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Wednesday links: narrative fallacies

Abnormal Returns

Strategy On the strange math of stock returns. morningstar.com) Economy Mortgage refinancing applications are on the rise. sherwood.news) The number of existing homes for sales keeps rising. fortunesandfrictions.com) Betting on smart beta has generally not worked out well for investors. sherwood.news) CEOs are all over LinkedIn.

Math 267
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Wednesday links: untold moving pieces

Abnormal Returns

thebookseller.com) Can AI chatbots do math? sherwood.news) Economy Why the Fed should cut rates now, not September. wsj.com) Existing home sales are moribund. (theatlantic.com) Meta ($META) is going full-speed on AI. spyglass.org) Academic publishers are selling access to their archives to AI companies.

Math 264
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

You need to understand how math, statistics and probabilities work. You need to understand how corporations and the global economy generally function over the long haul. New York Times ) • From Dylan to Bieber, catalogue sales are the megadeals taking over music : Some call it song management, others royalty acquisition.

Math 268
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Chart of the Week: House Prices vs Rents

Discipline Funds

But this chart is interesting because the discrepancy has a fundamental impact on the future of home prices and the economy. Of course, this data is highly localized and we generally measure “inventory” by the number of units that are actually for sale. And that’s where the math on renting comes into play.

Math 136
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10 Tuesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. economy is doing well, why do so many Americans say it’s terrible? Sapient Capital ) • If the U.S.

Insurance 130
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Wow, have you seen the stock market lately?

Mr. Money Mustache

If the average sale price of rental houses in your area goes up but the tenant keeps paying you the same amount forever, it may look good on paper but it doesnt really mean anything unless you sell the house. . Its just basic math. Does it mean our entire economy is expected to grow much more quickly?

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14 Best Recession-Proof Businesses Ideas You Can Try!

Clever Girl Finance

This is because consumers become concerned about the economy or have lost their jobs and means of income. Recession-proof businesses are usually in industries that are not severely impacted by a decline in the economy. Here are 14 good businesses to start in a bad economy: 1. What does a recession mean? Baby products.

Food 105