Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 28, 2024

Markets The Fed's balance sheet continues to shrink. flowingdata.com) Economy We may enter a recession, but we aren't in one right now. bonddad.blogspot.com) Earlier on Abnormal Returns Personal finance links: the market canopy. sherwood.news) Money is flowing into the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ($TLT).

Marketing 269

Marketing Marketing Financial Advising Media 269

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 8, 2024

thebasispoint.com) Why you can't just talk about 'bonds' as a single market. nytimes.com) Economy The risks of a recession are rising. Rates The yield curve inversion is over. mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Mortgage rates have come down in anticipation of a Fed rate cut. finance.yahoo.com) Vanguard is now a 'no' on ESG shareholder votes.

Marketing 279

Marketing Marketing Financial Advising Economics 279

The Big Picture

MARCH 3, 2023

The chart shows the peak-to-trough declines of all the bear markets with the popular definition of a 20% decline, measured up until the start of the first 20% rally. As Batnick points out, all of these horrendous periods of market pain are already factored into long-term returns of equities. Have a look at the BAML chart above.

Marketing 336

Marketing Marketing Economics Portfolio 336

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 5, 2024

industrial economy looks different than it did four years ago. apricitas.io) Economy Weekly initial unemployment claims ticked lower. priceactionlab.com) More evidence that American economy is stalling. (sportico.com) Manufacturing The U.S. bonddad.blogspot.com) Has gasoline demand in the U.S.

Financial Advising 275

Financial Advising Manufacturing Marketing Marketing 275

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 14, 2024

 At the Money: Is War Good for Markets? February 14, 2024) What does history tell us about how war impacts the stock market? Can these patterns inform us of future bull market behavior? A 500% move in the stock market. Explain your dad’s thinking about how war plus inflation equals a stock bull market.

Marketing 317

Marketing Marketing Government Numbers 317

Nerd's Eye View

APRIL 3, 2024

With a plethora of interdependent and ever-changing parts, gaining a clear (or even not-terribly-fuzzy) understanding of where the economy stands at any given moment is a daunting task, to say the least. Even more difficult is using data based on samples and surveys (and subject to constant revision!)

Economics 244

Economics Marketing Marketing Valuation 244

Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 8, 2024

etfthinktank.tidalfinancialgroup.com) Economy Checking in on Q1 GDP nowcasts. (wired.com) ETFs Bonds have lagged in terms of passive management, but are catching up. spglobal.com) Cinthia Murphy, "Anyone looking to launch an ETF can rest assured no one wants a repeat of ETFMG’s ordeal." bloomberg.com) Used car prices are down 9.2%

Financial Advising 264

Financial Advising Marketing Marketing Media 264

Abnormal Returns

JULY 14, 2024

Top clicks this week How the rise of automated investing has changed the stock market. politico.com) Today's constructive CPI report rang a bell for financial markets. sherwood.news) How have the market's five largest stocks performed over the long run? ft.com) Just how much has indexing affected markets?

Economy 317

Economy Financial Market Investments Investing 317

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 23, 2024

Strategy Mean reversion happens in the stock market. scheplick.com) Business The degenerate economy is booming. msn.com) Heat is going to increasingly play a role in how the economy works. wapo.st) Economy More companies are now touting price cuts. Good luck trying to time it. disciplinefunds.com) Always check the ticker.

Medicine 312

Medicine Financial Advising Economy Media 312

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 11, 2024

Top clicks this week Good luck trying to figure out the stock market these days. sherwood.news) The stock market is not economy, and vice versa. humbledollar.com) What to do the next time the stock market tanks. ft.com) Market sentiment got way too bullish. tonyisola.com) You may be surprised by what Olympians eat.

Economy 309

Economy Planning Marketing Marketing 309

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 4, 2024

Markets The best time to prepare for a bear market is before it begins. marginalrevolution.com) Economy Q2 GDP Nowcasts are coming down. apolloacademy.com) Anger about the economy isn't really about the economy. awealthofcommonsense.com) When you own $240 million of a meme stock, does it actually own you?

Financial Advising 294

Financial Advising Economy Valuation Media 294

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 30, 2024

Markets The China stock market rally is very broad. sherwood.news) China's stock market is on board with economic stimulus. axios.com) The China stock market rally has gotten U.S. sherwood.news) Strategy The time to prepare for a bear market is before it is on the horizon. ETF investor attention.

Financial Advising 265

Financial Advising Financial Advice Economy Media 265

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 7, 2024

Markets Good luck trying to figure out the stock market these days. axios.com) Strategy The stock market is not economy, and vice versa. awealthofcommonsense.com) What to do the next time the stock market tanks. spyglass.org) Economy Hard landing vs. soft landing: a tale of the tape.

Financial Advising 290

Financial Advising Economy Media Marketing 290

Abnormal Returns

JANUARY 2, 2024

Markets How major asset classes performed in December 2023. capitalspectator.com) 2023 was a welcome respite from 2022, market-wise. albertbridgecapital.com) Strategy 10 predictions for 2024 including 'The economy overheats.' finance.yahoo.com) Finance Blackrock ($BLK) lost ETF market share in 2023.

Financial Advising 286

Financial Advising Economy Media Assets 286

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 29, 2024

Markets The U.S. is in the midst of an 'epic bull market.' crr.bc.edu) Economy The U.S. economy is not too hold or too cold. apolloacademy.com) You have to squint hard to find weakness in the economy. awealthofcommonsense.com) Earnings are the most important driver of stock prices. i.e. home equity.

Financial Advising 298

Financial Advising Economy Media Economics 298

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 27, 2024

This week, we speak with Kyla Scanlon , creator, host of YouTube’s,“Let’s Appreciate” podcast , writer of daily short-form videos about economy + markets. Her new book “ In This Economy?: How Money & Markets Really Work ” just came out this Summer. Prior to launching Cutter, he focused on U.S.

Healthcare 294

Healthcare Economy Numbers Assets 294

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 9, 2024

Top clicks this week The best time to prepare for a bear market is before it begins. thefinancialbodyguard.com) The current bull market is mid. tker.co) The market has always been rigged, just not in the way you think. tker.co) The market has always been rigged, just not in the way you think.

Retirement 306

Retirement Economy Assets Marketing 306

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 23, 2024

Markets The U.S. stock market is up 35 of the past 52 weeks. The stock market makes up 63% of global market cap. techcrunch.com) Economy Inflation stung, but wages are now outpacing price growth. bloomberg.com) The services economy is far outpacing manufacturing. sherwood.news) The U.S. is 26% of global GDP.

Financial Advising 288

Financial Advising Engineering Manufacturing Economy 288

Abnormal Returns

MAY 26, 2024

Markets Consumer discretionary stocks have been underperforming for awhile now. allstarcharts.com) Every big market trend eventually hits an 'air pocket.' downtownjoshbrown.com) Strategy The economy is not the stock market, and vice versa. slowboring.com) Economy Air travel is now well above pre-pandemic levels.

Financial Advising 268

Financial Advising Economy Education Media 268

Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 28, 2024

Markets Some of the most speculative sectors are perking up. blockworks.co) Strategy Rubin Miller, "Investing on hopes and hunches — making emotional decisions — is why so few portfolios earn the actual market return." fortunesandfrictions.com) The rise of passive investing hasn't broken the markets.

Valuation 279

Valuation Financial Advising Startup Media 279

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 6, 2024

Markets A bear market need not a recession make. allstarcharts.com) Strategy It's easier to deal with market volatility in theory than in practice. honest-broker.com) Economy Josh Brown talks with Claudia Sahm about the Sahm Rule and the state of the economy. youtube.com) Techbros love to panic about the economy.

Financial Advising 265

Financial Advising Economy Media Assets 265

Abnormal Returns

SEPTEMBER 1, 2024

Markets The S&P 500 returned 2.43% in August 2023. on.spdji.com) There are too many markets at all-time highs to count. wsj.com) Good luck trying to time the stock market using valuation metrics. awealthofcommonsense.com) Market statistics can gloss over the big picture. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise.

Financial Advising 295

Financial Advising Valuation Economy Economics 295

Abnormal Returns

MARCH 3, 2024

Markets These five groups are leading the market higher. stock market has outperformed developed and emerging markets over the past 16 years. economy is filled with technical debt. goodgoodgood.co) Economy Freight volume is slowing. mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) The case that the economy is doing just fine.

Financial Advising 255

Financial Advising Economy Media Banking 255

Abnormal Returns

JULY 7, 2024

Markets How the rise of automated investing has changed the stock market. awealthofcommonsense.com) When did the 'degenerate economy' really take hold? politico.com) Economy The unemployment rates is low but headed higher. disciplinefunds.com) The labor economy is slowing.

Financial Advising 265

Financial Advising Economy Media Economics 265

Abnormal Returns

JULY 2, 2024

Markets It's been awhile since we had a 1% drop in the S&P 500. cautiouslyoptimist.com) Even when the stock market is up YTD there are plenty of stocks that are down on the year. morningstar.com) Economy New business applications boomed in the pandemic and haven't fallen off much since.

Financial Advising 277

Financial Advising Economy Media Retirement 277

Abnormal Returns

MAY 12, 2024

Markets No news is good news for the stock market. tker.co) The stock market has gone nowhere the past 10 weeks. vox.com) Economy Some signs of economic caution. allstarcharts.com) What Wall Street jargon really means. awealthofcommonsense.com) Companies Apple ($AAPL) is now taking AI seriously.

Financial Advising 279

Financial Advising Economy Economics Media 279

Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 27, 2024

Markets Communications and health care are leading the U.S. market in 2024. biopharmadive.com) Strategy What happens when you invest right before a bear market? axios.com) Economy Home prices are still ticking higher. econbrowser.com) How immigration is helping the economy.

Advertising 290

Advertising Financial Advising Communication Economy 290

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 6, 2024

eig.org) Immigration affects the economy in a lot of different ways. econofact.org) The home insurance market, post Helene, is likely to get more dysfunctional. thecausalfallacy.com) Economy The labor economy is still on track. economy at present. theatlantic.com) Why the (health) uninsured rate is barely budging.

Financial Advising 279

Financial Advising Economy Food Insurance 279

Abnormal Returns

JULY 31, 2024

(capitalspectator.com) Bonds drive markets. wsj.com) How Ola came to dominate the scooter rental market in India. wealthmanagement.com) Economy All the data is pointing toward the need for a Fed rate cut. economy outperformed Europe, post-Covid? allstarcharts.com) The case for central clearing of U.S. government bonds.

Financial Advising 279

Financial Advising Media Economy Government 279

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 29, 2023

Top clicks this week A big regime shift has happened in the economy and financial markets. ritholtz.com) The bond market bear market is pretty epic. wired.com) Bond bear markets are different than stock bear markets. mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Byron Wien's 20 rules for investing and life.

Valuation 303

Valuation Economy Financial Market Portfolio 303

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 17, 2024

Markets Global market correlations are higher than they used to be, but aren't 1.0. wsj.com) India's asset management market is fiercely competitive. crr.bc.edu) How remote workers can help a local economy. ft.com) Real estate Publicly-trade homebuilders make up a growing share of the market.

Financial Advising 277

Financial Advising Communication Economy Assets 277

Abnormal Returns

MAY 10, 2024

Markets Picking 30 companies for the Dow Jones Industrial Average isn't easy in a dynamic economy. wsj.com) The stock market doesn't love high inflation. econbrowser.com) Economy Don't train real-time models with revised data. klementoninvesting.substack.com) Apple Apple ($AAPL) is in a tough spot.

Economy 265

Economy Media Marketing Marketing 265

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 15, 2023

Markets We are living through the worst bond bear market in history. cnbc.com) Why the stock market can rise in the face of war. nber.org) Economy Economists did not foresee the strong labor market. thenation.com) Ozempic isn't going to ruin the economy. wsj.com) How to think about core bond funds.

Financial Advising 289

Financial Advising Media Retail Economy 289

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 14, 2024

Markets Checking in on the bull market, two years in. etf.com) Economy Six things Presidential candidates want you to believe about the economy including 'The President controls gas prices.' optimisticallie.com) It's hard to find a losing asset class this year. sherwood.news) In contrast, the MOVE index ain't doing much.

Financial Advising 279

Financial Advising Economy Assets Insurance 279

Abnormal Returns

APRIL 9, 2024

Markets Investors are coming to terms with higher short-term interest rates. nytimes.com) All the narrative rolling around the markets including 'Sticky inflation.' wsj.com) Economy State coincident indicators show continued economic strength. ritholtz.com) The links between the stock market and economy are tenuous.

Financial Advising 265

Financial Advising Manufacturing Economy Media 265

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 30, 2024

abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Mean reversion happens in the stock market. awealthofcommonsense.com) The degenerate economy is booming. Also on the site Some reasons why being online is so exhausting these days. Good luck trying to time it. howardlindzon.com) Stop dissing standard deviation as a risk measure.

Economy 304

Economy Investments Investing Marketing 304

Abnormal Returns

JULY 28, 2024

Markets A lot of stock market indices are sitting at all-time highs. ft.com) Economy The case for the Fed to cut rates. wsj.com) How the post-pandemic economy is messing with the Sahm Rule. allstarcharts.com) It's not just the U.S. that is seeing fewer publicly traded companies.

License 290

License Financial Advising Economy Economics 290