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Most economic downturns hit lower-income Americans hardest, but this time is different. Wall Street Journal ) • From Math Camp to Handcuffs: FTX’s Downfall Was an Arc of Brotherhood and Betrayal : Gary Wang and Sam Bankman-Fried are offering dueling accounts of the FTX fiasco and of who’s ultimately to blame.
Recession-proof businesses can thrive despite an economic downturn. GDP is how overall economic activity is measured for a country. So, if you’re looking for recession-proof business ideas to switch into, then keep reading to find out which ones have the best chance of riding out an economic storm. Retail consignment.
As it turns out, there are ways you can use data to your advantage, even if you’re not a math wizard. Jim O’Shaugnessy : Momentum is really interesting because academics hate it because there is underlying economic reason why it should make sense – but it does. We are looking historically at ideas that make economic sense, right?
For much of the year there has been a divergence between the sentiment of retail investors and their behavior, with investors allocating a net $167 billion to equities this year despite persistent bearishness in surveys. Institutional investors remain cautious, and retail investors are showing signs of capitulation.
I had an economics lesson, I had a life lesson, I had an epiphany, I had a race relations lesson, I had a self-esteem and confidence lesson. Being broke is economic, but being poor is a disabling frame of mind, a depressed condition of your spirit. It’s home economics class, doesn’t exist anymore. RITHOLTZ: Right.
I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. Because the idea of syndication is that you make a giant purchase and then you sell it off in smaller units to really more of a retail investor. Even retail assets are doing pretty well right now.
In doing so, I thought this conversation was really quite fascinating, and I think you will also, especially if you’re not only interested in equity, but curious as to how to combine various aspects of market functions, valuation, economic cycle, fed actions into one coherent strategy. But generally starts with the economic cycle.
And Tom has helped with the introduction of GMO’s first retail product, the quality ETF stock symbol Q-L-T-Y-G-M-O has been institutional since they launched in 1977. This is the first time they’re putting out a product for retail. GMO has released last quarter their first retail product an ETFI love the symbol QLTY.
One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. Are, are the clients primarily retail?
Big Tech’s Market Influence Walmart’s Earnings Report as an economic indicator Small Cap Stocks – Is this the beginning of a sustained rally? Do the math. In retail you’re talking about single digit margins with little room for error. Bleeding to Death For the rest of that day, retail was under siege.
And so, coming out of school, I studied Economics and Spanish Literature, and I applied to a — a program that actually targeted Liberal Arts majors. And so, with this gave me exposure to everything from investment banking to retail, looking at like checking account campaigns, like how do you get more assets in the door to credit risk.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. And so it actually turns out that away from the retail space, passive is even larger in the institutional space.
Few people are in a position to see what’s going on in the world of investing, whether it’s institutional or retail, better than Vanguard CIO. So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings. And Greg Davis just does an amazing job. I thought this was a really fascinating conversation. I think you will also.
RIEDER: And all of a sudden, you change the economic paradigm so darn fast. You know, part of why I read inventory numbers at retailers, you know, you talked about semis earlier, I think you have to think about the whole construct of what’s driving topline revenue for companies. RIEDER: Yeah. RITHOLTZ: Right. RIEDER: Huge.
And I was a math nerd as a kid. If you’ve got a undifferentiated, crappy retailer and you’re saying it’s going to have $5 of free cash flow in five years, and you’ve got Visa, MasterCard, most of the magnificent seven, and you say that’s $5, they’re not the same. You have so much more certainty.
STEVEN KLINSKY, FOUNDER, CEO AND MANAGING DIRECTOR, NEW MOUNTAIN CAPITAL: I come from the Detroit area of Michigan as a public school kid, went to University of Michigan and studied both economics and philosophy. RITHOLTZ: So it’s different math then I need 100x winner versus 99? KLINSKY: Well, thank you. KLINSKY: Yeah.
By ’08 and ’09, look, there were bankruptcies everywhere in every industry from retail to telecom. since the ‘80s regarding economic mobility, that there used to be a huge ability to move up, or at least be in a better situation than your parents were. Tell us about how you saw this lack of diversity and the lack of economic mobility.
Building multiple passive income streams has an additional benefit in the short term: it can make you more resilient and better able to weather economic shocks, such as what was experienced with the past housing crisis and global pandemic. This is your nest egg. We’ll come back to this. The minimum investment is $5,000.
So in this, in this context of, of a mortgage now being clear to everyone that this default risk is present, it’s real, and it’s hard to price because following the borrower’s economic profile, there, there are defaults that are related to just life events, but there’s also defaults related to a macroeconomic event.
bloomberg.com) RetailRetail investors aren't slowing down their stock purchases. bonddad.blogspot.com) Brian Albrecht, "Economic prosperity doesnt require perfect policies, but it does require stable ones." (novelinvestor.com) Finance Honeywell ($HON) is planning to split into three independent companies.
The economic dislocation, the health risks, just the mayhem that took place, but from the perspective of a number of corporate CEOs, Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital, the hedge fund that had a couple of amazing trades based on this. HOFFMAN: So obviously, I’ve — you know, economically minded from the jump.
Retail Are retail investors going to aggressively buy the dip? apricitas.io) Retailers are warning that higher prices are imminent. econbrowser.com) Economic growth was set to slow in 2025, even before DOGE-related uncertainty. stayathomemacro.substack.com) Of course economic policy uncertainty has spiked.
The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Ed Hyman on Using Economic Data Opportunistically , is below. So you have all of this very pragmatic experience as opposed to getting a PhD in economics, which tends to be a little more abstract and academic. I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math.
He is so knowledgeable about so many unusual areas in economics. You’re the author of 200 plus papers, six books, deaths of Despair, which you wrote with Anne Case who happens to be your wife, was a New York Times bestseller and your latest book, economics in America, an Immigrant Economist, explores the Land of inequality.
We’re in the business of sitting in between asset owners, financial advisors, institutions, retail and asset managers, right, the BlackRock, State Street, PIMCO’s of the world, and helping them understand each other. There’s definitely demand from retail and there’s plenty of supply in the asset management business side.
And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. You learn the math that can help you with, with market making operations. There’s very few, I would argue probably no consistent predictors of, of any sort of economic or market cyclicality. And I just caught the bug.
There are a lot of economic problems that we'll face in the coming years. The erosion of that bargaining power is one of the biggest economic stories of the past four decades, yet it’s less about supply and demand than about institutions and politics." Unfortunately, there are no easy solutions. Which leads us to share repurchases.
We looked at everything from retail to nursing homes to hospitals to insurance companies to manufacturers. It’s only later, or at least in the book you described it that way, it’s only later that it’s household brands and retailers and names we know. It’s really attracting a lot of retail dollars.
I don’t, I don’t know what else to say other than there are a few people in the world that understand running a fixed income portfolio on behalf of institutional or retail clients, a as well as Matt Egan does. I started out math and, and physics, and in high school I was a rock star in math and physics. Matt Eagan.
But unfortunately, just as the product came to market, the whole Atari game market blew up, and retailers didn’t want any new products. The math never seems to work out. And so I thought this was a great way to kind of enter that world that I’ve been reading about and wanting to get into. Is that way fair way to start?
RITHOLTZ: So wait, you’re, I’m trying to do the math, if you were 24 in ‘08, so you got this watch in 2000, 99? I was heading up retail for Tag Heuer for North America, so I was sort of traveling around from market to market, store to store. He gave me his Omega Speedmaster, which is a really nice watch. Here’s why.”
They sent a video from a woman, Wendy Bell, who is incensed at America’s apparent economic collapse. Old & Tired : For the most part, the list is filled with mediocre chains and junk food joints, commonly found in malls and shopping centers, which all have their own retail issues. That was news to me. 2 Reddit also stepped up.
The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Gary Cohn, Director of the National Economic Council, President of Goldman Sachs , is below. You’re doing a lot of math in your head on the Fly. I’m doing, I’m doing an awful lot of math in my head on the fly. Your chief economic advisor to the president.
Barry Ritholtz : This week on the podcast, another extra special guest, Peter Goodman, is the award-winning investigative reporter and economics correspondent for the New York Times, his latest book, how the World Ran Out Of Everything Inside The Global Supply Chain. And I was ostensibly the economic writer.
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