Thu.Jun 20, 2024

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Thursday links: really successful investors

Abnormal Returns

Markets What's different about the Magnificent Seven stocks. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Don't look now but Taiwan Semi ($TSM) is nearly a $1 trillion company. (bnnbloomberg.ca) The case for swapping large caps for small caps. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Strategy There's no such thing as certainty. (tonyisola.com) Lessons from Robert Hagstrom’s 1994 book "The Warren Buffett Way.

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Bull Market Signposts: What Happens Before S&P 500 Peaks?

The Big Picture

Making good progress on the book, about 60-70% finished (I feel good about it). I wanted to pop out of hiding to share a few charts/tables that should raise your confidence levels that — despite media coverage to the contrary — we are not on the verge of collapse. I want to direct your attention to the latest missive from Savita Subramanian, who runs the Equity and Quant Strategy group at BAML.

Marketing 195
Insiders

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Supply & Demand in the Stock Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: You guys have recently quoted Slock in two podcast episodes that Private Equity Companies, those with over 100 million dollars in revenue make up 87 percent of that category versus only 13 percent of publicly traded company fall into the 100 million in revenue category, and that number is only increasing. With that said, is this ONE of the reasons stock prices seem to continuously increase.

Marketing 142
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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.0% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For April, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 35.2% YoY, but still down almost 34% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 36.0% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.

Sales 116
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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AssetMark To Acquire $12B In Assets From Morningstar Wealth TAMP

Wealth Management

Account migrations from Morningstar's TAMP to AssetMark will occur over the next six months as the deal is finalized.

Assets 115

More Trending

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The Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: Former Bank Brokers on How to Build, Grow and Scale

Wealth Management

Dustin Cali and Daniel Ventura of Praetego Private Wealth broke away to build a business designed for the future, poised for growth and scale, with the freedom to serve clients’ unique needs.

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New US Home Construction Plunges to Slowest Pace Since June 2020

Advisor Perspectives

New home construction in the US slumped in May to the slowest pace in four years, as higher-for-longer interest rates sap the housing industry’s momentum from earlier this year.

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401(k) Real Talk Episode 110: June 20, 2024

Wealth Management

Open, honest and candid discussion about forfeiture lawsuits, hybrid TDFs with annuities, new hires at Cetera and Allianz Life and more.

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Do risk managers manage risk?

Norman Marks

Stefan Hunziker recently wrote an excellent piece on LinkedIn. He wrote: As clear as mud: Do risk managers or decision-makers manage risk? I congratulated him for his post, but I want to go into his question in more detail here. Let’s consider the ISO 31000:2018 diagram of a risk management process.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Democrating Access to Advice

Wealth Management

Mark Evans, president and CEO of Conquest Planning, discusses how his firm works to provide advice to all clients, not just the high net worth.

Clients 105
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Listed Real Estate: Weaker Shelter Inflation the Additional Signal Needed for Fed Rate Cuts?

Advisor Perspectives

Portfolio Managers Guy Barnard and Greg Kuhl highlight how the shelter component of CPI is exerting downward pressure on inflation, paving the way for rate cuts – a tailwind for listed real estate.

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Bridging the Advisory Gap Between Generations

Wealth Management

LPL Financial's Jared Fingeret discusses the firm's acquisition strategy

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 238,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending June 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 238,000 , a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 242,000 to 243,000. The 4-week moving average was 232,750, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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RIA Industry Hits Record Highs of Firms, Clients, IAA Survey Finds

Wealth Management

The number of registered firms hit an all-time high of 15,396, according to an annual snapshot co-created by the Investment Adviser Association and COMPLY.

Clients 85
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Is your office more driven by logic or emotion?

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Matt Pais, MDRT Content Specialist Think of yourself at your best and worst around the office: Are you behaving like a responsible adult or a needy 4-year-old child? In her 2013 Annual Meeting presentation “I can handle it,” psychologist Rachael Alexander, MD, said that all people operate on various points of a spectrum between the logical part of the brain and the emotional part, and when faced with change and stress, we often skew farther toward the emotional side and away from

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401(k) Real Talk Transcript for June 20, 2024

Wealth Management

Transcript of Episode 110 of 401(k) Real Talk.

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Friday: Existing Home Sales

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 10:00 AM ET, Existing Home Sales for May from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 4.10 million SAAR, down from 4.14 million.

Sales 69
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Supreme Court Upholds US Tax on Foreign Business Income

Wealth Management

The federal government estimates the mandatory repatriation tax would bring in $340 billion over 10 years.

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NAHB Housing Market Index: Builder Confidence Falls to Lowest Level of the Year

Advisor Perspectives

Builder confidence fell further in June as mortgage rates above 7% and elevated construction financing continue to slow down the market. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index (HMI) dropped to 43 this month, its lowest level of the year. The latest reading came was below the forecast of 45.

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Nurture, Stand Out, Or Growth? Our 3 Options Of Digital Marketing Make It Easy To Find A Strategy That Fits

Indigo Marketing Agency

When it comes to marketing, every financial advisor has different audiences and different budgets but the same goal: bring in more qualified leads. After working with hundreds of advisors, it became clear that the best way to serve you was by breaking our service into three new tiers so you can find what works best for you. Between our Nurture, Stand Out, and Growth tiers, you’ll be able to pick and choose which plans of attack are most attractive to you, and even custom-select specific services

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Unemployment Claims Down 5K, Worse Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending June 15th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 238,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading is higher than the forecast of 235,000 jobless claims.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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What You Need To Know About The Financial Advisor Landscape

Indigo Marketing Agency

There are more than a few reasons to look forward to 2021. Here at Indigo Marketing, we feel that too. So we wanted to give you a sneak peek into what the financial advisor landscape may look like next year. Let’s start with what the most current trends are today. What The Statistics Say Right now, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, there are approximately 263,000 financial advisors in the United States.

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Building Permits Fall to Nearly 4-Year Low

Advisor Perspectives

In May, building permits fell to their lowest level since June 2020. In the latest report by the Census Bureau, building permits were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.386 million, falling short of the forecasted rate of 1.450 million. This marks a 3.8% decrease from April and a 9.5% decline compared to one year ago.

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Research Paper: The Implications of Migration to the Southern United States

Fortune Financial

This was a fun collaboration with my Preferred Shares co-host, Doug Ott, of Andvari & Associates. We take a deep dive into the factors driving continued movement of both businesses and populations to the South, a region which has benefited from above average economic growth since the end of World War II: Please download the entire research paper here.

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Housing Starts Drop to Lowest Level Since June 2020

Advisor Perspectives

In May, housing starts dropped to their lowest level since June 2020. In the latest report by the Census Bureau, housing starts fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.277 million, falling short of the forecasted rate of 1.370 million. This marks a 5.5% decrease from April and a 19.3% decline compared to one year ago.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Don't Assume Asymmetric Returns

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Jason Buck from Mutiny Funds and creator of the Cockroach Portfolio gave a web presentation about Cockroach via RCM Alternatives. We've looked at the Cockroach Portfolio several times before. Its original was influence by the Permanent Portfolio created by Harry Browne which allocates 25% each to stocks, long bonds, gold and cash. The big idea is that no matter what is going on in the world, at least one of the four will be going up.

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Zillow Home Value Index: "Real" Home Value Flat in May

Advisor Perspectives

In May, nominal home values increased for a 14th straight months while "real" home values were flat. Last month's ZHVI came in at $360.681, up 0.4% from the previous month and up 4.3% from one year ago. However, after adjusting for inflation, the real figures are 0.0% month-over-month and -1.3% year-over-year.

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Longform links: always en route

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Phil Elwood’s upcoming book, "All The Worst Humans: How I Made News for Dictators, Tycoons, and Politicians." (semafor.com) A Q&A with Ramin Setoodeh author of "Apprentice in Wonderland: How Donald Trump and Mark Burnett Took America Through the Looking Glass." (nymag.com) An excerpt from “Second Act: What Late Bloomers Can Tell You About Success and Reinventing Your Life” by Henry Oliver.

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