Thu.Jun 27, 2024

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Inflation is Obvious But Wage Gains Seem Invisible

The Big Picture

I’ve been observing how radically unusual various sentiment readings have been for a few years now. It made little sense to me that the post-pandemic era saw sentiment levels far below major dislocations such as the ‘87 crash, the 9/11 terrorist attacks, the Dotcom implosion, or the 08-09 great financial crisis. We have tried to identify the causal factors by considering social media , increases in partisanship , ignorance, even trolling of pollsters.

Budgeting 321
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NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 2.1% in May; Down 6.6% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Dropped 2.1% in May Pending home sales in May slipped 2.1% , according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Midwest and South posted monthly losses in transactions while the Northeast and West recorded gains. Year-over-year, all U.S. regions registered reductions. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – decreased to 70.8 in May.

Sales 303
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Thursday links: a wait-and-see approach

Abnormal Returns

Markets By this measure, the stock market is at record-high concentration. (axios.com) It's been awhile since we had a 2% stock market drop. (carsongroup.com) Strategy Investing is planning. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Why you shouldn't care what other investors or the markets are doing. (safalniveshak.com) Companies Monster Beverage ($MNST) is unique not only for its stock performance.

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$1B Florida Team Joins Snowden Lane From Morgan Stanley

Wealth Management

The Yarza Group will work out of Snowden Lane’s office in Coral Gables, Florida. The team boosts the firm’s AUM to $13 billion.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Las Vegas May 2024: Visitor Traffic Up 4.6% YoY; Convention Traffic Up 2%

Calculated Risk

From the Las Vegas Visitor Authority: May 2024 Las Vegas Visitor Statistics With festivals such as EDC, coupled with convention attendance ahead of last year, May saw the destination host more than 3.6M visitors, showing a healthy 4.6% YoY gain for the month. Among the churn of rotational shows, Waste Expo returned to Las Vegas in May (14k attendees, last here in May 2022), and the destination hosted the Advanced Clean Transportation (ACT) Expo for the first time (10k+ attendees).

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Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: How to Achieve Sustainable and Scalabe Growth

Wealth Management

Duncan MacPherson from Pareto Systems offers actionable advice for financial advisors looking to unlock greater value in all that they do to build their business.

More Trending

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Go for Marketing Gold: Your Roadmap to Wow'ing Clients

Wealth Management

Wednesday, July 24, 2024 | 2:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time

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Kitces & Carl Ep 141: Creating The Space To Have More Meaningful Money Conversations With Clients

Nerd's Eye View

The practice of asking questions has always been an integral part of the financial planning process. In the early days of the advicer industry, those questions almost exclusively dealt with facts around a client's or prospect's financial situation to determine (ultimately) what products the adviser should recommend. However, given the industry's ongoing transition away from being primarily transaction-focused and towards being relationship-based, advicers have had to learn how to develop meaning

Clients 185
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Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: How to Achieve Sustainable and Scalable Growth

Wealth Management

Duncan MacPherson from Pareto Systems offers actionable advice for financial advisors looking to unlock greater value in all that they do to build their business.

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Friday: Personal Income & Outlays, Chicago PMI

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Personal Income and Outlays, May 2024. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in personal income, and for a 0.3% increase in personal spending. • At 9:45 AM: Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for June. • At 10:00 AM: University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (Final for June).

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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JPMorgan Shuffles Top Private Bank Leaders as Camacho Departs

Wealth Management

Martin Marron, who had led the international private bank since 2021, has been named head of wealth-management solutions.

Banking 236
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Longform links: epistemic humility

Abnormal Returns

Books Annie Duke talks with Christopher Wong Michaelson abd Jennifer Tosti-Kharas, co-authors of "Is Your Work Worth It? How to Think About Meaningful Work." (annieduke.substack.com) A Q&A with Talia Sharot, co-author of "Look Again: The Power of Noticing What Was Always There." (npr.org) Insights from Rachel Somerstein's new book, "Invisible Labor: The Untold Story of the Cesarean Section.

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Mariner Sues Savvy For Poaching Advisors, $60M in Client Assets

Wealth Management

Mariner is suing three advisors who recently left to join Savvy Wealth's RIA affiliate. In the suit, Mariner argues Savvy poaches books of business without “regard to contractual obligations.

Assets 234
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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.1% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For April, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 35.2% YoY, but still down almost 34% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 36.1% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.

Sales 173
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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$580M Texas Team Joins NewEdge Advisors From J.P. Morgan

Wealth Management

A $580 million team based in Dallas is joining NewEdge Advisors from J.P. Morgan. Last week, a $540 million team joined NewEdge from Carson Wealth.

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Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.3% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below 2022 peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.3% Below Peak Excerpt: It has been 18 years since the bubble peak. In the April Case-Shiller house price index released on Tuesday, the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 73% above the bubble peak in 2006. However, in real terms, the National index (SA) is about 10% above the bubble peak (and historically there has been an upward slope to real house prices).

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An Investment in Women Is an Investment in the Future

Wealth Management

Enacting corporate strategies and initiatives that foster an environment where women professionals can succeed is not complex, but it must be intentional, actionable and measurable.

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Q1 GDP Growth Revised Up to 1.4% Annual Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product (Third Estimate), Corporate Profits (Revised Estimate), and GDP by Industry, First Quarter 2024 Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2024 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP increased 3.4 percent.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Joe Duran’s Rise Growth Hires CMO, M&A Exec

Wealth Management

The new additions include Jennifer Geoghegan, who previously served as The Colony Group’s first chief marketing officer, and Tony Ling, a former managing director at private equity firm Corsair Capital.

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Is the Small Cap Premium Dead?

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: I was listening to WAYT and Josh mentioned and Michael seemed to agree that the small cap premium no longer exists (since the 1980s). I was hoping that this question can be discussed and dissected: What is this premium? Why doesn’t it exist anymore? How do you know? Is it still worth being owning small caps? My uneducated opinion was that small caps historically performed on par, if not better, than t.

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UBS Creates New Wealth Unit in Khan, Karofsky Strategy Reboot

Wealth Management

UBS will create a new unit — dubbed GWM Solutions — that will bring various wealth offerings under one roof. Michael Camacho is also joining UBS from JPMorgan to lead wealth management in the U.S.

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Pending Home Sales Fall 2.1% in May to New All-Time Low

Advisor Perspectives

The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) released the latest monthly data for its pending home sales index. The index fell 2.1% in May to 70.8, its lowest level in the history of the series. Pending home sales are down 6.6% from one year ago.

Sales 105
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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LPL Recruits $380M Team From PNC

Wealth Management

The First Summit team includes managing partners Thomas J. Cooney and Mark Freed, a former Major League Baseball pitcher.

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Praj Industries – Market Leader with a share of nearly 10% of Global Ethanol Plant

Trade Brains

Praj Industries: Imagine a company that’s not just about building, but about building a better tomorrow. They’re the engineers who can design a brewery that produces your crafted beer, but also ensure wastewater from the process. Meet Praj Industries the green guardian, a forward-thinking company which provides sustainable solutions. Praj Industries are a unique blend of innovators and environmental stewards.

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Supreme Court Curbs SEC’s In-House Judges in Fraud Cases

Wealth Management

The 6-3 decision deals a blow to an administrative system the SEC once used to adjudicate more than 100 cases a year before scaling back amid legal challenges.

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FedEx Stokes Investors With Hint of a Freight Deal

Advisor Perspectives

FedEx Corp. dropped a bomb on the market Tuesday afternoon with the announcement that it will do an “assessment” of its freight unit. Investors seemed to like the move, pushing up the shares as much as 15%, on the possibility of a windfall and a more pure-play package delivery and logistics company.

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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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Scared of Running Out of Money in Retirement? Here’s How to Avoid It

Carson Wealth

Have you ever thought about the possibility of living past the age of 100? It may seem unattainable, but you should probably plan for it – just in case. There are currently about 722,000 centenarians in the world, and it’s predicted that by 2050 that number will rise to 4 million. 1 With ever-increasing life expectancies, it’s no wonder 63% of American adults say they’re more afraid of running out of money in retirement than they are of death. 2 That’s why it’s vitally important to consider lo

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The Real Reason to Worry About the Huge US Budget Deficit

Advisor Perspectives

The US government’s finances keep looking worse. The latest Congressional Budget Office projections suggest that it will need to borrow an added $400 billion this year to cover its budget deficit — and trillions more over the next decade.

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Is Luck An Asset Class?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Taylor Pearson and Jason Buck from Mutiny Funds and managers of The Cockroach Portfolio had a short podcast about sequences of returns that is worth listening to. Toward the end, Taylor had a fascinating comment that what they are trying to do is "reduce the impact of luck" and Jason reiterated the point to say "reduce the opportunity that bad luck can hurt us.

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Unemployment Claims Down 6K, Better Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending June 22nd, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 233,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading is lower than the forecast of 236,000 jobless claims.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g