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Chimp-Throwing Darts: Problems with Expert’s Future Predictions

Risk Management Guru

Recently I stumbled upon a great source of risk related concepts after listening to an episode of The Knowledge Project podcast which featured a guest, I was unfamiliar with. But for even this educated group how many future economic events would they bet the farm on and come out on top as they did before?

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Transcript: Ilana Weinstein

The Big Picture

And we’ve talked about whether we go deeper on existing strategies, we build new businesses, we find somebody who can help him more as almost a co-CIO with risk management, with the investment process. When you compare it to law, to medicine, to — RITHOLTZ: Centuries, right. Now HBS I think is 52 or 53 percent.

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Transcript: Armen Panossian

The Big Picture

So you have almost a doubling of the interest coupon paid by some of these businesses against the backdrop of c ovid 19 inflation and some of the economic pressures that come with, with those factors. And L I B O R has gone from 25 basis points to now converted to S O F R at over 5%. It’s still in the double digits. Tell us about that.

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Transcript: Bill Browder

The Big Picture

in Economics from Chicago and MBA from Stanford. BROWDER: I just gone the risk management committee. There was the vice chairman of the company, the senior managing directors, managing directors, senior directors, directors, vice presidents and me, I was the lowest ranking guy in the whole room. You have a B.A.

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Transcript: Peter Atwater

The Big Picture

00:22:13 [Speaker Changed] It, it isn’t if you measure it in terms of economic conditions, but confidence is about vulnerability. And, and so I, I think that what a lot of our, huh, quote unquote economic confidence indicators are picking up is vulnerability that is far more fundamental to people’s lives. But that was it.

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