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More attention should be paid on the risks, recognizing how fundamental a well-balanced coordination between the various management functions is (Waring and Glendon, 1998). ‘Further Thoughts on the Utility of Risk Matrices’ RiskAnalysis , 33 (11), pp.2068-2078. ‘What’s Wrong with Risk Matrices?’
We focus on delivering attractive long-term performance by investing in a concentrated portfolio of companies that uniquely solve problems for their customers and generate attractive economics for shareholders. The goal of capital allocation is to improve the risk-adjusted returns of our portfolio.
Consequently, the correlations between our financial investments are low (aside from Mastercard and Visa) and this sector doesn’t show up as an outlier risk – notably it is well below our 5% “watch closely” level. Consequently, the cross correlations are high as is factor risk; sectors are a blunt instrument.
On the risk side, our analysts’ fundamental research helps them reduce the probability of a calamitous stock-specific event; likewise, our independent risk monitoring and reporting helps reduce the potential blowback from a calamitous market or economic event.
The following are ways we seek to identify additional risks and opportunities outside traditional analysis: Investigative research. ESG analysis. Quantitative riskanalysis and reporting. All charts, economic and market forecasts presented herein are for illustrative purposes only.
Effective riskanalysis, then, requires us to balance competing goals in a portfolio, and to use a combination of quantitative analysis and subjective judgment to guide future decisions. In this discussion, we focus on two primary risks for endowments and foundations— short-term drawdown risk and long-term erosion of principal.
Effective riskanalysis, then, requires us to balance competing goals in a portfolio, and to use a combination of quantitative analysis and subjective judgment to guide future decisions. In this discussion, we focus on two primary risks for endowments and foundations— short-term drawdown risk and long-term erosion of principal.
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