Thu.Mar 07, 2024

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Thursday links: embedded optionality

Abnormal Returns

Markets Apple, Google and Tesla are underperforming. (allstarcharts.com) How much BBB-rated debt does your corporate bond fund own? (morningstar.com) Finance Just how risky is the prime brokerage business? (ft.com) Robinhood ($HOOD) has hired Klutch Sports to help with marketing. (sportico.com) Apple Why Apple ($AAPL) cut bait on its car efforts. (bloomberg.com) The Apple ($AAPL) Car is not a total write-off.

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Your Retirement Planning Starter Pack

Carson Wealth

By Jake Anderson, CFP ® , Wealth Planner When helping clients begin retirement planning, the same questions often arise: What should my retirement plan look like? How much should I be saving? Although there are some basic guidelines, your financial life is as unique as your fingerprint. Your lifestyle, goals, family situation, and risk tolerance will give a unique signature to your retirement plan.

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Longform links: single AI answers

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from "The Trading Game: A Confession" by Gary Stevenson. (nymag.com) Hannah Rosin talks with Kara Swisher about her new book "Burn Book." (youtube.com) An excerpt from "Means of Control: How the Hidden Alliance of Tech and Government Is Creating a New American Surveillance State" by Byron Tau. (wired.com) An excerpt from “This American Ex-Wife: How I Ended My Marriage and Started My Life,” by Lyz Lenz.

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How The Interstate Highway System Changed American Industry

Fortune Financial

Signed into law in 1956 by then President Dwight Eisenhower, the Federal Highway Act created the Interstate Highway System , which would become the largest and costliest public works project in history. Measuring almost 48,000 miles in total distance, the Interstate Highway System was completed only in 1992, more than three decades after work began, and for a total cost in today’s dollars of more than $500 billion. ( source: Wikipedia Commons ) Inspired in large part by the German Autoba

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Saturday links: an imperfect test

Abnormal Returns

Autos Europe is cracking down on the use of touchscreens. (theverge.com) Rivian ($RIVN) is planning a smaller SUV, the R2. (wired.com) What it's like to charge a Ford ($F) Mach-E at a Tesla ($TSLA) Supercharger. (wsj.com) Where in the U.S. EVs are (and are not) popular. (nytimes.com) Energy America needs more power. (msn.com) Utilities have a wildfire problem.

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More Trending

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Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in February; Down 13.1% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Declined in February Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were down in February compared to January. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) fell to 203.8, a decline of 13.1% from a year ago. The index was down 0.1% against the month of January 2024.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 133: Should Advisors Market The Real (Self-Actualization?) Value Of Financial Planning, Or Just Do It?

Nerd's Eye View

For many financial advisors, the traditional way of doing business has generally been based on a transaction-based service model involving functional solutions to clients' practical problems. In more recent years, though, advisors have begun to focus on developing stronger and more meaningful relationships, recognizing the advantage of better understanding clients' values and priorities when it comes to solving for their long-term goals.

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How AI Is Triggering A Surge In Scams And Fraud

Wealth Management

While AI will prove a boon to advisors in many ways, fraudsters and scammers will make the most of it, too.

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The Challenges Of Being A Long Term Investor

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

If you ask most market participants, I think they'd say they are "long term" investors but what does long term mean? There are of course many definitions. For me, I tend to hold for many many years. Quite a few client holdings have been in the portfolio for more than 15 years. Have you ever heard/read something like, if you'd put $1000 into some stock 25 years ago and just held it, you'd have some huge dollar amount today?

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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XYPN Launches Corporate RIA With Six Inaugural Advisors

Wealth Management

Alan Moore says XYPN’s new corporate RIA ‘Sapphire’ will be easy to join, and easy to leave. “I never wanted to build a platform that used handcuffs and scare tactics to keep people.

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Recap of the February Chalk Talk: State of the Insurance Industry

MainStreet Financial Planning

February’s Chalk Talk on the State of the Insurance Industry included the subheading “Will My Insurance Company Cancel My Homeowners Policy” which was the real meat of our Chalk Talk and also what many attendees are concerned about when it comes to home insurance. We’ve heard about insurance companies eliminating coverage in wildfire-prone areas, exiting the state and other insurance companies that limit, drop or no longer sell new policies to homeowners.

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Compound Planning Adds 15 Advisors in First Weeks of 2024

Wealth Management

Created last year, the self-described digital family office has dramatically overshot recruitment goals with spate of Empower expats.

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Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $4.8 Trillion in Q4

Calculated Risk

The Federal Reserve released the Q4 2023 Flow of Funds report today: Financial Accounts of the United States. The net worth of households and nonprofits rose to $156.2 trillion during the fourth quarter of 2023. The value of directly and indirectly held corporate equities increased $4.7 trillion and the value of real estate decreased $0.6 trillion. Household debt increased 2.4 percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2023.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Former CAIS CMO Abby Salameh Joins RFG Advisory

Wealth Management

Salameh, the Wealthies' CMO of the Year in 2023, will serve as chief growth officer at the hybrid RIA platform.

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The Compound and Friends: Will It End Badly?

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Compound and Friends is brought to you by The Tema Cardiovascular and Metabolic HRTS ETF: See here for more information on investing in companies leading the charge against heart disease, diabetes, and obesity. On today’s show, we discuss: A quarter of Robinhoods trading volume often comes after-hours Robinhood logs $10B in overnight trading volume since May launch Number of Bitcoin purchased.

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Key Record-Keeping Takeaways From FINRA’s 2024 Regulatory Oversight Report

Wealth Management

The regulator continues its focus on AI and off-channel and public-facing communications.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 217,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending March 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 217,000 , unchanged from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 215,000 to 217,000. The 4-week moving average was 212,250, a decrease of 750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 500 from 212,500 to 213,000. emphasis added The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claim

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Bluespring Merges Two RIAs to Create $1.4B Florida Hub

Wealth Management

The combined RIA will operate under the Security Financial Management name and serve clients from five Florida locations.

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Friday: Employment Report

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET,: Employment Report for February. The consensus is for 188,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.7%.

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SEC’s AI Rule Could 'Weaken' Advisors’ Fiduciary Duty, IAA Attorney Argues

Wealth Management

The advocacy group for advisors argued the rule is overly broad. In contrast, the outgoing director of the SEC's Investment Management Division said the degree of risk in AI’s proliferation is “obvious.

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February Employment Preview

Calculated Risk

On Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for February. The consensus is for 188,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.7%. There were 353,000 jobs added in January, and the unemployment rate was at 3.7%. From Goldman Sachs economist Spencer Hill We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose by 215k in February—somewhat above consensus of +200k but well below the +353k pace in January.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Orion Adds Alts Access in Partnership with CAIS

Wealth Management

The partnership will give Orion clients access to CAIS Solutions, enabling management of alternative investments.

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The "Home ATM" Closed in Q4

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: The "Home ATM" Closed in Q4 Excerpt: During the housing bubble, many homeowners borrowed heavily against their perceived home equity - jokingly calling it the “Home ATM” - and this contributed to the subsequent housing bust, since so many homeowners had negative equity in their homes when house prices declined. Note: Very few homeowners have negative equity now - unlike during the housing bubble.

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Osaic Picks Up $360M Midwest Team From Cetera

Wealth Management

Cornerstone Advisors, a Baxter, Minn.-based team with about $360 million in client assets, joins from Cetera Investment Advisors.

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Unemployment Claims Unchanged from Last Week

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending March 2, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 217,000, unchanged from the previous week's revised figure. The latest reading is consistent with the forecast.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: Industry Update on Advisor Transitions and Deals

Wealth Management

In the Advisor Transition Report’s companion podcast episode, Louis and Jason Diamond explore the key takeaways and their anticipated influence on activity during 2024 and beyond.

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Trade Deficit Expands to $67.43B

Advisor Perspectives

The U.S. international trade in goods and services is published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis with data going back to 1992 and details U.S. exports and imports of goods and services. In January, the trade deficit expanded by 5.1% to $67.43B. The latest reading was worse than the forecast of $63.40B.

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Spike in Bitcoin Volatility Heralds an Early Test of US ETF Demand

Wealth Management

The T3 Bitcoin Volatility Index, which uses options prices to give a sense of expected 30-day swings in the token, has jumped to the highest level since the aftermath of the collapse of FTX.

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