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Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity rose slightly"

Calculated Risk

Sales of farm equipment were a notable headwind to overall investment activity, and several contacts expressed concerns about the future prices of equipment given ongoing weakness in the farm economy. Energy activity in the oil and gas sector was flat but demand for electricity generation continued to grow at a robust rate.

Economics 278
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“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

and other big firms sent out their calls for 2024, a consensus took shape: After surging more than 20% as artificial intelligence breakthroughs unleashed a tech-stock boom and the economy kept defying the doomsayers, the S&P 500 Index would likely scratch out only a modest gain. So as strategists at Bank of America Corp.,

Banking 345
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Creating A (Just In Case) Game Plan For Clients Facing Layoffs

Nerd's Eye View

economy predicted by many experts to slow down in the near future, many people’s thoughts have turned to the prospect of a recession. And while there are many things to consider when planning for a layoff, these considerations can be grouped into two distinct types of conversations. With the U.S.

Clients 242
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Friday links: advanced planning

Abnormal Returns

collabfund.com) Economy Canada is adding jobs across all sectors. (axios.com) Manufacturing employment has stopped going down. washingtonpost.com) High child care costs are preventing some people from returning to work. wsj.com) The case for a return to the office. bnnbloomberg.ca) Forecasters are ganging up on the yield curve indicator.

Planning 243
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Monday links: an openness to risk

Abnormal Returns

klementoninvesting.substack.com) Strategy Why you need a plan, now more than ever. sherwood.news) Economy A hard stop to consumer and business spending could cause a recession. (morningstar.com) Markets are discounting lower future cash flows. ritholtz.com) What would earnings have to do to justify the move down? You are human.

Media 162
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Monday links: big lessons

Abnormal Returns

production plans. finance.yahoo.com) Global With a rate hike in the books, is Japan's economy finally normalizing? bloomberg.com) Economy The employment economy is humming along. bonddad.blogspot.com) Where the manufacturing economy stands. radreads.co) Companies Taiwan Semi ($TSM) is doubling down on its U.S.

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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

Do we simply ignore the growth in the size of the economy and the U.S. Economy in 2022 was $25,439.70B; in 2009, it was $14,478.06B; ignore that also? That none of these things occurred makes me wonder why we still pay attention to these deficit hawks. And second, should we ignore changes that have taken place over that 15-year period?

Economy 347