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Let’s delve into a case in point of Coase’s theorem: If you wanted to peddle the narrative that government spending is out of control, you might present a chart like the one above, which is an exact replica of a chart that appeared recently in a piece of research from a major Wall St. investment firm. How can this be?
@TBPInvictus here; Let’s cut to the chase : A popular video on YouTube claims the poor are much less poor than the official statistics suggest because those statistics ignore government welfare programs like Food Stamps and Aid to Dependant Children and lots of other safety net programs. It is untrue. ” Was this ignorance?
The US government? This goes back to Grover Norquists ‘ idea that the government should be made so small it could be “ drowned in a bathtub.” 1 Instead of being financially secure and the strongest country economically by far, we have created an unforced error that weakens us over the long term.
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. The leading economic indicators show the U.S. The government is trying to suppress it. (
What it shows is that consumers are not going to eat the full cost increase from these tariffs and that other factors (like government cuts) are starting to bleed into broader consumption data. Even some of the most Liberal economists in the world like Paul Krugman will tell you that the government shouldn’t meddle in trade.
Despite this, there are still some circles of the economic world that claim Monetary Policy has no impact or stranger yet, some say higher rates actually push inflation UP. The only people who say interest rates have had no material impact on economic growth are Americans. And another $8T is held by foreign governments.
3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: International Trade in Goods. Source: Investor’s Business Daily, Econoday economic calendar; January 5, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Math errors: Simple addition and subtraction mistakes can delay your return. News of unemployment remaining steady at 3.7%
Someone do the math for me. Governments can do nothing about this. How much will Michael Saylor be worth? Oh, one more small thing. It's guaranteed. The Crypto Crash and Why It's Impossible For "You!" to Cash Out In case you missed it, please understand that it will be impossible for "You!"
And so, coming out of school, I studied Economics and Spanish Literature, and I applied to a — a program that actually targeted Liberal Arts majors. I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. It was at Bank One, at the time.
You have privacy and governance requirements, HIPAA requirements, whatever they are. This idea is a bipartisan piece of legislation where the federal government will seed a private investment account for every child born in America. So the federal government seeds, it, it’s a tiny investment by the federal government, 3.7
The topics covered are personal finance math, retirement problems, introduction to mutual funds, the concept of fund & NAV, equity schemes, debt funds, investing in bonds, index funds, rolling returns, Exchange-traded funds(ETF) and basics of macroeconomics.
Math Matters. I did okay in school and was educated on many different topics, including the basic principle that math matters. Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Source: Calafia Beach Pundit. This notion rings especially true when it comes to finance and investing. interest rates.
RITHOLTZ: But did the oversight, the governance get it? SEIDES: The success of that governance. SEIDES: Yeah, I wouldn’t measure it in terms of economic returns. RITHOLTZ: So hold the duration risk aside with those two, but just for an investor in treasuries, I know you’ve done the math before. RITHOLTZ: Okay.
it had grown so influential, and had become so widely accepted, that it was less a hypothesis than a commandment from God in heaven passed down through his economic prophet of the Windy City. The math showed it was inevitable that a few traders would stand out, but that didn't mean they had skill. I'm not aware of anyone else.
I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. And clearly the banking system wasn’t free fall, but the government was there with, you know, the big RTC bailout and it didn’t feel like the world was falling apart. I have no family history.
We discount each year at our 10% minimum weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and some infinite series maths gives us the basis for some rough approximations 2. Hence, in aggregate we are more sensitive to rising interest rates than any 10-year bond but less than a 30-year 3% coupon government bond at par. GAAP in 2002 7.
The New Normal It is difficult for investors and individuals alike not to have been directly impacted by the rapid rise in inflation in 2021 and 2022, the succeeding interest rate hikes by global central banks and the ensuing effects these economic events have had on financial markets, including the mortgage market.
And when I was studying in university economics, I did not really get the passion. The passion came when I went to invest the country’s foreign exchange reserves there and it was very much global government bond markets. So, thinking about macro picture. RITHOLTZ: Right. That makes a lot of sense. You mentioned free lunch.
on.ft.com) What it took to rebuild Notre Dame (nytimes.com) Budgeting The math on any additional tax cuts is tough. advisorperspectives.com) The government isn't a business, and shouldn't be run like one. donmoynihan.substack.com) Climate policy IS economic policy. nytimes.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.
Why has technology developed the way it has and, more or less, exempt from a lot of government regulations or protected by government regulations? ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math.
You graduate Harvard in 1990, with an Economics and Computer Science degree, perfect for the explosion of the Internet; a PhD from MIT and Information Technology in ‘96. Unless we really course correct very hard, very dramatically, and by dramatically, I mean, the level of government activation that we had in World War II.
In doing so, I thought this conversation was really quite fascinating, and I think you will also, especially if you’re not only interested in equity, but curious as to how to combine various aspects of market functions, valuation, economic cycle, fed actions into one coherent strategy. But generally starts with the economic cycle.
So as much as I’m personally still a pretty strong skeptic of active management, I mean, I understand the math, and the odds are not in your favor. I read all those academic papers, I understand where the math comes from. It’s how math works. There’s no economic incentive for anybody to change any of that.
I had an economics lesson, I had a life lesson, I had an epiphany, I had a race relations lesson, I had a self-esteem and confidence lesson. Being broke is economic, but being poor is a disabling frame of mind, a depressed condition of your spirit. It’s home economics class, doesn’t exist anymore. RITHOLTZ: Right.
The curve, however, continues to project cuts to the rate beginning next May, which seems optimistic given the tone of Fed officials and the math around getting inflation back close to their 2% target. on depressed spending from COVID and drought-driven shutdowns, driving calls for accelerated stimulus from the government.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. Things like leading economic indicators, et cetera, are all consistent with historical recessions. 01:11:54 Right?
This math explains why we shouldn’t be surprised when the market remains “irrational” far longer than seems possible. Even worse, our economic and market models typically assume a “mild randomness” of market fluctuations. In fact, much of what happens is highly improbable. But we are.
So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings. And ultimately we think this is going to allow us to pursue a level of economic growth that continues to give us full employment, moderate price increases.” It’s also being part of the senior team that runs Vanguard, the business of Vanguard, right? RITHOLTZ: Right.
A degree in mathematics from Oxford, a doctorate in mathematical epidemiology and economics from Cambridge. So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. What is that? The second is excess returns.
Strategy The math on the 60/40 portfolio looks a lot different than it did a year ago. theatlantic.com) Not every government in the world is getting older. theweek.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. awealthofcommonsense.com) There is a difference between picking and choosing. washingtonpost.com) Economy The U.S.
CASE: Well, actually when we started in 1985, it was — the Internet was restricted to government agencies and educational institutions. The math never seems to work out. Tell us a little bit about when you go from a nimble startup to a big merger, to the government, what’s the trade off? RITHOLTZ: Wow.
STEVEN KLINSKY, FOUNDER, CEO AND MANAGING DIRECTOR, NEW MOUNTAIN CAPITAL: I come from the Detroit area of Michigan as a public school kid, went to University of Michigan and studied both economics and philosophy. RITHOLTZ: So it’s different math then I need 100x winner versus 99? KLINSKY: Well, thank you. KLINSKY: Yeah.
And I was a math nerd as a kid. They had a dispute with the government where the government claimed that they were overbilling on some cases. There are real governance differences in some of the places and the industry skew away from tech, you know, may be slower and more commodity. 00:47:27 [Speaker Changed] Sure.
Other times they’re very, very focused on governance. When you talk about governance, how are people adjusting in that space? Also the, the underlying philosophy of that just seems fundamentally wrong from an an economic standpoint. And that degree of customization for some is incredibly important.
So in this, in this context of, of a mortgage now being clear to everyone that this default risk is present, it’s real, and it’s hard to price because following the borrower’s economic profile, there, there are defaults that are related to just life events, but there’s also defaults related to a macroeconomic event.
Crypto The government has no strategic reason to own crypto assets. disciplinefunds.com) There's only one reason to include XRP or Cardano is a government-backed fund. readthejointaccount.com) Some signs that economic uncertainty is bleeding through into consumer intentions. abnormalreturns.com) Research links: more than math.
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. I know you like to discuss there are different phases of the, of the, both the market and the economic cycle.
But let’s start with your background in your career, applied mathematics and economics from Brown and then a Harvard MBA. 00:31:40 [Speaker Changed] So there’s the emotions and then there’s the math, right? And what’s become re levered is the federal balance sheet and the government balance sheet.
Now she’s leading a push to legalize gambling in Texas [link] Legal gambling leaves society as a whole worse off Feb 16, 2023 As the country emerges from a pandemic that left children zoning out over Zoom, parents are turning to the turbocharged “Russian math” method to give their kids an academic edge.
Professor Stephanie Kelton teaches Public Policy and Economics at SUNY Stony Brook. You get a bachelor’s, a BA and a BS in Economics and Business at California Sacramento, then University of Cambridge, master’s in Philosophy and Economics, then a PhD in economics at the New School. I happened to pick that one.
in Economics from Chicago and MBA from Stanford. You begin in Salomon Brothers in the 1990s early in your career and you kind of successfully stumble into some privatization of government entities in Poland while you’re at Salomon. So, I did the math, 20 million times a hundred. So, let me just repeat the math.
We’ll get to where you work at JP Morgan, but economics bachelor’s from Columbia MBA from Harvard. So I decided to become an economics major and a psychology minor. So the intersection of psychology and economics became really interesting. And I did a lot of options math, which I thought was interesting.
The economic dislocation, the health risks, just the mayhem that took place, but from the perspective of a number of corporate CEOs, Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital, the hedge fund that had a couple of amazing trades based on this. HOFFMAN: So obviously, I’ve — you know, economically minded from the jump.
The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Ed Hyman on Using Economic Data Opportunistically , is below. So you have all of this very pragmatic experience as opposed to getting a PhD in economics, which tends to be a little more abstract and academic. So it’s not just government data. That’s just unprecedented.
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