Sun.Jun 09, 2024

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Seattle Redux: Misunderstanding Seasonal Adjustments

The Big Picture

@TBPInvictus here. About a decade or so ago, the city of Seattle undertook to raise its minimum wage, over time, to $15/hour. (Massive credit to my friend Nick Hanauer for his efforts to make that happen.) What followed in the immediate aftermath of both the announcement and implementation was nothing less than a apocalyptic, collective head explosion on the right about the devastating effects the increase would have, particularly in the food services sector: However, there’s little doubt that t

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week The best time to prepare for a bear market is before it begins. (awealthofcommonsense.com) A review of major asset class performance in May 2024. (capitalspectator.com) Why you shouldn't be worried about index funds just yet. (thefinancialbodyguard.com) The current bull market is mid. (tker.co) The market has always been rigged, just not in the way you think.

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Fixed Income Has Income Again

A Wealth of Common Sense

The bad news about the historic bond bear market is that fixed income investors were forced to deal with large losses in certain areas of the bond market. The good news is the rising rates that caused the bear market in bonds mean yields are in a much better place than they’ve been for the past 10-15 years. Fixed income has income again. In fact, investors in search of yield have all sorts of options — T-bill.

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Sunday links: playing your own game

Abnormal Returns

Concentration The S&P 500 has become increasingly concentrated. (apolloacademy.com) Should you be worried? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Markets Can we finally move past the Gamestock ($GME) era of markets? (herbgreenberg.substack.com) Does anything matter any more in markets? (spyglass.org) Alternatives More investors are facing up to the problem with illiquid alternatives.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Finding Value in Sustainable Dividend Payers

Wealth Management

How sustainable dividends can identify smart capital allocation.

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Closed End Funds Ain't Easy

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Barron's had a quick writeup on tactical funds that can switch between equity and fixed income exposure, either making big changes to their allocations or small tweaks to their allocations. The implication from the article was that the turnover in these is very high. The reason for the article is that "some of these funds are worthy diversifiers for a traditional fixed allocation portfolio.

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Financial planning is about more than numbers

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Rebecca J. Gonzalez, CFP, CLU Visitors to our office walk in and see a chalkboard with client photos representing their bucket list accomplishments. This is our bucket list board, and we have a different theme every year. This year’s theme is “Defy your age.” We ask our clients to submit photos that demonstrate what they are doing to defy their age.

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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of June 9, 2024 Monday: • No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 and DOW futures are little changed (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $75.37 per barrel and Brent at $79.53 per barrel. A year ago, WTI was at $70, and Brent was at $75 - so WTI oil prices are up about 7% year-over-year.

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Here’s Everything Apple Plans to Show at Its AI-Focused WWDC Event

Advisor Perspectives

Apple Inc. isn’t typically the first to embrace new product categories — as it famously showed with its iPhone, smartwatch and Vision Pro. All those areas were established before the company showed up, but Apple found a way to make its mark.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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[cdata[ The Art of the Upsell: How Airlines Maximize Every Mile ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ In today's cutthroat airline industry, companies are constantly seeking new ways to increase their revenue. One of the most effective strategies they've developed is the art of the upsell. This practice of offering additional products or services beyond the basic fare has become a cornerstone of airline revenue management. As you book your flights, you're often enticed with various.

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Tesla Investor’s Suit Targets Vote on Texas Move, Musk Pay

Advisor Perspectives

A Tesla Inc. shareholder sued to challenge an upcoming proxy vote about whether the electric-car maker should move its corporate home to Texas and re-approve a $56 billion pay package for co-founder Elon Musk that was thrown out by a Delaware judge.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • High-Yield Was Oxy. Private Credit Is Fentanyl. Yet despite the data — and the intuition about higher-yielding loans described above — private lenders assure investors that the extra yield isn’t a result of increased risk and that over time private credit has been less correlated with other asset classes. ( Institutional Investor ) see also The Insulin Empire : How profiteers pushed a lifesaving drug out

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Moats and Value Can Be Potent Combination

Advisor Perspectives

Investors’ enthusiasm for growth stocks remains high and growth equities are in the midst of another lengthy run of beating value rivals.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Bitcoin Blockchain Expanding at Prodigious Pace

Advisor Perspectives

It’s not just bitcoin’s price that’s expanding. The blockchain on which bitcoin resides -- one of the pioneers in the space -- is also rapidly adding heft.

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