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alphainacademia.substack.com) Some popular economics books to avoid including "Power and Progress," by Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson. (mailchi.mp) Round-ups A round-up of recent white papers including 'A New Paradigm in Active Equity.' bpsandpieces.com) A round of recent research including 'Do Generalist CEOs Reduce Corporate Default Risk?'
Call it ” ‘ America’s Enormous Math Mistake’s Mistake. Or is anything economic Phil Gramm touches simply destined to be a dumpster fire of lies, foolishness, and incompetency? seconds to find 253,000,000 results on Google showing exactly how the government measures this. ” Was this ignorance? Sheer stupidity?
This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. Bad Numbers : 4.
They ignored seasonality; they they mixed the match data from completely different series; they cherry, picked starting and stopped dates for their analysis that bore no relationship to the underlying economic trends. ” A bit of quick math: 726,600/0.987 = 736,170 (starting point). 726,600 – 736,170 = -9,570.
on.spdji.com) It's hard to make the math on hedge funds add up. nytimes.com) Budgeting When you do the math, it's hard to find trillions to save in the federal budget. prospect.org) The math on mass deportation doesn't add up. econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. Just ask Norway.
Barry likes to remind us of the great Joan Robinson quote, and its utterly appropriate here: The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists. Both the Wall St. Pay attention.
gardenandgun.com) Economy The hurricanes are going to mess with economic data for awhile. bloomberg.com) Earlier on Abnormal Returns Podcast links: hedge fund math. (frontofficesports.com) Inside the professional mini-golf tour. axios.com) Not a lot to see in the September PPI report.
To say that inflation data during the first quarter of the year surprised us and the markets is clearly an understatement and by Tuesday of this week, with the higher-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) print for April, markets were clearly on edge as they were also potentially expecting a higher reading for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday. (..)
thebookseller.com) Can AI chatbots do math? sherwood.news) Relying on any single economic indicator is a mistake. (theatlantic.com) Meta ($META) is going full-speed on AI. spyglass.org) Academic publishers are selling access to their archives to AI companies. wsj.com) Google ($GOOGL) is backtracking on eliminating cookies in Chrome.
Strategy The math on the 60/40 portfolio looks a lot different than it did a year ago. theweek.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. awealthofcommonsense.com) There is a difference between picking and choosing. humbledollar.com) Companies Nvidia ($NVDA) has succeeded with a distributed workforce. labor market is slowing.
KCP Group ). • Your Career Is Just One-Eighth of Your Life : Five pieces of career advice, shaped by economics, psychology, and a little bit of existential math. ( Here are some of the most interesting things I found. ( The Atlantic ). •
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • The sneaky economics of Ticketmaster : Ticketmaster’s maligned fees and customer service issues are again under the microscope. Yet the fundamental math of bond returns bodes well for 2023, our columnist says. ( Will American music fans ever see anything better? ( New York Times ). •
Most economic downturns hit lower-income Americans hardest, but this time is different. Wall Street Journal ) • From Math Camp to Handcuffs: FTX’s Downfall Was an Arc of Brotherhood and Betrayal : Gary Wang and Sam Bankman-Fried are offering dueling accounts of the FTX fiasco and of who’s ultimately to blame.
But most of all, it was just simple maths according to Druck. The easy part is over. Barron’s ) • The Bear Market’s Survivors Share Their Biggest Lessons : With the S&P 500 in the longest bear market since 1973, individual investors maneuver differently from just months ago. The first was don’t lose money. I don’t like to lose.”
Notably, Historical and Regime-Based Monte Carlo models outperformed Traditional and Reduced-CMA models not only in general, but also throughout most of the individual time periods tested, as they had less error across many types of economic and market conditions.
” That poor belief system has disadvantaged America — it has made us economically weaker, prevented the country from performing basic maintenance on its infrastructure, and generally made it a harsher place to live. Note that we undertook much of the work anyway (airports, electrical grid, roads, etc.),
noahpinion.substack.com) Some math behind putting Social Security back on solid footing. axios.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (investmentnews.com) Vanguard on the growing popularity of the ETF. corporate.vanguard.com) Policy Most of America's big problems come from an inability/unwillingness to build stuff.
Morgan Housel Finance types tend to focus on attributes like intelligence, math skills and computer programming. You can know everything about math and data and markets, but if you don’t control your sense of greed and fear and you’re managing uncertainty in your behavior, none of it matters. None of it matters.
Real Estate Bust Exposes Big Divide At the heart of the country’s economic and social crisis is a broken housing market, which has amplified social divisions. The Guardian ) • What Broke Sweden?
Tron Ready to Aid FTX Math Doesn't Add Up I have a suggestion: Get the F out of Tron What About FTX Arena? An Illegal boost to TRX, BTT, JST, SUN, and HT? Big Boost to TRX? I do not see that spike in Tron. Am I looking at the wrong thing? Tron chart courtesy of CoinMarketCap. I am sure this is the #1 thing on everyone's mind.
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. The leading economic indicators show the U.S. The approach that works the best is also the one most people ignore.
3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: International Trade in Goods. Source: Investor’s Business Daily, Econoday economic calendar; January 5, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Math errors: Simple addition and subtraction mistakes can delay your return. News of unemployment remaining steady at 3.7%
By Nick Maggiulli The fact that high beta firms tend to have lower quality and higher financial leverage is perhaps one good reason why the outperformance in bull markets is more than erased during bear markets By David Varadi Real math is painfully precise. Investment finance math is sales math.
Someone do the math for me. How much will Michael Saylor be worth? Oh, one more small thing. Governments can do nothing about this. It's guaranteed. The Crypto Crash and Why It's Impossible For "You!" to Cash Out In case you missed it, please understand that it will be impossible for "You!"
Its just basic math. After all, if you look at the history of US economic growth over time, it averages out to a surprisingly steady figure, decade after decade: about 3% after inflation. What if the Earnings are Rising? Image generated by AI… of course Theres Only One Real Answer: Nobody Really Knows!
Recession-proof businesses can thrive despite an economic downturn. GDP is how overall economic activity is measured for a country. So, if you’re looking for recession-proof business ideas to switch into, then keep reading to find out which ones have the best chance of riding out an economic storm. Retail consignment.
A Glimpse into the Past: The Historical Giants In order to understand the potential growth trajectory to a $10 trillion company, we must first examine the economic giants of the past. The Math Behind the Growth Let’s take a step back and think about what it would take for a company like Apple to reach a $10 trillion market cap.
This blocks any attempt to challenge their leadership regardless of their economic interest in the company. Do the Math! Do the math! Meta and Alphabet have dual class share structures including super voting shares for the founders. Snapchat’s Evan Spiegel took it a step further giving shareholders no voting rights at all.
ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing.
In work on economic games, he explores how choices commonly presumed to be economic in nature actually hinge more on psychological factors, such as social norms and emotion. We know a little bit of math. . ~~~ About this week’s guest: David Dunning is a professor of psychology at the University of Michigan.
As it turns out, there are ways you can use data to your advantage, even if you’re not a math wizard. Jim O’Shaugnessy : Momentum is really interesting because academics hate it because there is underlying economic reason why it should make sense – but it does. We are looking historically at ideas that make economic sense, right?
I had an economics lesson, I had a life lesson, I had an epiphany, I had a race relations lesson, I had a self-esteem and confidence lesson. Being broke is economic, but being poor is a disabling frame of mind, a depressed condition of your spirit. It’s home economics class, doesn’t exist anymore. RITHOLTZ: Right.
For math, she teaches the advanced class — the top students in the school. The class had a party recently as a reward for winning a national math competition. – to stay in and play math games at the party instead of more traditionally “fun” activities, inside or out. It is a very bright group.
You graduate Harvard in 1990, with an Economics and Computer Science degree, perfect for the explosion of the Internet; a PhD from MIT and Information Technology in ‘96. And you know, the only thing math works on recognition by peers, and there’s some prizes. So it’s been a central to what I do and who I am.
Most economic research recommends a safe withdrawal rate to be no more than 2% to 4% — which could be less than you are imagining. After you’ve done this math, you might be wondering if you have “enough,” and certainly that’s hard to assess when there are so many unknowns. Contact us today.
Longer term rates, such as a five or 10-year Treasury, also move in response to a changing federal funds rate, but these yields are driven more by what market participants expect the average yield to be over this period, which is also influenced by inflation and economic growth expectations. Compare that to the stated yield of 5.6%
My wife and I started adding to an HSA pretty much when they first came to exist but it has been a few years since it made economic sense being self-employed. Yeah, that sounds pretty good (giving them the benefit of the doubt about the math)… pretty good for an equity. Not great for an equity but pretty good.
The curve, however, continues to project cuts to the rate beginning next May, which seems optimistic given the tone of Fed officials and the math around getting inflation back close to their 2% target. The Fed Futures curve embeds an 88% chance of a 0.75% hike later this month, with a peak in the Fed Funds rate at roughly 4% (currently 2.5%).
Math Matters. I did okay in school and was educated on many different topics, including the basic principle that math matters. Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Source: Calafia Beach Pundit. This notion rings especially true when it comes to finance and investing. interest rates.
In doing so, I thought this conversation was really quite fascinating, and I think you will also, especially if you’re not only interested in equity, but curious as to how to combine various aspects of market functions, valuation, economic cycle, fed actions into one coherent strategy. But generally starts with the economic cycle.
Fostering Financial Responsibility Early On Just as we teach children subjects like math and science, financial literacy deserves a place in the school curriculum. These nations understand that a strong foundation in financial literacy from an early age fosters adults who are better prepared to navigate lifes economic hurdles.
Fostering Financial Responsibility Early On Just as we teach children subjects like math and science, financial literacy deserves a place in the school curriculum. These nations understand that a strong foundation in financial literacy from an early age fosters adults who are better prepared to navigate life’s economic hurdles.
And so, coming out of school, I studied Economics and Spanish Literature, and I applied to a — a program that actually targeted Liberal Arts majors. I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. It was at Bank One, at the time.
The topics covered are personal finance math, retirement problems, introduction to mutual funds, the concept of fund & NAV, equity schemes, debt funds, investing in bonds, index funds, rolling returns, Exchange-traded funds(ETF) and basics of macroeconomics.
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