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Manufacturing decreased slightly on net, and a number of Districts said manufacturers were stockpiling inventories in anticipation of higher tariffs. Contacts in most Districts reported modest increases in selling prices, though there were instances of flat or decreasing prices as well, particularly in the retail and manufacturing sectors.
awealthofcommonsense.com) Retailing Why retail workers are quitting in record numbers. wsj.com) A record number of apartments are under construction. calculatedriskblog.com) Economy Q3 GDP is tracking at 3% growth. (morningstar.com) What investors get wrong about the 'Yale Model.'
on.ft.com) Alternatives The number of hedge fund startups is dwindling. johnwallstreet.com) Economy The November CPI came with a 2.7% abnormalreturns.com) Research links: retail order flow. (on.ft.com) Memecoin pump-and-dumps have become normalized. defector.com) The celebrity memecoin playbook is now well developed.
Banking The number of bank branches in the U.S. theblock.co) Retail investors trade leveraged ETFs way too much. bloomberg.com) Economy The housing and manufacturing sectors are both range-bound. peaked in 2012. sherwood.news) Where SVB's business stands as JP Morgan ($JPM) looks to make inroads.
nytimes.com) Zeke Faux's "Number Go Up" isn't really a book about crypto. ft.com) Financial media The financial media lapped up stories of "organized retail crime." ft.com) Economy Consumers are finally pushing back against higher prices. econbrowser.com) If you are looking for signs of weakness in the economy, here they are.
Crypto Fidelity has opened up access to its retail crypto account. axios.com) Economy Where coincident state indexes stand. ritholtz.com) The number of CPI components rolling over is on the rise. nytimes.com) You might be shocked how much usable product retailers throw away. theblock.co) BlockFi has filed for bankruptcy.
Fundamental changes are taking place in the labor economy, especially within the service sector. This is most notable in various career choices, ranging from food service to retail to construction and manufacturing. Then there is retail. The post Help Wanted! appeared first on The Big Picture.
This month's edition kicks off with the news that 'startup' custodian Altruist has completed a $169 million fundraising round as it continues to rebuild the RIA custodial tech stack layer-by-layer while positioning itself as the biggest RIA custodian built from scratch and solely for advisors – which, while making it the clear #3 custodian behind (..)
When I put together my list of what was to blame for inflation , corporate profit-seeking was number (13 of 15). Generally speaking, high-profit margins are not a sign of an economy that is overheating. Subsequent updates ( here , here , and here ) have led me to “wonder how much I underestimated greedflation.”
I find it hard to believe something that obvious is the play, so I call the number listed at their Facebook account: (800) 571-7765. This organization primarily operates in the Watches business / industry within the Miscellaneous Retail sector. Of note: Delivery within 180 Days. Amex chargeback cutoff is 120 days.
stock indexes opened lower on Wednesday after January retail sales number came in higher than expected, a sign that the U.S. retailers jumped 3% in January, topping the 1.9% Retail sales are a big part of consumer spending and could offer clues about the strength of the economy. The S&P 500 was off 0.6%
Today, the Producer Price Index and Consumer Retail Sales both showed the economy is decelerating and not on an inflation-adjusted basis. There is not a lot the Fed can do to increase the number of workers, create more single-family homes, end the Russian war in Ukraine, produce more semiconductors, or untangle snarled supply chains.
Early Benchmark Methodology Preliminary (not-yet-benchmarked) state employment estimates from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continue to be subject to significant revisions around turning points in the economy. Economy Added 263,000 Jobs in November" Both reports and mainstream in general miss the big picture captured in my lead chart.
The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Retail and food service sales have increased at an 8.6% Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4% Since then, the economy has accelerated. At Carson, we have consistently believed the economy is resilient and will avoid a recession.
theatlantic.com) Finding a good retail CEO is tough these days. bloomberg.com) Economy What does a 'no landing' economic scenario look like? apricitas.io) There are a near-record number of housing units currently under construction. Everything else it built in-house has crashed and burned." pragcap.com) Fidelity is hiring!
The Equity Beat: Old Economy Stocks Aging Like Fine Wine mhannan Fri, 08/11/2023 - 17:10 Unlike my good friends who frequent Baltimore’s finest dining establishments about as often as the division-leading Orioles win (you know who you are), I would never be confused for a wine connoisseur. was only marginally better.
Previously she was co-head of the bank’s Innovation Economy Group. Alright, so, so you go from public finance, how did you evolve towards co-head of innovation economy? So Barry Ritholtz : Let’s talk about your dual role, your, your co-head of innovation economy and your head of specialized industries.
AAPL is shaving an unspecified number of jobs within its corporate retail teams, according to a Bloomberg report on Monday. DIS, and others have suffered in the teeth of a shaky economy and sluggish consumer spending. Apple has largely avoided the massive job cuts its peers at Meta Platforms Inc. MSFT, Amazon.com Inc.
Retail Sales (February): Headline number: rose 0.2% (below expectations of up 0.7%). Economies and markets fluctuate. Raised inflation outlook for 2025, and lowered GDP growth expectations for this year. Cited rising uncertainty around the economic outlook due to tariffs and slowing growth.
However, there are many other lesser-known indicators that can actually provide valuable insights and are helpful for the economy. Back in the autumn of 2001, he noticed that when the US economy was struggling due to the recession, lipstick sales were actually going up instead of down. Keep reading to find out what they are!
May job growth surprised to the upside with the economy adding a robust 272,000 jobs. How the consumer is tapped out, the economy is headed for a recession, only a few stocks are going up, and so on endlessly. We didn’t even see significant revisions to March and April payroll numbers, and the 3-month average now sits at 249,000.
With inflation remaining persistent, Q3 earnings reports from retailers suggest that the slowing macroeconomic environment is draining the power of the U.S. However, the slowdown is not affecting all retailers, at least not yet. At the same time, October retail sales surged 1.3% To put that number in perspective, U.S.
In other economic news, the NFIB small business survey showed decreasing optimism among small business owners, many of whom have a negative outlook on the economy and expected sales for 2023. January 18: Autos wear down retail sales. Key Takeaways: What we learned last week: (pg. CPI growth falls again. Auto unit sales fell by 5.6
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • Why Hot Wheels are one of the most inflation-proof toys in American history : Hot Wheels are a retail oddity. Why does good news about the economy sound bad to the Fed? Sustainability by numbers ). • Institutional Investor ). • The complicated reason why could push us into a recession.
As we will discuss below in more detail, we still believe the US economy is just fine. Recession Narrative Fades on Strong Retail Sales As long as employment is strong, consumer spending will be strong. Those numbers were the underpinning of a large upside surprise in July retail sales. Headline retail sales came in at 1.0%
We have never seen such numbers outside a recession. The economy is fine but housing, industrial production, and retail sales struggling. Note that Housing Starts Flat in November but Permits Unexpectedly Collapse by 11 Percent There was a stunning 29 percent collapse in single family housing starts from a year ago.
Retail sales were flat in September, extending the weaker trend in consumer activity seen in recent months as higher prices and rising interest rates force cuts by many households. Total retail spending was flat from June to September as households broadly cut back on expenses in response to high inflation.
A divergence continues to exist between the allocation to equities by retail and institutional investors. There is near record pessimism about the global economy and corporate profits. Real wages have been negative for 16 straight months, forcing an increasing number of families to rely on credit cards for everyday spending.
Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. Will a Resilient Consumer Support Holiday Retail? over the last 20 years, pre-2020.
UnHerd ) • The Pandemic Transformed America’s Biggest Downtowns in Very Different Ways : While transit ridership and downtown dining took a big hit across the board, new commuting patterns and retail spending vary widely across the US. It is finally possible to imagine a post-Communist regime.
As long-time readers know, Carson Investment Research has been on record since November of 2022 that the lows were indeed in and prices were going higher, and that the economy would surprise to the upside and avoid a recession. I don’t know how you can look at these numbers and still say inflation is a problem. Core CPI is up 3.3%
4,5 Stocks dropped again on Friday as strong October retail sales seemed to reinforce Powell’s comments about Fed rate adjustments. Tug-O-War The inflation data that came in last week—retail and wholesale—show that the path to the Fed’s stated goal of 2 percent inflation may prove bumpy. 6 Source: YCharts.com, November 16, 2024.
Businesses wouldn’t be able to access capital for growth, individuals would struggle to manage their finances and the overall economy would grind to halt. Banks are the lifeblood of any economy. In FY 2022-23, YES BANK’s retail advances climbed to 45%, up from 24% in FY 2019-20.
Housing makes up 40% of core inflation, and the August numbers showed the official data is catching up to private rental data, albeit slowly. Retail sales have now increased at an annualized pace of 5% over the past three months, while manufacturing activity is also showing an uptick despite negative sentiment. That slowed to a 5.5-7%
Economy Remains Healthy : As mentioned earlier, the constant barrage of recession calls over the last two years has been blatantly wrong. remains near record lows, the number of employed persons paints a similarly strong picture. briefly at the end of October. growth rate (see chart below).
This is because consumers become concerned about the economy or have lost their jobs and means of income. Recession-proof businesses are usually in industries that are not severely impacted by a decline in the economy. Here are 14 good businesses to start in a bad economy: 1. Retail consignment. Baby products.
The higher the asset quality of banks, the better the state of the economy. Banks facilitate the flow of money in markets following monetary policy, which determines the economy’s growth and decline. According to the FY23 report, the total number of employees was 27,517. in November 2015.
economy continues to look solid, with markets rallying Friday after a stronger-than-expected jobs report. gain, but not a bad number by any means. Of course, markets will ultimately respond to movement in the economy and corporate America, which we discuss below. economy, and the job market is leading the way.
Let’s Not Get Too Excited Yet Yes, stocks hit new highs across the board last week on optimism about an economy that would likely avoid a recession and a Fed that was now cutting rates. Amongst other things, the August retail sales report showed that online sales grew at an annualized pace of 15% over the past three months.
And so, with this gave me exposure to everything from investment banking to retail, looking at like checking account campaigns, like how do you get more assets in the door to credit risk. I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. Like lives are completely changed across ….
She has had a number of different positions within PIM, including managing their flagship core real estate fund. She has lived and invested through not just the great financial crisis, but the SNL crisis and a number of other fascinating experiences in real estate. If there was an error in a report or a number, I went ballistic.
Highlights include: Retail sales numbers show that consumer spending is strong Consumer sentiment is still low when it comes to the economy More spending means good news for stocks Earnings could be the catalyst for an end-of-year rally Looking for more investment insights and market analysis?
India’s IPO market has made a strong comeback this year, making it the global leader in the number of IPOs so far in 2023 and attracting investors to take advantage of the renewed interest in public offerings on Dalal Street. What do the numbers tell about IPOs? 2014 5 0.14 2015 21 1.63 2016 26 3.18 2017 36 8.06 2018 24 3.71
I try to analyze the economy from the top. And to this day, we know when I have a view on the economy, or usually have a view on the economy or inflation, it’s usually driven because I read so many corporate earnings reports and trying to understand why they’re cutting inventory, why are they laying off people.
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