Remove Economics Remove Government Remove Numbers
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Government Spending Is Out of Control! LOL

The Big Picture

Let’s delve into a case in point of Coase’s theorem: If you wanted to peddle the narrative that government spending is out of control, you might present a chart like the one above, which is an exact replica of a chart that appeared recently in a piece of research from a major Wall St. investment firm. How can this be?

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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

People often talk about "the economy" as a single entity whose parts move in unison, with a small number of key indicators (such as GDP, the unemployment rate, and inflation) moving reliably in relation to each other. manufacturing sector, by the measures of employment and service prices, has been in a recession for nearly 12 months.

Valuation 246
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4th Quarter 2023 Economic And Market Outlook: Labor Market, Inflation, And Geopolitics

Nerd's Eye View

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. Businesses are also feeling the pinch from higher interest rates, as November saw a rapid increase in the number of Chapter 11 commercial bankruptcies.

Economics 246
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Schedule for Week of December 1, 2024

Calculated Risk

The number of job openings (black) were down 20% year-over-year. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). This graph shows job openings (black line), hires (purple), Layoff, Discharges and other (red column), and Quits (light blue column) from the JOLTS. Jobs openings decreased in September to 7.44 million from 7.86

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Sunday links: forecasting accuracy

Abnormal Returns

washingtonpost.com) Measuring economic inequality is harder than it looks. vox.com) Threats of violence against elected officials and government officials are on the rise. washingtonpost.com) The number of American centenarians is set to quadruple. papers.ssrn.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

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Eurozone Target2 Economic Imbalances Soar, This Money Can't Be Paid Back

Mish Talk

Target 2 balances from the ECB, numbers and caption by Mish. There is a single 10-year government bond. TARGET2 is the real-time gross settlement (RTGS) system owned and operated by the Eurosystem. The Target2 Lead Chart is courtesy of the ECB. It shows Target 2 creditor and debtor nations. trillion continue to mount in Germany.

Economics 218
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Sunday links: a liberating mindset

Abnormal Returns

bloomberg.com) Policy More of government should work like Operation Warp Speed. marginalrevolution.com) Global Home ownership is out of reach for an increasing number of Australians. nytimes.com) Economy The economic graph of 2023. wsj.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.