Thu.Jun 20, 2024

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Thursday links: really successful investors

Abnormal Returns

Markets What's different about the Magnificent Seven stocks. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Don't look now but Taiwan Semi ($TSM) is nearly a $1 trillion company. (bnnbloomberg.ca) The case for swapping large caps for small caps. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Strategy There's no such thing as certainty. (tonyisola.com) Lessons from Robert Hagstrom’s 1994 book "The Warren Buffett Way.

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Bull Market Signposts: What Happens Before S&P 500 Peaks?

The Big Picture

Making good progress on the book, about 60-70% finished (I feel good about it). I wanted to pop out of hiding to share a few charts/tables that should raise your confidence levels that — despite media coverage to the contrary — we are not on the verge of collapse. I want to direct your attention to the latest missive from Savita Subramanian, who runs the Equity and Quant Strategy group at BAML.

Marketing 190
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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.0% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For April, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 35.2% YoY, but still down almost 34% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 36.0% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.

Sales 109
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New US Home Construction Plunges to Slowest Pace Since June 2020

Advisor Perspectives

New home construction in the US slumped in May to the slowest pace in four years, as higher-for-longer interest rates sap the housing industry’s momentum from earlier this year.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Supply & Demand in the Stock Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: You guys have recently quoted Slock in two podcast episodes that Private Equity Companies, those with over 100 million dollars in revenue make up 87 percent of that category versus only 13 percent of publicly traded company fall into the 100 million in revenue category, and that number is only increasing. With that said, is this ONE of the reasons stock prices seem to continuously increase.

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Don't Assume Asymmetric Returns

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Jason Buck from Mutiny Funds and creator of the Cockroach Portfolio gave a web presentation about Cockroach via RCM Alternatives. We've looked at the Cockroach Portfolio several times before. Its original was influence by the Permanent Portfolio created by Harry Browne which allocates 25% each to stocks, long bonds, gold and cash. The big idea is that no matter what is going on in the world, at least one of the four will be going up.

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Listed Real Estate: Weaker Shelter Inflation the Additional Signal Needed for Fed Rate Cuts?

Advisor Perspectives

Portfolio Managers Guy Barnard and Greg Kuhl highlight how the shelter component of CPI is exerting downward pressure on inflation, paving the way for rate cuts – a tailwind for listed real estate.

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The Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: Former Bank Brokers on How to Build, Grow and Scale

Wealth Management

Dustin Cali and Daniel Ventura of Praetego Private Wealth broke away to build a business designed for the future, poised for growth and scale, with the freedom to serve clients’ unique needs.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 238,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending June 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 238,000 , a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 242,000 to 243,000. The 4-week moving average was 232,750, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average.

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Auditpalooza: Rocking the Month-End Close Audit

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

A good, fast, clean audit leads to a happy work life. Join us in this one-hour webinar, where we share the best ways to prepare and conduct your audit process to maximize audit satisfaction and minimize administrative time in month-end close and financial reporting. Learning objectives: This course objective is to review leading practices to maximize audit success.

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Democrating Access to Advice

Wealth Management

Mark Evans, president and CEO of Conquest Planning, discusses how his firm works to provide advice to all clients, not just the high net worth.

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NAHB Housing Market Index: Builder Confidence Falls to Lowest Level of the Year

Advisor Perspectives

Builder confidence fell further in June as mortgage rates above 7% and elevated construction financing continue to slow down the market. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index (HMI) dropped to 43 this month, its lowest level of the year. The latest reading came was below the forecast of 45.

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401(k) Real Talk Episode 110: June 20, 2024

Wealth Management

Open, honest and candid discussion about forfeiture lawsuits, hybrid TDFs with annuities, new hires at Cetera and Allianz Life and more.

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Unemployment Claims Down 5K, Worse Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending June 15th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 238,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading is higher than the forecast of 235,000 jobless claims.

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Benchmarking ROI with Forrester: Measuring the Success of Finance Transformation

Finance Transformation Myths Busted Over 75% of organizations struggle to define the right success metrics to benchmark the impact of their finance transformation investment. Whether you are just initiating your digital transformation journey or planning to pitch your next AI project to leadership, without the right metrics and a rigorous tracking process - all your efforts might go to waste!

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AssetMark To Acquire $12B In Assets From Morningstar Wealth TAMP

Wealth Management

Account migrations from Morningstar's TAMP to AssetMark will occur over the next six months as the deal is finalized.

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Building Permits Fall to Nearly 4-Year Low

Advisor Perspectives

In May, building permits fell to their lowest level since June 2020. In the latest report by the Census Bureau, building permits were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.386 million, falling short of the forecasted rate of 1.450 million. This marks a 3.8% decrease from April and a 9.5% decline compared to one year ago.

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Bridging the Advisory Gap Between Generations

Wealth Management

LPL Financial's Jared Fingeret discusses the firm's acquisition strategy

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Housing Starts Drop to Lowest Level Since June 2020

Advisor Perspectives

In May, housing starts dropped to their lowest level since June 2020. In the latest report by the Census Bureau, housing starts fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.277 million, falling short of the forecasted rate of 1.370 million. This marks a 5.5% decrease from April and a 19.3% decline compared to one year ago.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Friday: Existing Home Sales

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 10:00 AM ET, Existing Home Sales for May from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 4.10 million SAAR, down from 4.14 million.

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Is your office more driven by logic or emotion?

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Matt Pais, MDRT Content Specialist Think of yourself at your best and worst around the office: Are you behaving like a responsible adult or a needy 4-year-old child? In her 2013 Annual Meeting presentation “I can handle it,” psychologist Rachael Alexander, MD, said that all people operate on various points of a spectrum between the logical part of the brain and the emotional part, and when faced with change and stress, we often skew farther toward the emotional side and away from

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Zillow Home Value Index: "Real" Home Value Flat in May

Advisor Perspectives

In May, nominal home values increased for a 14th straight months while "real" home values were flat. Last month's ZHVI came in at $360.681, up 0.4% from the previous month and up 4.3% from one year ago. However, after adjusting for inflation, the real figures are 0.0% month-over-month and -1.3% year-over-year.

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RIA Industry Hits Record Highs of Firms, Clients, IAA Survey Finds

Wealth Management

The number of registered firms hit an all-time high of 15,396, according to an annual snapshot co-created by the Investment Adviser Association and COMPLY.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: Steady Activity in June

Advisor Perspectives

The latest Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index remained in positive territory for a fifth straight month as manufacturing activity remained steady overall. In June, the index fell to 1.3 from 4.5 in May, coming in below the forecast of 4.8. The six-month outlook dropped to 13.8.

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Nurture, Stand Out, Or Growth? Our 3 Options Of Digital Marketing Make It Easy To Find A Strategy That Fits

Indigo Marketing Agency

When it comes to marketing, every financial advisor has different audiences and different budgets but the same goal: bring in more qualified leads. After working with hundreds of advisors, it became clear that the best way to serve you was by breaking our service into three new tiers so you can find what works best for you. Between our Nurture, Stand Out, and Growth tiers, you’ll be able to pick and choose which plans of attack are most attractive to you, and even custom-select specific services

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Morgan Stanley Looks to Latin America as Global Tensions Rise

Advisor Perspectives

Morgan Stanley is increasing its investments in Latin America as geopolitical conflicts elsewhere in the world give the region increasing prominence in the global economy.

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Supreme Court Upholds US Tax on Foreign Business Income

Wealth Management

The federal government estimates the mandatory repatriation tax would bring in $340 billion over 10 years.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Nvidia’s Explosive Growth Masks AI Disillusionment

Advisor Perspectives

Does anyone in Silicon Valley know the saying, “The bigger they are, the harder they fall?” Perhaps it’s just a matter of time before they will.

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401(k) Real Talk Transcript for June 20, 2024

Wealth Management

Transcript of Episode 110 of 401(k) Real Talk.

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Election Risk Returns

Advisor Perspectives

A top risk for investors, elections may see a shift from centrist to more populist policy that could slow exports, raise inflation, and increase volatility in the global markets.