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And even though numerous signs are pointing to the looming possibility of a more widespread economic downturn – including the reduction of household savings, reduced lending, and the resumption of student loan payments for many borrowers – the job market remains strong. And even though U.S.
The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. Moreover, historically extreme valuations in a small handful of mega-cap stocks that account for about 30% of the market weight in the S&P 500 (i.e.,
axios.com) Global government bond yields are at 15-year highs. finance.yahoo.com) Markets Valuations don't matter in the short term. morningstar.com) Economy Any single economic data point is filled with noise. Rates Mortgage rates are at levels not seen since 2001. theinformation.com) The city of San Francisco is struggling.
@TBPInvictus here; Let’s cut to the chase : A popular video on YouTube claims the poor are much less poor than the official statistics suggest because those statistics ignore government welfare programs like Food Stamps and Aid to Dependant Children and lots of other safety net programs. It is untrue. ” Was this ignorance?
She leads the company’s 35-person team of engineers, attorneys, and analysts, and is a member of the firm’s valuation and investment committees. Before co-founding Legalist at 20, Eva studied economics at Harvard College. She explains how they managed through their first legal defeat, which made them question their model.
Historically, this bracket has been dominated by the tech sector, but after years of outsized gains, big tech valuations are stretched. While Lockheed Martin remains a solid performer with government contracts and steady demand, it lacks the same growth potential as Eli Lilly , which is positioned to benefit from the global healthcare push.
Additionally, foreign investors are shifting funds from India to China, attracted by lower valuations. These valuations reflect different economic conditions and investor sentiments in each country. On the other hand, low P/E ratios might signal undervaluation or economic challenges.
You graduate Harvard in 1990, with an Economics and Computer Science degree, perfect for the explosion of the Internet; a PhD from MIT and Information Technology in ‘96. So along those lines, there are some venture firms that don’t really seem to care a lot about valuations and others seem to focus on a little bit.
wsj.com) How a seed investor approaches valuation discussions. bloomberg.com) Ezra Klein talks with Jennifer Pahlka author of "Recoding America: Why Government Is Failing in the Digital Age and How We Can Do Better." axios.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (om.co) Twitter really hates paying its bills.
7 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Consumer Confidence. Source: I nvestors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar ; November 21, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest.
8 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Begins. Source: I nvestors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar ; December 10, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Retail Sales. Industrial Production. Business Inventories. Wednesday: Housing Starts and Permits.
My morning train WFH reads: • Gold Is No Longer a Good Hedge Against Bad Times : The precious metal has become just another cyclical asset, no longer a useful harbinger of social and economic collapse. Bloomberg ) • AI’s Winners, Losers and Wannabes : An NVIDIA Valuation, with the AI Boost! Slate ) • St.
Weekly Market Insights | October 28th, 2024 Stocks Mixed Ahead of Election Stocks were mixed last week as fresh economic data points and election-related uncertainty slowed market momentum. 8 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: International Trade in Goods. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.96 Consumer Confidence.
Weekly Market Insights | November 4th, 2024 Stocks Retreat on Jobs and Election Concerns Stocks slid last week as mixed economic data and strong-but-not-spectacular Q3 corporate reports failed to inspire investors. This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Motor Vehicle Sales. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.36 Factory Orders.
Weekly Market Insights: Bond Yields Rise; Government Shutdown Looms Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Rising bond yields and government shutdown fears left stocks in mostly negative territory for the week. But the rally faded as traders fixated on a potential government shutdown. Thursday: Jobless Claims.
Weekly Market Insights | December 2nd, 2024 Solid Gains for Thanksgiving Week Stocks posted solid gains over a short and busy holiday week as investors parsed fresh economic data, comments on potential future trade policy, and a few Q3 reports from technology companies. One area of concern has been the economic impact of proposed tariffs.
While some of that outperformance was due to improving fundamentals and earnings, most of it the returns came from the valuation investors assigned to these stocks. The chart below shows that of the tech sector’s 760% total return, 620% came from the change (increase) in valuation while 140% came from increasing earnings and dividends.
Confident consumers tend to spend money, which may take some pressure off the Fed as it looks to manage economic activity. This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Fed Official Austan Goolsbee speaks. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. Housing Market Index.
With valuations still high, the threat of a recession still looms over the economy, ushering in a prolonged period of low returns across the market, from stocks and real estate to corporate profits, as well as elevated inflation and unemployment rates. government debt which now has a solid return thanks to the inverted yield curve.
Weekly Market Insights: Stocks End Summer With Gloomy News Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Rising bond yields and fears of a government shutdown hammered stocks last week, with technology shares bearing the brunt of the retreat. In their economic projections, 12 of 19 Fed officials expect to raise rates once more this year.
Not only was the economy more open last year, but those quarters benefited from consumers making up for low spending in 2020 and from large amounts of government aid. . Valuations Could Move to a More Normal Range . The decline in the equity market pushed valuations down to levels in line with the period between 2015 and 2020.
Stocks Rally To Record Highs Stocks traded in a fairly tight range for the first half of the short week, yawning at the lack of economic data while awaiting earnings results from one key company that creates chips that power the artificial intelligence operations of many firms. 3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: New Home Sales.
But the current economic and political environment may not accommodate additional fiscal stimulus, with inflation continuing to run rampant and government spending remaining at high levels. The S&P 500 valuation has settled at around 17-times forward earnings as of this writing.
9 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Productivity and Costs. Source: I nvestors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar ; December 6, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest.
Stocks on Thursday shrugged off news of a second-consecutive quarter of negative economic growth to build on Wednesday’s gains as fresh earnings continued to comfort, if not impress, investors. It was the second-consecutive quarter of negative economic growth, meeting the technical definition of a recession. Economy Contracts .
A Tale Of Two Inflation Reports The biggest economic news last week was fresh inflation data. 6,7,8 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Index. Source: Investor’s Business Daily, Econoday economic calendar; January 10, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Housing Starts.
6 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Housing Starts. Index of Leading Economic Indicators. Source: Econoday, December 15, 2023 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials.
6 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Pending Home Sales. Source: I nvestors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar ; December 27, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest.
Economic data released on Thursday showed remarkable economic strength, with above-consensus forecast growth in third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and September’s durable goods orders, with only a minor uptick in initial jobless claims. 5 This Week: Key Economic Data Wednesday: FOMC Announcement. Jobless Claims.
Stocks overcame poor earnings results from some of America’s largest companies to post gains last week as investors cheered positive earnings surprises, easing inflation and a rebound in economic growth. Economic Growth Exceeds Expectations. This Week: Key Economic Data. The Nasdaq Composite index added 2.24% for the week.
Pockets of attractive valuations exist despite above-average valuations in some high-profile areas of the market. Much of the employment growth over the past year has come from non-cyclical sectors, such as health care, education, and government, but only because these sectors lagged the initial recovery in 2021-2022.
Central Governments have given hope of meaningful rate cuts within this year. Equity markets are riding on the expectations of the strong comeback of the NDA-led Government resulting in policy continuity. Indian equity benchmark BSE Sensex went up by only 2% due to already stretched equity valuations.
Weekly Market Insights: Excitement Around Big Tech Continues Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Stocks continued their upward climb last week as excitement around big tech continued; positive economic reports stoked investors’ belief that the Federal Reserve has pulled off a soft landing. Core inflation was 3.2%
Weekly Market Insights: Market Retreats On Inflation, Economic Reports Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Stocks fell last week as investors reacted to disappointing inflation updates and other economic reports that fell short of estimates. 4 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Leading Indicators.
Weekly Market Insights: September Stocks Open In Positive Territory Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Falling bond yields–spurred by weak economic data–helped lift stocks to weekly gains. A downward revision of Q2 economic growth and fresh signs of a cooling labor market reversed the recent rise in bond yield.
government debt by a major credit rating agency due to its belief in expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years. 6 This Week: Key Economic Data Thursday: Consumer Price Index (CPI). Consumer Sentiment Source: Econoday, August 4, 2023 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S.
He has a very interesting approach to thinking about market valuations and strategies and when to deploy capital, when to go with the crowd, when to lean against the crowd, and has amassed and excellent track record. But generally starts with the economic cycle. Where are you in the economic cycle? I, I love that area.
The official arbiter of business cycle dating is the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). The economy is still feeling the ripple effects from the government-induced shutdowns. had never before experienced the massive swings in economic activity during the 2020 pandemic, making even the current analysis more difficult.
At this rate, home sales will likely continue to slow and residential investment could turn out to be a drag on Q3 economic growth. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio. 08/23).
Many of these businesses, and many of the things that move on rails are just captive volumes that can’t economically move via truck or via plane. Then there is always the specter of government regulation threatening to impose its heavy hand should profits be deemed anti-competitive.
Yields rose after traders speculated that strong economic data might persuade the Fed to raise rates. Economic Strength, Housing Weakness The economy continued to evidence surprising strength according to data released last week. 6,7 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). Durable Goods Orders.
Stocks fell last week as soft economic data rattled investors focused on the Fed’s next move with interest rates. 1,2 Economic Data Unsettles Investors The four-day trading week got off to a rough start as weak manufacturing data reawakened recessionary fears. 6,7 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Wholesale Inventories.
They further said that future rate decisions will be based on fresh economic data, offering no indication that a rate cut was forthcoming, as many analysts are increasingly anticipating for 2024. This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: New Home Sales. Source: Econoday, November 24, 2023 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S.
1 Economic news also helped boost markets. Consumers Remain Upbeat With all the excitement over AI, it’s easy to overlook some key economic indicators that also speak to the underlying strength of the economy—specifically, consumer data. 3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Motor Vehicle Sales. Tuesday: Factory Orders.
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