Sat.Jan 18, 2025

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Audio Recording of “How Not to Invest”

The Big Picture

I wanted to share a quick update as to what’s been keeping me occupied during the run up to the release of the new book. The past few weeks have been pretty busy and full of surprises. We have been designing a dedicated website for the How Not to Invest book, and working with the team at Off Menu has been much more fun than I expected. But the biggest surprise has been the booksAudible version.

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Schedule for Week of January 19, 2025

Calculated Risk

The key report this week is December Existing Home Sales. -- Monday, January 20th -- All US markets will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day "Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter." Martin Luther King Jr. -- Tuesday, January 21st -- No major economic releases scheduled. -- Wednesday, January 22nd -- 7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the mortgage purchase applications index.

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The Dumbest Trade You Can Make?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Bloomberg and Barron's each had similar articles about straying off the beaten path toward ETFs that are not the plainest of vanilla. According to the Bloomberg article , only 62% of the 1080 "newly launched quant-powered investing styles" showed a positive return going into the end of 2024. That's pretty vague. How many of those funds are inverse? Many of the derivative income funds have positive total returns but can't keep up with the distributions on a price return basis and the article does

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Ten Top Benjamin Graham Stocks

Validea

The Graham-Inspired Value Strategy systematically identifies undervalued stocks by focusing on established companies with proven track records rather than speculative opportunities. This approach, developed by Validea based on Benjamin Graham’s investment principles, uses specific criteria: A company must first meet basic operational requirements: annual revenue exceeding $340 million and five consecutive profitable years.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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The Future of AI: How NVIDIA’s Vision Is Shaping Our World

Advisor Perspectives

At CES 2025, Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, offered a compelling vision of AI’s future—one that combines bold technological advances with practical applications.

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Five Stocks Both Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch Might Like

Validea

Finding stocks that satisfy both Warren Buffett’s quality-focused investment approach and Peter Lynch’s growth-at-a-reasonable-price strategy can help identify exceptionally strong companies. Based on Validea’s analysis, several companies currently pass both legendary investors’ stringent criteria with high scores. The Buffett Strategy: Focus on Quality and Predictability Warren Buffett looks for companies with: Consistent and predictable earnings growth High returns on e

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Colombia Tolima Los Brasiles Peaberry Organic coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: Is There a Problem with Passive Investing? Passive investing has absolutely revolutionized the investment landscape for individual investors. Not only has it dramatically lowered the costs of asset ownership, but it has done so while delivering strong returns.

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2025 Credit Outlook: On Firm Ground, Despite Shifting Political Sands

Advisor Perspectives

New policies could disrupt markets, but high starting yields and strong demand for income should provide ballast.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Housing Starts Down 3.9% in 2024 compared to 2023

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. Housing Starts Increased to 1.499 million Annual Rate in December Housing Discussion with Altos Research's Mike Simonsen Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January 2025 Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January 2025 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in December This is usually published 4 to 6

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Saturday links: moving on

Abnormal Returns

EVs Toyota Motors ($TM) pushed off EV decisions as long as they could. (bloomberg.com) EV progress keeps happening, haters be damned. (vox.com) The number of high-speed charging stations surged in 2024. (axios.com) Transport NYC congestion pricing is coming at the expense of passenger vehicles trips. (bloomberg.com) Are drones really the future of delivery?

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Trump Team Readies Oil Sanctions Plan for Russia Deal, Iran Squeeze

Advisor Perspectives

Advisers to President-elect Donald Trump are crafting a wide-ranging sanctions strategy to facilitate a Russia-Ukraine diplomatic accord in the coming months while at the same time squeezing Iran and Venezuela, people familiar with the matter said.

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Surging Long-Term Rates Stoke GOP Tensions on Paying for Tax Cut

Advisor Perspectives

Surging long-term interest rates and stubborn inflation are inflaming divisions among congressional Republicans over paying for the sweeping tax cuts Donald Trump promised, complicating the path to passage with the party’s already tenuous majority.

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