Remove Economics Remove Investments Remove Valuation
article thumbnail

1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 244
article thumbnail

3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

And even though numerous signs are pointing to the looming possibility of a more widespread economic downturn – including the reduction of household savings, reduced lending, and the resumption of student loan payments for many borrowers – the job market remains strong. And even though U.S.

Valuation 246
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

The Problem Of High U.S. Equity Valuations And How Advisors Can Factor In Current Evaluations Risks

Nerd's Eye View

One way to predict future market returns is to use the past as a guide, with nearly 100 years of continuous market data since the 1920s covering a wide range of economic conditions showing that, for instance, the S&P 500 has had nearly a 10% average compounding return (7% above inflation) since 1926. Read More.

Valuation 246
article thumbnail

4th Quarter 2023 Economic And Market Outlook: Labor Market, Inflation, And Geopolitics

Nerd's Eye View

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. Moreover, historically extreme valuations in a small handful of mega-cap stocks that account for about 30% of the market weight in the S&P 500 (i.e.,

Economics 246
article thumbnail

Sunday links: meaningless statistics

Abnormal Returns

wsj.com) Good luck trying to time the stock market using valuation metrics. axios.com) Why Apple ($AAPL) would 'invest' in OpenAI. econbrowser.com) The economic data through July were largely positive. apolloacademy.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise.

article thumbnail

Why International Diversification Is Still The Prudent Strategy (While Keeping Behavioral Biases, Risks, And Results In A Healthy Perspective)

Nerd's Eye View

stocks has led to the favoritism of ‘local’ investments over international ones through behavioral biases (e.g., However, despite recent market trends, there is a legitimate case to be made for international diversification – starting with the basic tenet of investing that past performance does not promise future returns.

Valuation 246
article thumbnail

10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

American Prospect ) see also Six Ways Existing Economic Models Are Killing the Economy : The alleged science doesn’t match up to the real world. Known as the Dean of Valuation, he teaches Corporate Finance and Valuation to the MBA students at Stern where he has been voted “Professor of the Year” by the graduating M.B.A.

Valuation 298