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Monday links: defining points in history

Abnormal Returns

propublica.org) Economy Retail sales are decelerating. calculatedriskblog.com) More signs the economy is weakening. apolloacademy.com) Earlier on Abnormal Returns Adviser links: durable portfolios. (paulkrugman.substack.com) The U.S. has halted efforts to clean up Agent Orange in Vietnam. Well, you should be. geekwire.com)

Media 195
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Wednesday links: portfolio entropy

Abnormal Returns

Strategy A big regime shift has happened in the economy and financial markets. blockworks.co) Economy Q3 GDP nowcasts still show robust growth. newsletter.abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media Tech billionaires take a very favorable view of their own work. ritholtz.com) Rapid company growth comes with its own risks.

Portfolio 277
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“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

and other big firms sent out their calls for 2024, a consensus took shape: After surging more than 20% as artificial intelligence breakthroughs unleashed a tech-stock boom and the economy kept defying the doomsayers, the S&P 500 Index would likely scratch out only a modest gain. So as strategists at Bank of America Corp.,

Banking 345
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Friday links: the siren song of FOMO

Abnormal Returns

wsj.com) Social media Australia just voted into law a social media ban for children under the age of 16. nytimes.com) Economy The Russian Ruble is tumbling in value. abnormalreturns.com) Personal finance links: a boring portfolio. (ft.com) Retail How Target ($TGT) lost its shine. Well, you should.

Media 162
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Friday links: changing the game

Abnormal Returns

citywire.com) This pension fund is adding Bitcoin to its portfolio. wired.com) Economy Industrial production rose in January. abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media Rural women are increasingly saying no to marriage. (paulkrugman.substack.com) Crypto The SEC could soon allow for in-kind redemptions for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

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Wednesday links: sub-optimal portfolios

Abnormal Returns

wsj.com) Economy The 3 month-18 month Treasury spread is almost inverted. newsletter.abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media Two questions to ask during a reference check. (wsj.com) Housing affordability is at a multi-decade low. politicalcalculations.blogspot.com) Opendoor ($OPEN) is doing a big round of layoffs.

Portfolio 245
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What Else Might be Driving Sentiment?

The Big Picture

I run through 30 charts in 30 minutes that explain where we are in the economic cycle, what markets are doing, and what it means to their portfolios. The economy is not on the right track, even as Americans’ Net Worth Surged by Most in Decades During Pandemic. This quarter, it was Sentiment. And the words expressing “Joy” or “Neutral?”

Media 351