Tue.Jan 14, 2025

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Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January 2025

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January 2025 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-January provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always focus first on inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale ! Im watching months-of-supply closely. New home inventory, as a percentage of total inventory, is still very high.

Marketing 278
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Tuesday links: the best definition of progress

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Vanguard investors are letting their equity allocations drift higher. (jeffreyptak.substack.com) It's counterintuitive, but frictions can make for better investors. (behaviouralinvestment.com) The markets are a mirror. (safalniveshak.com) Companies Corporate spinoffs are getting bigger and more complex. (axios.com) Databricks is raising venture debt.

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Two Bank Failures in 2024

Calculated Risk

There were four bank failures in 2024. The median number of failures since the FDIC was established in 1933 was 7 - so 2 failures in 2024 was below the median. There were five bank failures in 2023, however 3 of the failures were larger banks: First Republic Bank, San Francisco, CA, Signature Bank, New York, NY, Silicon Valley Bank, Santa Clara, CA.

Banking 258
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Research links: an impossible burden

Abnormal Returns

C-suite Narcissistic CEOs take unnecessary risks. (on.ft.com) Why some female CEOs get downgraded by investors. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) The bigger a firm gets, the more it spends on lobbying. (papers.ssrn.com) Research How much of the S&P 500's returns in 2024 came from idiosyncratic factors? (mailchi.mp) Don't forget that active ETFs can be sold short.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Historical Returns For Stocks, Bonds, Cash, Real Estate and Gold

A Wealth of Common Sense

One of my favorite market datasets just got its annual update. Aswath Damodaran at NYU publishes a yearly update of returns for stocks (S&P 500), bonds (10 year Treasuries), cash (3-month T-bills), real estate, gold and inflation going back to 1928. Plus this year he added small caps to the mix.1 These are the long-term returns for each asset class from 1928-2024: Stocks +9.94% Small caps +11.74% Bonds +4.50% Cash +3.

Assets 142
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U.S. Economic Resilience Is the Main Story for Q4

Wealth Management

Nonetheless, investors should focus on building portfolios that are "antifragile.

Economics 278

More Trending

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BlackRock: Interest in Private Markets Will Accelerate Model Portfolio Adoption

Wealth Management

Joe DeVico, BlackRock's co-head of wealth advisory, discusses the explosion in interest in model portfolios.

Portfolio 270
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Ten Fundamentally Sound AI Stocks

Validea

The transformative power of Artificial Intelligence extends far beyond technology – it’s reshaping industries, consumer behavior, and the very fabric of modern business. As AI continues to dominate market sentiment, companies at the forefront of this revolution have not only fueled impressive stock market gains but are positioned to be key drivers of economic expansion in the decades ahead.

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Mariner Adds $1B in AUA in Triple Deal

Wealth Management

Mariner has acquired Cincinnati, Ohio-based Cassady Schiller Wealth, Englewood, Colo.-based Jenkins Wealth and Marlborough, Mass.-based Triton Financial Group.

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What Issues Should I Consider at the Start of the Year?

Tobias Financial

The beginning of a new year is a wonderful time to take stock of your financial situation and ensure your financial plan is aligned with your current needs and goals. Life often brings small changes that may seem insignificant at first, but over time, they can add up and have a meaningful impact on your financial picture. To help you get started, weve provided a checklist designed to guide you through key areas to review, such as: Your Goals: Are you making progress toward existing goals, or do

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Seven Investment Must Reads for This Week (Jan. 14, 2025)

Wealth Management

Morningstar looks at whether investor portfolios should be flipped to 40/60 as bonds become more attractive. Allianz has rolled out two fund of funds that focus on buffer ETFs, reports etf.com. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors.

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International Stocks and Recency Bias

Financial Symmetry

International stocks have not done well recently compared with U.S. stocks. The 2024 return of international stocks (as measured by the MSCI World ex USA Index) was just under 5%, lagging by nearly 20 percentage points the return of U.S. … Continued The post International Stocks and Recency Bias appeared first on Financial Symmetry, Inc.

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FP Alpha Launches Tax Services As Standalone Product

Wealth Management

FP Alpha is unbundling its tax service from its larger offering. FP Alpha TAX is essential, as clients increasingly want tax help, according to Andrew Altfest.

Taxes 255
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NAIFA Webinar: Social Media and Financial Professionals

NAIFA Advisor Today

NAIFA members are invited to a free webinar, "Social Media Solutions for NAIFA Members: Campaigns, Stories, Tools," today, January 14, at 12 noon eastern. Presented by Life Happens Social Media Specialist Corey Goodburn, the presentation will provide an introduction to various social media platforms and how NAIFA members benefit from exclusive Life Happens content and services.

Media 52
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Wealth Enhancement Group Adds $673M Pacific Northwest Firm

Wealth Management

According to CEO Jeff Dekko, acquiring Northwest Investment Counselors will help Wealth Enhancement better serve clients in the growing region.

Clients 236
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The Missing Piece in America’s Healthcare Debate

Advisor Perspectives

We need to face the reality that we’ve chosen a system that prioritizes lower taxes over centralized health care.

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$8B Balentine Sells 20% Stake to FJ Management

Wealth Management

The investment from FJM, which has its roots in convenience stores, will help Balentine with succession planning and growth.

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NFIB Small Business Survey: Optimism Surges to Six-Year High

Advisor Perspectives

The headline number for the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index surged to its highest level in over six years last month, coming in at 105.1. December's reading marks the 2nd consecutive month the index has been above the historical average of 97.9 and was higher than the forecast of 101.3.

Numbers 98
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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Private Equity Does Not Belong in Your 401(k)

Wealth Management

For the vast majority of investors, there are safer, more transparent ways to save for retirement.

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Make It or Break It: Why the First 60 Days of New Tech Adoption Are the Most Important

Advisor Perspectives

For firms chasing digital empowerment it’s especially important to pay attention to the first 60 days of onboarding with a new technology and tech provider.

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Morgan Stanley Forms New Client-Management Unit Under Crawley

Wealth Management

Mandell Crawley, a 32-year veteran of the firm and one of its senior-most Black executives, will run the integrated firm management organization as chief client officer.

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Catastrophe’s Thin Red Line

Advisor Perspectives

“Risk,” according to London Business School’s Elroy Dimson, “means that more things can happen than will happen.” Serhii Plokhy’s Chernobyl Roulette provides the reader with a compelling demonstration of that dictum.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Elevation Point Stakes $750M Michigan RIA

Wealth Management

The deal with Stonebrook Private represents Elevation Points first strategic investment since its inception in June.

Investing 201
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Household Incomes: The Decline of the "Middle Class" 2023 Update

Advisor Perspectives

The median household is the statistical center of the Middle Class. Let's take a closer look at the Census Bureau's latest annual household income data with a focus on middle class income. In this update, we'll focus on the growing gap between the median (middle) and mean (average) household incomes across the complete time frame of the Census Bureau's annual reporting from 1867 to 2023.

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Money Marketing: Preparing for the Great Female Wealth Transfer

SEI

With 70% of inheritances projected to go first to women, the industry isnt talking enough about the Great Female Wealth Transfer. Read more from SEI's Sneha Shah.

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What does the AI Revolution Mean for Financial Market Performance

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

Syl Michelin, Expat Financial Advisor at Walkner Condon, evaluates AI's impact on financial market performance. He highlights its influence on momentum investing and the concerns it generates over valuations and productivity in a complex economic landscape.

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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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Baby Boomer Employment Through the Decades

Advisor Perspectives

The 20th century Baby Boom was one of the most powerful demographic events in the history of the United States. We've created a series of charts to show seven age cohorts of the employed population from 1948 to the present.

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SEI Bolsters Global Leadership with Key Appointments in Luxembourg

SEI

Leaders to Support Strategic Growth Across Global Operations

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Employment Trends for the 50+ Workforce: December 2024

Advisor Perspectives

Today, one in three of the 65-69 cohort, one in five of the 70-74 cohort, and nearly one in ten of the 75+ cohort are in the labor force.

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Is Mold Covered By Insurance? Yes, But…

YouSet Insurance

Yes, mold is covered by homeowners, condo, and tenant insurance policies but only under certain conditions.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g