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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

And even though numerous signs are pointing to the looming possibility of a more widespread economic downturn – including the reduction of household savings, reduced lending, and the resumption of student loan payments for many borrowers – the job market remains strong. And even though U.S.

Valuation 246
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Why International Diversification Is Still The Prudent Strategy (While Keeping Behavioral Biases, Risks, And Results In A Healthy Perspective)

Nerd's Eye View

In this guest post, Larry Swedroe, head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Strategic Wealth, discusses why many investors tend to fall prey to recency bias, and explains why global diversification – and keeping short- and long-term results in the right perspective – remains a prudent strategy. annually.

Valuation 246
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Sunday links: greed and ambition

Abnormal Returns

60/40 portfolios The 60/40 portfolio is having its worse returns in a century. marketwatch.com) Why investors should pay more attention the 40 in a 60/40 portfolio. ritholtz.com) Why you shouldn't make big changes to your portfolio based on economics. kyla.substack.com) Why the Fed should take abeat.

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Wednesday links: an awesome product

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Ten things to know about building a diversified portfolio. morningstar.com) Real assets can be a portfolio drag during periods of quiescent inflation. marginalrevolution.com) Finance Private equity is stuck between elevated valuations high interest rates and a moribund IPO market.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (May 11-12)

Nerd's Eye View

Also in industry news this week: The latest Social Security trustees report offered a slightly rosier picture for the health of the various Social Security trust funds thanks to improved economic conditions, though they warned that time is running out for legislators to take action to ensure the system will be able to pay out full benefits beyond the (..)

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Wednesday links: the power of incentives

Abnormal Returns

axios.com) Venture capital Why more markdowns are coming to venture capital portfolio valuations. awealthofcommonsense.com) Base effects matter when analyzing economic data. (bloomberg.com) In China, new EVs are now cheaper to buy than ICEs. washingtonpost.com) The earlier adopter era for EVs is over.

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When, Where, and for How Long

The Big Picture

They all have different sensitivities to economic factors like trade, inflation, commodities, and growth. Within the equity portion of your portfolios, they can provide some measure of diversification. Oversimplifying them into narratives or relying on context-free myths will not serve your portfolio well.

Economics 299