Fri.May 31, 2024

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Friday links: a teacher like no other

Abnormal Returns

Markets There is still more than $6 trillion in money market funds. (apolloacademy.com) Is Japan's stock market finally ready for prime time? (on.ft.com) Strategy We should judge systems by their outcomes, not by their aims. (anildash.com) Good investing advice is timeless. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Finance Private equity is not recycling capital very quickly.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (June 1-2)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the Financial Planning Association and Money.com are planning to publish a “Best Financial Advisors” list based on advisors’ education, credentials, and experience, as well as harder-to-quantify areas such as trust factors and client communication.

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Podcast links: a sentiment disconnect

Abnormal Returns

Economy Katie Gatti Tassin about the disconnect in the economy with Mark Zandi and Judd Cramer. (podcast.moneywithkatie.com) Matt Reustle talks with Todd Fisher who is the CIO of the CHIPS Act office. (joincolossus.com) Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk with Matt Huber and Fred Stafford about the state of the electrical grid. (podcasts.apple.com) Venture capital Ted Seides talks with Alex Ohanian, General Partner and Founder of Seven Seven Six, an early-stage venture capital firm.

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MiB: Jeffrey Sherman, DoubleLine Deputy CIO

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Jeffrey Sherman , deputy chief investment officer at DoubleLine Capital. Sherman oversees and administers DoubleLine’s investment management subcommittee; serves as lead portfolio manager for multisector and derivative-based strategies; and is a member of the firm’s executive management and fixed-income asset allocation committees.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Quality, Factor Momentum, and the Cross-Section of Returns

Alpha Architect

There is strong empirical evidence demonstrating that momentum (both cross-sectional and time-series) provides information on the cross-section of returns of many risk assets and has generated alpha relative to existing asset pricing models. Ma, Yang, and Ye’s findings provide another test of both robustness and pervasiveness, increasing our confidence that the findings of momentum in asset prices are not a result of data mining.

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Stock Market & Home Ownership Rates

A Wealth of Common Sense

It’s estimated just 1% to 3% of American households owned stocks heading into the Great Depression. Few people made enough money to save and invest back then plus it was difficult to access the market for regular people — no 401ks, IRAs, online brokers, robo-adviors, index funds, ETFs, Robinhood, etc. By the early-1980s stock ownership was more like 1 in 5 households.

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PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 5.6% YoY in April

Calculated Risk

Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through April 2024. CPI Shelter was up 5.5% year-over-year in April, down from 5.6% in March, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in March 2023. Housing (PCE) was up 5.6% YoY in April , down from 5.8% in March, and down from the cycle peak of 8.3% in April 2023.

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Missouri Regulators Send Warning Letter to Advisors Using Data Aggregation Tech

Wealth Management

After Washington, Missouri is the second known state to send warning letters to advisors over the use of wealthtech tools that can access data in client retirement and banking accounts.

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Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April, Multi-family Increased Slightly

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April, Multi-family Increased Slightly Brief excerpt: Single-family serious delinquencies decreased in April, and multi-family serious delinquencies increased slightly. Freddie Mac reports that the multi-family delinquencies rate increased to 0.35% in April, up from 0.34% in March, and down from 0.44% in January.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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$1B Former First Republic Team Joins Citizens From JPMorgan

Wealth Management

A Boston advisory team with $1 billion in assets is joining Citizens, the latest of a number of former First Republic advisors and teams to leave JP Morgan.

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Tax Season Is Over… For Last Year

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

Breathe Easier Next Tax Season with These Planning Strategies Every year, most of us smile when we see April 15th in the rearview mirror. The completion of our tax returns being filed marks the beginning of a nine month period where we don’t need to think about funny acronyms and form numbers. Most of us enjoy the period of time from the beginning of summer through the holidays without a thought about our tax situations.

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WealthStack Roundup: MassMutual Advisors To Have Access To CAIS Alts Platform

Wealth Management

Also, PureFacts Financial Solutions selects BridgeFT’s WealthTech API and MyRepChat founder Derrick Girard joins AdvisorNet Financial as chief growth officer.

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Navigating Inflation: The FOMC’s Single Mandate

Advisor Perspectives

The Federal Open Market Committee is always data-dependent. But the dependency is not always the same. There are times when inflation matters more than the labor market, and times when the situation is reversed. Every regime is unique. There is never a perfect corollary to a previous experience. This time is not different.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Sanctuary Partner Firm Grabs $300M Team from Wells Fargo

Wealth Management

Adam and Eleanor Weinstock are joining SLK Private Wealth. The move comes two years after a group of Wells Fargo employees left the wirehouse to form the firm.

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You Build The Exposure Yourself!

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

I've mentioned at least one other time how funny I think the Drivetime App commercial is, where the people are so excited that "I made the deal myself!" It's silly but funny. AXS is filing for a suite of 50 single stock and index ETF, levered funds that don't reset daily. For each security, there will be one that resets weekly, one that rests monthly and one that resets quarterly.

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RIAs Face a Growth Imperative and It’s Not About AUM

Wealth Management

How does the RIA industry justify acquisitions with high-flying multiples while net organic growth stagnates?

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Personal Income increased 0.3% in April; Spending increased 0.2%

Calculated Risk

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for April: Personal income increased $65.3 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in April , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) —personal income less personal current taxes—increased $40.2 billion and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $39.1 billion.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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RBC Picks Up $855M Team From J.P. Morgan

Wealth Management

The team, led by veteran advisor Michael Taggart, will join RBC's Florham Park, N.J. office.

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Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.8% to 2.8%

Calculated Risk

From BofA: 1Q GDP was revised down by three-tenths to 1.3% q/q saar, which was broadly in line with our expectations. Meanwhile, our estimate of 2Q GDP ended up unchanged at 1.8% q/q saar from a week ago. [May 31st estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: The consumption details in this morning’s report indicate weak spending momentum to start the quarter, and we lowered our Q2 GDP tracking estimate by 0.4pp to +2.8% (qoq ar) and our domestic final sales estimate by the same amount to +2.1%.

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Banks Pump Billions More Into Private Credit as Frenzy Grows

Wealth Management

Banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. have announced plans to cobble together more than $50 billion to plow into private credit in recent months.

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Weekend Reading – Three Things

Discipline Funds

Here are three things I think I am thinking about this weekend: 1) Is the Disinflation Trend about to Gain Momentum Again? Friday’s PCE report showed further improvement in inflation down to 2.75% compared to the year ago rate of 4.76%. There has been a lot of commentary in recent months about a resurgence in inflation or a failure of the Fed to get to its target and while the progress has slowed the trend is still clearly in place and likely to gain momentum to the downside in the remaind

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index

Advisor Perspectives

The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of May 17th, the index was at 25.111, up 2.882 from the previous week, with 4 of the 6 components in expansion territory.

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Should financial advisors ask their clients for Google Reviews?

Sara Grillo

Question from a subscriber: “ Should I spend some time asking my clients for Google Reviews? There is one ‘advisor’ I know who has 30 FINRA disclosures and yet a 4.9 Google rating.” Google reviews offer two marketing super wows: Social credibility Improvement of your Google rank And…facts… There are crooks out there getting attention online just because they are willing to put effort into this.

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Moving Averages: S&P Finishes May 2024 Up 4.8%

Advisor Perspectives

Valid until the market close on June 30, 2024 This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.

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Vid 103: Calling on corporate executives on LinkedIn

Sara Grillo

If you are calling on corporate executives on LinkedIn: Pick 2-3 large companies within a 30 minute drive of your house. Learn the benefits at these companies. You may have to volunteer to do a couple of free 401k plan reviews. Create one posting a month about the most intriguing aspect of these benefit plans, […] To access this post, you must purchase Membership Prime Portal.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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S&P 500 Snapshot: 5-Week Win Streak Snapped

Advisor Perspectives

The S&P 500 snapped its five week win streak, finishing down 0.51% from a week ago, despite Friday's rally. The index is currently up 11.27% year to date and has recorded a new all-time high 24 times this year.

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Stop committing these financial advisor wardrobe mistakes!

Sara Grillo

Today’s daily tip: Financial advisors should avoid any and all wardrobe mistakes that compromise purity. Real talk: People will never ever say it, but they absolutely are judging you based on how you dress and present yourself. I used to pay very little attention to the conservativism of my wardrobe and it cost me alot of business. Once I started to dress with more purity and modesty, I noticed a big change.

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Higher for Longer Rates Mean No Escape From the Debt Squeeze

Advisor Perspectives

Companies going bust, mounting credit card debt, higher mortgage bills.

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