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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 244
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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

And even though numerous signs are pointing to the looming possibility of a more widespread economic downturn – including the reduction of household savings, reduced lending, and the resumption of student loan payments for many borrowers – the job market remains strong. And even though U.S.

Valuation 246
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Research links: making things riskier

Abnormal Returns

clearerthinking.org) Research How identifying economic regimes can help in portfolio allocation. caia.org) You don't need individual securities to get the benefits of tax loss harvesting. (caia.org) Correlations, 101. alphaarchitect.com) What investors get wrong about high quality stocks.

Taxes 270
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Sunday links: a nation of bad drivers

Abnormal Returns

philbak.substack.com) Taxes How much do higher taxes prompt millionaires to relocate? theatlantic.com) Is there a better way to maximize charitable giving instead of a tax deduction? vox.com) Trying to tax all families equitably is a dilemma. papers.ssrn.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

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Research links: stuck in a rut

Abnormal Returns

(wealthmanagement.com) How factor investors can hone in on after-tax returns. returnstacked.com) A look at how to identify economic regimes. alphaarchitect.com) Historically small and large caps have reacted to interest rates the same way. blogs.cfainstitute.org) How the number of firms in an industry affects idiosyncratic volatility.

Retail 279
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Sunday links: asymmetric returns

Abnormal Returns

libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org) Wealth taxes are attractive in theory, impractical in reality. axios.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (axios.com) AI Why Apple ($AAPL) is not bring AI to the EU. spyglass.org) AI needs data, including yours. nytimes.com) Policy There are no neobanks without banks.

Medicine 312
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Sunday links: selling a product

Abnormal Returns

theatlantic.com) Do data centers really deserve tax breaks? vox.com) Economy Some signs of economic caution. klementoninvesting.substack.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (axios.com) Netflix ($NFLX) dominates standup comedy. Can it continue? wsj.com) Subsidies Have cities learned anything about stadium subsidies?