Abnormal Returns

MARCH 15, 2023

on.ft.com) Free streaming numbers are moving up and to the right. washingtonpost.com) Economy The economy is on the verge of a manufacturing recession. (wsj.com) The bond market reversal caught a lot of managed futures funds offsides. rcmalternatives.com) Why Treasury bonds are not risk-free.

Financial Advising 246

Financial Advising Media Risk Management Banking 246

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 26, 2022

If anything, it feels like the Fed wants to fight us, all of us, including the stock market and the economy. The Fed is actively trying to crash the stock market, break the housing market and push the economy into a recession. That’s not the case anymore. How do I know this? Wealth of Common Sense ). • New York Times ). •

Engineering 307

Engineering Economy Manufacturing Retirement 307

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 4, 2023

People often talk about "the economy" as a single entity whose parts move in unison, with a small number of key indicators (such as GDP, the unemployment rate, and inflation) moving reliably in relation to each other. manufacturing sector, by the measures of employment and service prices, has been in a recession for nearly 12 months.

Valuation 215

Valuation Economics Economy Marketing 215

Nerd's Eye View

JANUARY 3, 2024

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. As a result, uncertainty about how the economy may unfold, even along the shortest time frames, is the default.

Economics 219

Economics Marketing Marketing Economy 219

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 2, 2024

The TSA screened a record number of passengers on Sunday. sherwood.news) Economy Bubbles often leaving interesting stuff behind. awealthofcommonsense.com) The November ISM manufacturing index remains weak-ish. reuters.com) America loves the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade.

Communication 162

Communication Manufacturing Media Banking 162

The Big Picture

APRIL 10, 2023

Fundamental changes are taking place in the labor economy, especially within the service sector. This is most notable in various career choices, ranging from food service to retail to construction and manufacturing. Perhaps a few anecdotes 1 might illuminate this: We tend to cook during the week and go out to eat on weekends.

Retail 320

Retail Food Manufacturing Economy 320

Mish Talk

DECEMBER 16, 2022

Early Benchmark Methodology Preliminary (not-yet-benchmarked) state employment estimates from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continue to be subject to significant revisions around turning points in the economy. Economy Added 263,000 Jobs in November" Both reports and mainstream in general miss the big picture captured in my lead chart.

Food 361

Food Sales Economics Retail 361

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 11, 2023

The Equity Beat: Old Economy Stocks Aging Like Fine Wine mhannan Fri, 08/11/2023 - 17:10 Unlike my good friends who frequent Baltimore’s finest dining establishments about as often as the division-leading Orioles win (you know who you are), I would never be confused for a wine connoisseur. was only marginally better.

Economy 98

Economy Manufacturing Clients Economics 98

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 3, 2024

entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) Strategy Analysts focus on these market numbers, you don't have to. apolloacademy.com) Economy Where manufacturing and construction stand. Markets How major asset classes performed in August 2024. entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) REITs have stopped going down. than Europe.

Financial Advising 147

Financial Advising Startup Budgeting Manufacturing 147

Carson Wealth

OCTOBER 23, 2023

The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Let’s Call It Like It Is: The Economy Is Strong, and There’s No Recession on the Horizon A year ago, a Bloomberg Economics model projected a recession within the next 12 months with 100% probability. Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4%

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Economy Retail 143

Carson Wealth

AUGUST 5, 2024

Economic data last week showed the economy slowing more than expected, adding to worries about a potential recession. Monthly nonfarm payrolls came in weak, adding to the worries about the overall strength of the economy. Lower rates could provide a jump to the economy on both fronts.

Marketing 141

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 141

MarketWatch

APRIL 4, 2023

The number of U.S. job openings in February fell to a 21-month low, while orders for manufactured goods fell for the third time in the past four months. The number of U.S. job openings in February fell to a 21-month low, while orders for manufactured goods fell for the third time in the past four months.

Economy 75

Economy Manufacturing Economics Numbers 75

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

Carson ) • Don’t believe what anyone says about the economy. Everyone is looking at the same set of numbers and somehow coming to opposite conclusions. Bloomberg ) • Bosses want to pay you more but give you less : A growing number of workers are going freelance, taking higher wages over benefits and job security. ( Including me.

License 148

License Economy Numbers Communication 148

Trade Brains

FEBRUARY 18, 2024

Craftsman Automation : India is increasingly becoming a focal point for global manufacturing, drawing attention from boardrooms worldwide. Automotive Powertrain In Automotive Powertrain, Craftsman Automation is a top manufacturer of automotive powertrain parts. With a PE ratio of 29.1, compared to the industry’s 33.5,

Manufacturing 59

Manufacturing Engineering Pharmaceutical Government 59

Carson Wealth

JUNE 10, 2024

May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. We see many clues inflation should continue to slow, including prices paid on manufacturing and services both coming in lower than expected last week, as did unit labor costs after a strong downward revision. What else could spark a stock rally?

Marketing 143

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 143

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 9, 2023

is having a hard time keeping up with ammunition manufacturing. theconversation.com) Economy A half point Fed rate hike is again on the table. axios.com) The number of open construction jobs has fallen dramatically. (etf.com) Ukraine Ukraine is turning down the offer of support from Afghan fighters. semafor.com) The U.S.

Financial Advising 130

Financial Advising Manufacturing Media Management 130

Calculated Risk

APRIL 4, 2024

Despite solid employment, we do not expect to see signs of an economy that is overheating. ISM Surveys: Note that the ISM services are diffusion indexes based on the number of firms hiring (not the number of hires). The ISM® manufacturing employment index increased in 47.4%, up from 45.9% somewhat below consensus.

Manufacturing 78

Manufacturing Numbers Economy 78

Calculated Risk

APRIL 6, 2023

. • ISM Surveys: Note that the ISM services are diffusion indexes based on the number of firms hiring (not the number of hires). The ISM® manufacturing employment index decreased in March to 46.9%, down from 49.1% This would suggest about 35,000 jobs lost in manufacturing. last month. last month. .

Manufacturing 87

Manufacturing Numbers Economy 87

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 1, 2024

emphasis added From BofA: Like the broader economy, the labor market is cooling but not cool. ISM Surveys: Note that the ISM indexes are diffusion indexes based on the number of firms hiring (not the number of hires). The ISM® manufacturing employment index was at 43.4%, down from 49.3% and 62.6%, respectively. •

Manufacturing 75

Manufacturing Numbers Economy Marketing 75

Nationwide Financial

JANUARY 17, 2023

In other economic news, the NFIB small business survey showed decreasing optimism among small business owners, many of whom have a negative outlook on the economy and expected sales for 2023. Manufacturing production should fall 0.3 Key Takeaways: What we learned last week: (pg. CPI growth falls again.

Numbers 52

Numbers Economics Retail Sales 52

Trade Brains

APRIL 8, 2023

Semiconductors are components needed for manufacturing cars, televisions, refrigerators, washing machines, personal computers, laptops, mobiles, etc. India was facing an inadequate supply of semiconductor chips in the global market which has severely affected the supply of a number of goods such as cars, laptops, and phones.

Manufacturing 96

Manufacturing Electronics Government Communication 96

Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 30, 2023

Most traded Commodities in The World : Commodities are the basic essential materials of a good economy from which other by-products are manufactured. are required for the production of energy, food, clothing and other required products, that forms the basis of a globally growing economy.

Economics 119

Economics Food Manufacturing Government 119

Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

Although many were worried, the economy remained quite strong and odds were high the Fed was done hiking rates. The economy is normalizing, which could loosen tight financial conditions and boost cyclical activity. Monthly job growth numbers can be noisy, and so the three-month average is helpful to review.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Numbers 96

Carson Wealth

MARCH 25, 2024

If tech is removed from the equation, those numbers are estimated to drop approximately three points, putting stocks right in line with historical averages. One reason many claim the stock market is in a bubble is 2023 earnings were barely positive while stocks soared, implying it was all multiple expansion. to 2.1% (real GDP growth).

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Manufacturing 97

Carson Wealth

MAY 13, 2024

While some cracks may be forming, the economy remains on firm footing. Our Leading Economic Indicators Still Point to a Strong Economy A couple of softer-than-expected economic report cards recently came in — first quarter GDP growth and the April payroll report — and suddenly, calls for an impending recession have resumed.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 97

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 29, 2024

Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. The economy ran above trend last year, despite high interest rates. Economy: This Time Was Different, and That’s a Big Deal The U.S. economy grew 5.8% And that is what is happening now.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Government 97

Carson Wealth

APRIL 1, 2024

Looking at the numbers, more good news could be in store for the bulls. As long-time followers of this commentary know, we’ve been quite bullish on both the stock market and the economy for well over a year now. But the odds favor more green numbers. The logical question is: How much is too much? 2024 is off to a strong start.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 97

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 5, 2023

That is more than the economy needs to keep up with population growth. That’s encouraging for consumption and the economy. The Labor Market Is Also Normalizing At the beginning of the year, we labeled our 2023 outlook “The Edge of Normal” as we expected markets and the economy to normalize in 2023.

Marketing 89

Marketing Marketing Economy Compliance 89

Calculated Risk

MAY 4, 2023

. • ISM Surveys: Note that the ISM services are diffusion indexes based on the number of firms hiring (not the number of hires). The ISM® manufacturing employment index increased in April to 50.2%, up from 46.9% This would suggest about 20,000 jobs lost in manufacturing. last month. last month. .

Manufacturing 59

Manufacturing Numbers Economy 59

Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

We Aren’t Alone Anymore A year ago, we told anyone who would listen that the economy would likely avoid a recession and stocks were going to have a great year. Another data point from the recent GFS caught our attention: The number of managers looking for ‘no landing’ is rising. We see that all over NVIDIA’s earnings numbers.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 96

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 24, 2023

market for several years, but there are a large number of significant geopolitical and regional matters that are impacting investments all over the globe. Many investors and pundits continue to focus their attention on the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks that have dominated the U.S.

Economy 52

Economy Portfolio Management Clients Portfolio 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 24, 2023

market for several years, but there are a large number of significant geopolitical and regional matters that are impacting investments all over the globe. Many investors and pundits continue to focus their attention on the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks that have dominated the U.S.

Economy 52

Economy Portfolio Management Clients Portfolio 52

Carson Wealth

AUGUST 7, 2024

There are three main drivers: a weakening economy, the unwind of the yen carry trade, and the Federal Reserve (Fed) likely being way behind the curve on rate cuts. Leaving rates too high for too long slows the economy and hits small businesses and housing especially hard. was enough to start breaking the economy?

Economy 95

Economy Numbers Investments Investing 95

Carson Wealth

AUGUST 19, 2024

As we will discuss below in more detail, we still believe the US economy is just fine. Those numbers were the underpinning of a large upside surprise in July retail sales. The economy’s underlying fundamentals are sound but there are segments where tight Fed policy is having a bite. Headline retail sales came in at 1.0%

Retail 96

Retail Marketing Marketing Sales 96

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 18, 2023

Housing makes up 40% of core inflation, and the August numbers showed the official data is catching up to private rental data, albeit slowly. Retail sales have now increased at an annualized pace of 5% over the past three months, while manufacturing activity is also showing an uptick despite negative sentiment. That slowed to a 5.5-7%

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Economy Retail 96

Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 9, 2024

Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). For reference, the 2019 average was 166,000.

Marketing 69

Marketing Marketing Economy Manufacturing 69

Carson Wealth

APRIL 3, 2023

We continue to believe the economy is strong. There are positives, including a Fed that may be done with rate hikes, lower inflation, a rebound in manufacturing, and a strong labor market. companies are re-shoring a record number of manufacturing jobs. Stocks had a strong first quarter, even though the path wasn’t easy.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Manufacturing Electronics 52