Calculated Risk

MAY 1, 2023

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.1% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.1% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The April Manufacturing PMI® registered 47.1 The PMI® was at 47.1% in March, up from 46.3%

Manufacturing 251

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 251

Nerd's Eye View

APRIL 3, 2024

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 244

Economics Marketing Marketing Valuation 244

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 1, 2022

The ISM manufacturing index indicated expansion. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 52.8% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 52.8% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The August Manufacturing PMI® registered 52.8 (Posted with permission). The PMI® was at 52.8%

Manufacturing 188

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 188

Mish Talk

DECEMBER 1, 2022

Please consider the November 2022 Manufacturing ISM ® Report On Business ® “Manufacturing contracted in November after expanding for 29 straight months. Key Details “The November Manufacturing PMI ® registered 49 percent, 1.2 The Manufacturing PMI ® figure is the lowest since May 2020, when it registered 43.5 percent, 4.2

Manufacturing 222

Manufacturing Business Planning Management Economy 222

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 4, 2023

manufacturing sector, by the measures of employment and service prices, has been in a recession for nearly 12 months. What's driving many of the economic conditions today are higher interest rates resulting from the Fed's efforts to fight inflation. And even though U.S.

Valuation 246

Valuation Economics Economy Marketing 246

Calculated Risk

JULY 3, 2023

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The June Manufacturing PMI® registered 46 percent , 0.9 emphasis added This suggests manufacturing contracted in June. (Posted with permission). The PMI® was at 46.0%

Manufacturing 173

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 173

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 1, 2024

The ISM manufacturing index indicated expansion. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 46.8% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 46.8% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The Manufacturing PMI® registered 46.8 A Manufacturing PMI® above 42.5 percent , down 5.9

Manufacturing 157

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 157

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 17, 2024

Fed's Beige Book A majority of the twelve Federal Reserve Districts reported little or no change in economic activity since the prior Beige Book period. Contacts from nearly all Districts reported decreases in manufacturing activity. Of the four Districts that differed, three reported modest growth and one reported a moderate decline.

Economics 201

Economics eCommerce Manufacturing Sales 201

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 2, 2025

owns RV manufacturer Forest River? axios.com) Economy Where manufacturing jobs are increasing. agglomerations.substack.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (humbledollar.com) Finance The structured finance industry is back, and is set to be bigger than ever. wsj.com) How carried interest calculations work in practice.

Manufacturing 162

Manufacturing Government Media Economy 162

Calculated Risk

MARCH 1, 2025

Fed Chair Powell speaks on the economic outlook on Friday. -- Monday, March 3rd -- 10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for February. 12:30 PM: Speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell , Economic Outlook , At The University of Chicago Booth School of Business 2025 U.S. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 50.8, down from 50.9 in January.

Sales 162

Sales Economics Manufacturing Government 162

Calculated Risk

APRIL 1, 2024

The ISM manufacturing index indicated expansion. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 50.3% March 2024 Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in March after contracting for 16 consecutive months, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

Manufacturing 154

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 154

Calculated Risk

JUNE 3, 2024

The ISM manufacturing index indicated expansion. Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The Manufacturing PMI® registered 48.7 Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The Manufacturing PMI® registered 48.7

Manufacturing 150

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 150

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 27, 2025

Whether investors were simply looking for places to park the proceeds from that stock selling or legitimately betting on economic fallout, bond buying ramped up in a major way. Also at 10:00 AM, Richmond Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for January. This is the last of the regional Fed manufacturing surveys for January.

Manufacturing 147

Manufacturing Economics Sales 147

Nerd's Eye View

JANUARY 3, 2024

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. While the manufacturing sector (which makes up 'only' 8% of the U.S.

Economics 246

Economics Marketing Marketing Economy 246

Calculated Risk

JUNE 1, 2023

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.1% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.1% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The May Manufacturing PMI® registered 46.9 The PMI® was at 46.9% in May, down from 47.1%

Manufacturing 167

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 167

Calculated Risk

APRIL 3, 2023

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 46.3% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 46.3% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The March Manufacturing PMI® registered 46.3 (Posted with permission). The PMI® was at 46.3%

Manufacturing 162

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 162

Calculated Risk

JULY 1, 2024

The ISM manufacturing index indicated expansion. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 48.5% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 48.5% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The Manufacturing PMI® registered 48.5 A Manufacturing PMI® above 42.5 percent , 3.9

Manufacturing 140

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 140

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 29, 2023

On balance, economic activity slowed since the previous report , with four Districts reporting modest growth, two indicating conditions were flat to slightly down, and six noting slight declines in activity. Manufacturing activity was mixed, and manufacturers' outlooks weakened. Travel and tourism activity was generally healthy.

Economics 173

Economics Transportation Manufacturing Sales 173

Calculated Risk

MAY 1, 2024

The ISM manufacturing index indicated expansion. April 2024 Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® Economic activity in the manufacturing sector contracted in April after one month of expansion following 16 consecutive months of contraction, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

Manufacturing 140

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 140

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 1, 2023

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.6% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.6% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The August Manufacturing PMI® registered 47.6 (Posted with permission). Fiore, CPSM, C.P.M.,

Manufacturing 150

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 150

Calculated Risk

MARCH 1, 2024

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.8% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.8% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The Manufacturing PMI® registered 47.8 A Manufacturing PMI® above 42.5 in January.

Manufacturing 150

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 150

Calculated Risk

MARCH 1, 2023

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.7% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 47.7% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The February Manufacturing PMI® registered 47.7 (Posted with permission). in January.

Manufacturing 154

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 154

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 8, 2025

For manufacturing, the January Industrial Production report will be released this week. The key reports this week are January CPI and Retail sales. 10:00 AM: Testimony, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress , Before the U.S.

Retail 162

Retail Sales Financial Services Food 162

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 26, 2022

Other key indicators include the 2nd estimate of Q3 GDP, the September Case-Shiller and FHFA house price indexes, October Personal Income & Outlays (and PCE), the November ISM manufacturing index, and November vehicle sales. 10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for November. The consensus is for a 5.0% decrease in the index.

Manufacturing 313

Manufacturing Sales Economics Banking 313

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 3, 2022

The ISM manufacturing index indicated expansion. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 50.9% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 50.9% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The September Manufacturing PMI® registered 50.9 (Posted with permission). Fiore, CPSM, C.P.M.,

Manufacturing 150

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 150

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 1, 2023

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 46.7% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 46.7% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The Manufacturing PMI® registered 46.7 A Manufacturing PMI® above 48.7 in September.

Manufacturing 145

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 145

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 30, 2024

Other key indicators include the October Trade Deficit, the November ISM manufacturing index and November vehicle sales. -- Monday, December 2nd -- 10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for November. The key report this week is the November employment report on Friday. The consensus is for 47.5%, up from 46.5%. The consensus is for 0.2%

Manufacturing 162

Manufacturing Sales Government Banking 162

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 18, 2025

Martin Luther King Jr. -- Tuesday, January 21st -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Wednesday, January 22nd -- 7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the mortgage purchase applications index. . -- Monday, January 20th -- All US markets will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. million.

Sales 162

Sales Manufacturing Economics Marketing 162

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 14, 2024

For manufacturing, August Industrial Production, and the September New York and Philly Fed surveys will be released this week. The FOMC meets this week and is expected to cut rates. -- Monday, September 16th -- 8:30 AM ET: The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for September. The consensus is for a reading of -4.0,

Retail 312

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 312

Calculated Risk

MAY 25, 2024

For manufacturing, the May Richmond and Dallas Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. -- Monday, May 27th -- All US markets will be closed in observance of Memorial Day. -- Tuesday, May 28th -- 9:00 AM: S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Index for March. 10:00 AM: Richmond Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for May.

Manufacturing 280

Manufacturing Sales Banking Economics 280

Calculated Risk

MARCH 24, 2025

A bigger departure from this range will require a bigger shift in several key economic reports (specifically, inflation reports and the big jobs report that typically comes out on the first Friday of the month). [ Also at 10:00 AM, Richmond Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for March.

Sales 147

Sales Manufacturing Economics Marketing 147

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 1, 2023

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 46.7% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 46.7% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The Manufacturing PMI® registered 46.7 A Manufacturing PMI® above 48.7 in October.

Manufacturing 140

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 140

Mish Talk

NOVEMBER 25, 2022

Flash US Manufacturing Output Index at 47.2 Flash US Manufacturing PMI at 47.6 Lower output was seen across both manufacturing and service sectors amid increasingly steep downturns in demand. The fall in backlogs of work was the sharpest in two-and-ahalf years, with manufacturers reporting the steeper decline in work-in-hand.

Economy 290

Economy Manufacturing Numbers Sales 290

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 18, 2023

Most Districts indicated little to no change in economic activity since the September report. Manufacturing activity was mixed, although contacts across multiple Districts noted an improving outlook for the sector. emphasis added The beige book reports have shown far less economic growth in Q3 than the key economic indicators.

Economics 162

Economics Retail Manufacturing Banking 162

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 17, 2024

Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak on the "Economic Outlook" at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. 11:00 AM: the Kansas City Fed manufacturing survey for August. -- Friday, August 23rd -- 10:00 AM: New Home Sales for July from the Census Bureau. The key reports this week are July New and Existing Home sales. The consensus is for 3.90

Sales 275

Sales Economics Manufacturing 275

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 5, 2022

Manufacturing added 30 thousand jobs and is now 41 thousand above the pre-pandemic level. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons increased by 303,000 to 3.9 Earlier: July Employment Report: 528 thousand Jobs, 3.5% million jobs. million in July.

Numbers 364

Numbers Economics Manufacturing 364

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 1, 2024

The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 49.1% From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 49.1% Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “ The Manufacturing PMI® registered 49.1 A Manufacturing PMI® above 42.5 in December.

Manufacturing 133

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 133