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The maths are exactly the same. These sorts of math problems are the focus of this week’s TBL. Math Problems As this TBL goes live, just 16 games and one day of the NCAA Tournament are in the books, yet my bracket is a mess. Note to self: The global economy has many more than 52 variables. Thanks for reading.
Vox ) see also If You Have to Have a Recession, Make It a Rolling One Mild slumps that ripple through the economy can slow inflation without putting too many people out of work. Businessweek ) • The Super Bowl’s Most Reliable Stock Market Indicator? Businessweek ) • The Super Bowl’s Most Reliable Stock Market Indicator?
And it’s a principle that has been disproportionately beneficial to the USA as we’ve become the wealthiest and most innovative economy in human history over the last 50 years during the free trade era. Anon: Yeah, but they’ll bring back manufacturing jobs. Anyhow, I wrote a brief cheat sheet about tariffs.
1,2 All About The Fed On Wednesday, manufacturing news came in better than expected, lifting markets until the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes were released, revealing that the Fed members had discussed rate cuts for 2024 but in no specific terms.
ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing.
And I did the math, and I think at that point in time, roughly speaking, assets in ETS were roughly just 10 percent, 12 percent of assets in mutual funds and I was pretty convinced that that number was to increase significantly. I mean, I always say it depends on the economies or the scale of the business that you are considering.
I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. All kinds of residential, retail data centers, industrial manufactured housing, seniors, housing, you name it. Is this still a persistent drag on, on their economy and what does that mean to their real estate?
Number one, manufacturing has been strong in the Southeast for a number of years. And so you see a lot of car manufacturers operating down there. And so when you think about, you know, the south and you think about industries that are moving, it continues to be manufacturing and logistics. SHAW: A lot of car companies.
on.ft.com) What it took to rebuild Notre Dame (nytimes.com) Budgeting The math on any additional tax cuts is tough. slowboring.com) Defense IS manufacturing. noahpinion.blog) Economy How CPI works. (press.airstreet.com) Will AI eat the browser? crazystupidtech.com) Notre Dame How France came together to rebuild Notre Dame.
The economy created 353,000 jobs in January, surprising to the upside. Job gains continue to support income growth, which in turn supports consumer spending and the overall economy. For a broad view of our expectations for the economy, stocks, and bonds in 2024, download our 2024 Market Outlook.
Thanks to the likes of Airbnb and others, these sharing economy services have shown us it’s not so scary! The math when paying down debt is simple – if your loan is currently at 7% and you refinance at 3%, that’s equivalent to a 4% return on your money! So let me ask – how do you feel about renting out your car?
They 00:38:39 [Speaker Changed] Price insensitive, they 00:38:41 [Speaker Changed] Right, they cared what the lower mortgage rate did to the economy. And I was always good at math and, and I had been writing code since I was in the sixth grade. They didn’t care what their return on the mortgages were.
And it was day by day from the seat of, it was the month that the economy shut down. And it’s two dozen CEOs, investors, policy makers from like all across the economy. It’s kind of apparent some of these industries are going to be the first to really succumb to an economy shutting down. Did they self-selected?
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. Whereas in 1980, 70% of it was manufacturing asset intensive, et cetera. What was the career plan? It’s a changing animal.
So when I was at this very fancy private school that I was at as a kid, I did math because it gave me a huge amount of free time to do the things I really cared about. But when I got to Cambridge, you know, the math was sort of serious there. So, you know, I took my math into statistics and things. Am I getting right?
My dad was first generation college, became an entrepreneur, started an auto parts manufacturing business. I would say the thing that connects them is just voracious curiosity about the world of politics and, you know, economies and trying to make sense out of it. So here’s the math, Barry. You know, all of these things.
Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not. The, the math came easier. And I really hated physics, really. It’s so true.
And I did a lot of options math, which I thought was interesting. 00:16:33 [Speaker Changed] So I’m, I’m hinting at a question that’s gonna come a little later, but my general sense is, you know, developed mature economies have fairly efficient markets, very hard to generate alpha because markets are so efficient.
The economy, the markets, and the world-at-large provide unlimited fodder for them. That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. ” Nobody does. And lots of surprises.
We looked at everything from retail to nursing homes to hospitals to insurance companies to manufacturers. When you look at the history of the ’80s and even ’90s era LBOs, they seem to be a lot of lesser-known, not necessarily consumer-facing companies, transport and logistics and manufacturing.
I think if you fast forward 10 or 20 years, it’s more — as I said earlier, more optimistic view of America that will have a more inclusive innovation economy, won’t just be a few people in a few places. The math never seems to work out. We see it every time, some billionaires’ stadium gets paid for by taxpayers.
Buffett noted that the math of the buyback would get even better if Apple’s shares went down (but not its intrinsic value), something people often misunderstand. Of course, a country like China, mired in poverty, that adopts the technology of the world and has a high savings rate is going to advance faster than a far more developed economy.
Buffett noted that the math of the buyback would get even better if Apple’s shares went down (but not its intrinsic value), something people often misunderstand. Of course, a country like China, mired in poverty, that adopts the technology of the world and has a high savings rate is going to advance faster than a far more developed economy.
RITHOLTZ: So 5% funds rate, what does that do to the economy? Our industry not manufacturing? I’ve just been a little bit surprised that the Fed, etcetera, has not been trying to address this because how has it become so vigorous on pressing monetary policy when it — well, what is really happening in the real economy?
A good example of that is like you take something from a cognitive reflection testy or something — like — I’ll make it real simple so we don’t have to like do the weird math on this. Like you’re running a race and you pass the person on second place, what place you’re in. Perfectly rational. is a laggard.
It’ll reduce new company formation, it’ll make us borrowing costs skyrocket, it’ll devalue the US dollar, it’s gonna cause rampant inflation and it will act as a drag on the overall economy. Wasn’t the Excel spreadsheet error, which changed their math. And their economy seems to be doing just fine.
You know, anything you dug into was a story that would tell you something about power and the trajectory of, of the Chinese economy. I love the Washington Post, but I thought, well, I better do this sleepy story, the national economy. I keep reading that, you know, consumer spending is more than two thirds of, of the American economy.
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