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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

And even though numerous signs are pointing to the looming possibility of a more widespread economic downturn – including the reduction of household savings, reduced lending, and the resumption of student loan payments for many borrowers – the job market remains strong. And even though U.S. Read More.

Valuation 246
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4th Quarter 2023 Economic And Market Outlook: Labor Market, Inflation, And Geopolitics

Nerd's Eye View

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. Moreover, historically extreme valuations in a small handful of mega-cap stocks that account for about 30% of the market weight in the S&P 500 (i.e.,

Economics 246
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Solid Fundamentals and a Stable Economic Outlook Portend a Solid 2025 for REITs

Wealth Management

Falling interest rates and the disappearance of a valuation gap with private real estate should also add tailwinds for publicly listed real estate.

Economics 222
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Sunday links: household finances

Abnormal Returns

frontofficesports.com) Why seed stage valuations haven't dropped as much as you would think. hunterwalk.com) Fund management How securities lending works. politico.com) Why market economics doesn't necessarily work in health care. econofact.org) The economic schedule for the coming week. wsj.com) How the end of Roe v.

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Sunday links: when irrationality takes over

Abnormal Returns

Markets Market valuations aren't that helpful in the short term. bonddad.blogspot.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. cnn.com) The management consulting business is struggling. tker.co) The U.S. yield curve has been inverted for a record amount of time. ft.com) Industrial production is fading. nytimes.com)

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Sunday links: a satellite asset

Abnormal Returns

Strategy ETFs are a better mousetrap, but they can't turn a bad manager into a good one. wsj.com) Companies Just how important AI is for valuations today. tker.co) The economic schedule for the coming week. wsj.com) Why you should diversify internationally. humbledollar.com) A company moat is no guarantee of good performance.

Assets 287
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Thursday links: embracing imperfection

Abnormal Returns

(techcrunch.com) SpaceX SpaceX is reportedly planning a tender offer for employee shares at a $175 billion valuation. bloomberg.com) Bonds Vanguard is launching new actively managed bond ETFs. axios.com) Economy Kyla Scanlon, "People are complex and economics doesn’t (can’t!) take that into consideration."