still on track. dallasfed.org) The economic schedule for the coming week. (on.ft.com) How Polymarket became the go-to election prediction market.

Financial Advising 262

Financial Advising Economics Government Media 262

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 9, 2022

While education and healthcare projects slowed in November, the institutional component remained net-positive alongside a robust increase in planning projects for government administrative buildings and religious facilities. The rate of increase in the DMI, however, has steadied over the month.

Healthcare 358

Healthcare Education Planning Government 358

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 26, 2023

percent in the fourth quarter of 2022 , according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Within federal government spending, the increase was led by nondefense spending. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 3.2 Within goods, the leading contributor was motor vehicles and parts.

Government 246

Government Transportation Commission Manufacturing 246

Abnormal Returns

JANUARY 14, 2024

washingtonpost.com) Measuring economic inequality is harder than it looks. vox.com) Threats of violence against elected officials and government officials are on the rise. papers.ssrn.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. washingtonpost.com) The number of American centenarians is set to quadruple.

Financial Advising 289

Financial Advising Engineering Food Economics 289

Advisor Perspectives

SEPTEMBER 6, 2023

government debt is risk free. Every economic and financial textbook, media outlet, and bond guru says so. Investors believe that U.S. Why shouldn't they?

Government 98

Government Media Economics 98

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 30, 2024

npr.org) The debate is on about government drinking guidelines. calculatedriskblog.com) The economic schedule for the upcoming holiday-shortened week. (downtownjoshbrown.com) Policy The Supreme Court has overturned the Chevron doctrine. axios.com) Cities can now punish the homeless for sleeping in public places.

Financial Advising 301

Financial Advising Government Media Economy 301

Calculated Risk

MARCH 7, 2023

This report is for private payrolls only (no government). House Financial Services Committee • At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. At 8:15 AM, The ADP Employment Report for February.

Financial Services 260

Financial Services Government Banking Economics 260

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 18, 2024

slate.com) Global Japan's government bond yields now exceed China's. semafor.com) This year's Nobel Prize winners in Economics did not come with universal acclaim. (tomtunguz.com) Data centers are reaching some size limits. semafor.com) Automattic Automattic is in turmoil. wsj.com) How donor fatigue is affecting Ukraine's defense.

Assets 278

Assets Financial Advising Communication Banking 278

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 30, 2024

This report is for private payrolls only (no government). 2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. -- Thursday, December 5th -- 8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 55.5,

Manufacturing 162

Manufacturing Sales Government Banking 162

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 4, 2025

Other key indicators include the November Trade Deficit and November Job Openings. -- Monday, January 6th -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Tuesday, January 7th -- 8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for November from the Census Bureau. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). This graph shows the U.S.

Government 147

Government Economics 147

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 28, 2023

I just watch the government and report the facts.” Will Rogers As you’ve probably heard by now, the government is on the brink of shutting down unless Congress connects on a Hail Mary to pass a dozen spending bills before the September 30 funding deadline. Here are ten things to know about a potential government shutdown.

Government 105

Government Banking Food Marketing 105

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 24, 2022

Last week’s purchase results varied, with conventional applications declining 2 percent and government applications increasing 4 percent, which is potentially a sign of more first-time homebuyer activity. Mortgage rates increased for all loan types last week, with the benchmark 30-year fixed rate jumping 20 basis points to 5.65

Government 353

Government Economics Marketing Marketing 353

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 7, 2022

morningstar.com) Corporate governance only works if shares actually get voted. politico.com) How friendships across economic classes affect income mobility. theconversation.com) Economics Putting the July NFP into some historical perspective. mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

Financial Advising 246

Financial Advising Economics Food Manufacturing 246

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 31, 2023

bloomberg.com) Policy More of government should work like Operation Warp Speed. nytimes.com) Economy The economic graph of 2023. wsj.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (avc.com) Health care In a study, private equity-owned hospitals have higher rates of serious medical complications.

Financial Advising 284

Financial Advising Medical Economy Economics 284

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 18, 2024

nytimes.com) Covid demonstrated what the federal government can do to support people. apolloacademy.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (axios.com) Mass deportation wouldn't accomplish what advocates think it would. noahpinion.blog) We need better means for legal immigration. But they aren’t falling apart."

Financial Advising 277

Financial Advising Taxes Government Media 277

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 26, 2022

Fed Chair Powell speaks on the economic outlook, inflation and the labor market on Thursday. -- Monday, November 28th -- 10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for November. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). 8:15 AM: The ADP Employment Report for November. The consensus is for a 5.0%

Manufacturing 313

Manufacturing Sales Economics Banking 313

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 26, 2023

percent in the third quarter of 2023 , according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. These movements were partly offset by a downturn in nonresidential fixed investment and a deceleration in state and local government spending. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.1 Imports turned up.

Government 220

Government Financial Services Food Retail 220

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 8, 2023

nytimes.com) Policy Is there a viable fix for the recurrent threat of a government shutdown? wsj.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (nytimes.com) Immigrants often work to clean up after natural disasters with little thought to their protection. grist.org) How Chicago became a magnet for Venezuelan migrants.

Financial Advising 297

Financial Advising Economy Government Media 297

The Big Picture

JULY 21, 2023

@TBPInvictus here; Let’s cut to the chase : A popular video on YouTube claims the poor are much less poor than the official statistics suggest because those statistics ignore government welfare programs like Food Stamps and Aid to Dependant Children and lots of other safety net programs. It is untrue. ” Was this ignorance?

Math 246

Math Government Economics Valuation 246

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 9, 2024

“In the wake of stronger economic data last week, including the September jobs report, mortgage rates moved higher, with the 30-year fixed rate rising to 6.36 percent – the highest since August,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s SVP and Chief Economist.

Government 321

Government Economics Marketing Marketing 321

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 3, 2023

(theatlantic.com) Not every government in the world is getting older. theweek.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. semafor.com) More Indian boarding schools have been identified. washingtonpost.com) Economy The U.S. labor market is slowing. disciplinefunds.com) The case against further Fed tightening.

Math 264

Math Financial Advising Advertising Distribution 264

Abnormal Returns

NOVEMBER 22, 2023

om.co) The OpenAI fiasco highlights the importance of corporate governance. bonddad.blogspot.com) Economic growth is running around 2%. (bigtechnology.com) Om Malik, "If you are a startup, an organization, or a large company, you need to learn from the past five days [at OpenAI] and start building resilience in your product plans."

Financial Advising 264

Financial Advising Startup Media Economy 264

Calculated Risk

APRIL 25, 2024

percent in the first quarter of 2024 , according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The increase in state and local government spending reflected an increase in compensation of state and local government employees. In the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP increased 3.4 Imports accelerated.

Government 189

Government Commission Financial Services Manufacturing 189

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 14, 2022

percent – which is essentially double what it was a year ago,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. Government loans, which tend to be favored by first-time buyers, bucked this trend and increased over the week, driven mainly by VA and USDA lending activity.”

Government 319

Government Economics Marketing Marketing 319