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Where Will Housing Go From Here? | Weekly Market Commentary | August 22, 2022

James Hendries

Given the lag between Federal Reserve (Fed) policy and the real economy, we have not likely seen the bottom in the housing market. Outside of the pandemic, the rate of sales were close to sales rates in 2007 and 2008, when the economy was in the depths of a housing crisis [Figure 3]. Regional differences are profound. Conclusion.

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What a Week | Weekly Market Commentary | August 1, 2022

James Hendries

Perhaps the market’s biggest fear has been that the Fed may overdo its tightening to fight inflation and send the economy into a painful recession, break something, or both. He acknowledged that the economy is slowing (which is what the Fed wants) and that the full effect of the rate hikes had not yet been felt. Of course, the U.S.

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No Landing = No Sense | Weekly Market Commentary | March 6, 2023

James Hendries

Suggesting an economy makes “no landing” makes no sense. Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Analogies eventually break down, especially this one. Why The “Landing” Analogy?

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Client Letter | Big Week for Market Watchers | August 3, 2022

James Hendries

economy contracted for the second straight quarter. With a strong, even if slowing, job market and resilient consumer spending, we believe not enough sectors of the economy are contracting to qualify as an official recession. Given the slowing economy, intense cost pressures, and a strong U.S. All index data from FactSet.

Clients 52
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Market, Stocks, and Bonds Lessons Learned from 2022 | Weekly Market Commentary | January 9, 2023

James Hendries

The expectation was predicated on the view that inflation pressures would ease as global economies recalibrated to a post-pandemic environment. economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. While our team underestimated inflation and the resulting hit to valuations last year, there were some wins.

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Case for Recession Weakens | Weekly Market Commentary | August 8, 2022

James Hendries

economy is in or about to enter recession, so we thought a piece on what a recession might mean for the stock market would be of interest. economy is not currently in recession, odds are still perhaps a coin flip or better that one may come in the next year. While Friday’s strong jobs report provides more evidence that the U.S.

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CIO Perspectives Webinar, 2022 Asset Allocation Outlook

Brown Advisory

CIO Perspectives Webinar, 2022 Asset Allocation Outlook mhannan Fri, 03/18/2022 - 06:42 Markets have been unsteady at the start of 2022, driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation, and concerns about equity valuations. These trademarks have been licensed to S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. The war in Ukraine is causing even more uncertainty.