Tue.Nov 14, 2023

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Research links: failed signals

Abnormal Returns

Quant stuff Just because someone says that use quantitative tools, doesn't mean they do. (researchaffiliates.com) Why two investors with the same information can come to different decisions. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Private equity Why you should be skeptical of private equity return claims. (alphaarchitect.com) Why pension funds change their private equity benchmarks so often.

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#FA Success Ep 359: Building A Financial Planning Assessment To Show Clients Progress And Value Over Time, With Eric Miller

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 359th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Eric Miller. Eric is the Chief Financial Advisor and Co-Owner of Econologics Financial Advisors, an independent RIA based in Largo, Florida, that generates more than $4M of revenue while working with nearly 300 client households. What's unique about Eric, though, is how he leverages a custom-built financial planning assessment he calls their Financial Prosperity Index, which he gives to bo

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Tuesday links: behavioral failings

Abnormal Returns

Markets The S&P 500 is set to go from oversold to overbought in a rapid period of time. (twitter.com) Why diversification is not a 'free lunch.' (behaviouralinvestment.com) The best business books of 2023, including "Number Go Up: Inside Crypto’s Wild Rise and Staggering Fall" by Zeke Faux. (ft.com) Companies Google ($GOOGL) pays Apple ($AAPL) 36% of the revenue it earns from search advertising made through the Safari browser.

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Transcript: Linda Gibson, CEO PGIM Quantitative Solutions

The Big Picture

 The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Linda Gibson, CEO, PGIM Quantitative Solutions , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , YouTube , and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~ This is Masters in business with Barry Ri Holtz on Bloomberg Radio. 00:00:06 [Barry Ritholtz] This week on the podcast, I have yet another extra special guest, Linda Gibson, CEO of PG im

Math 130
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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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Q&A: Philipp Hecker, CEO of Bento Engine

Wealth Management

The co-founder discusses the why of Bento through to the predictive client-communications platform's just announced partnership with marketing firm FMG Suite.

More Trending

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Financial Literacy Is Key to the Client/Advisor Relationship

Wealth Management

An advisor’s role should include helping clients become more fluent in what may be the world’s most consequential language.

Clients 124
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Inflation is the Lesser of Two Evils

A Wealth of Common Sense

By the end of the 1970s inflation was out of control. The New York Times wrote a front-page story where they interviewed a bunch of normal people to see how inflation was impacting their lives. By that point CPI was up a cumulative 73% in the decade or nearly 7% per year. Inflation had been raging on long enough that it was finally starting to impact people’s habits: In interviews across the country, The New York T.

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FINRA Fines Canadian Firm For Reg BI Violations

Wealth Management

Haywood USA failed to do due diligence for approximately 134 sales recommendations of private placement offerings totaling nearly $11 million, breaking FINRA rules and violating the SEC's care obligations.

Sales 121
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Can the Fed Finally Declare Victory?

Discipline Funds

Tuesday’s CPI report was a huge relief for the Federal Reserve and their fight against inflation. Headline CPI came in at 3.2% and core inflation came in at 4%. Expectations were for modestly higher inflation. The details showed a broad slowdown in the positive rate of change in prices which is another sign that the Fed’s rate hikes are working to slow the economy.

Economy 111
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Aaron Klein to Step Down as Nitrogen CEO

Wealth Management

Dan Zitting will take over as CEO of Nitrogen ( formerly Riskalyze) on Dec. 4, succeeding current CEO Aaron Klein.

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Phillies and SEI® to Celebrate the Season of Giving with Holiday Charitable Events

SEI

Month-long Initiative to Feature Special Guests to Give Thanks to Community Heroes; Begins Tuesday, Nov.

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10 Must Reads for Real Estate Investors Today (Nov. 15, 2023)

Wealth Management

A November report from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors continued to put emphasis on potential problems with banks’ commercial real estate lending. SFR investments in the Sunbelt markets might not be as attractive as they once were, according to a story on GlobeSt.com. These are among today’s must reads from the commercial real estate industry.

Banking 116
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Japan’s New Gold Era: The Yen’s Decline Sparks Unprecedented Demand For Safe Havens

Advisor Perspectives

The price of gold just had its best October in nearly half a century, defying tough resistance from surging Treasury yields and a strong U.S. dollar. The yellow metal rallied an incredible 7.3% last month to close at $1,983 an ounce, its strongest October since 1978, when it jumped 11.7%.

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Profit in the Details: Rethinking Spend for Monumental Impact

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Envestnet to Rollout Retirement Savings Program

Wealth Management

The new program was developed in collaboration with retirement services provider Empower, and should be available “within the next quarter or two.

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Key Takeaways as Earnings Season Winds Down

Advisor Perspectives

Good news – the earnings recession is over! After three consecutive quarters of negative earnings growth, 3Q S&P 500 earnings are on pace to climb 5% YoY. If sustained, this would be the best quarter of earnings growth since 2Q22.

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Manulife Cuts 250 Jobs in Asset Management and Wealth Unit

Wealth Management

Financial firms are continuing to reduce headcount in response to mounting economic and geopolitical uncertainties, higher rates and a slower pace of dealmaking.

Assets 104
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A Victory Lap for the Transitory Inflation Team

Advisor Perspectives

More than two years after economists divided into opposing camps over the nature of the post-pandemic inflation, we now know which side was right. Disinflation has confirmed that the earlier price increases were “transitory,” driven largely by supply disruptions and sectoral shifts in demand.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Why Do I Keep Hearing About Private Equity?

Wealth Management

Today, a broad structural shift is underway with private markets becoming larger, more diverse, and more available to companies and investors than ever before.

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Take Advantage of These Tax Strategies Before the Year Ends

Integrity Financial Planning

We’re coming up on the end of the year, and while it’s a time to take a break and enjoy the holiday season, it’s also a good time to consider tax strategies that may benefit you. Because taxes are calculated from January 1st to December 31st of each year, and certain retirement rules and laws reset at the same time, you may have some significant last-minute moves you can make with your money before the tax year is over.

Taxes 96
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Long-Dated, Low-Coupon Treasury Bonds Are Attractive

Advisor Perspectives

U.S. Treasury rates in the long-end of the curve are 100 basis points too high relative to a fair-value model. The risk-adjusted opportunity in long-dated, low-coupon Treasuries is attractive.

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Talk about your profession with the expertise of your hobby

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Matt Pais, MDRT Content Specialist People don’t buy what you say, said Van Mueller, LUTCF , they buy how you say it. A lot of that comes from conviction and confidence, and Mueller, a 35-year MDRT member from Brookfield, Wisconsin, USA, has helped stammer-prone mentees improve their presentation skills by asking them about a hobby. If an advisor said he loves to golf, for example, Mueller then will ask the best part of his game.

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Crafting Impact: Revenue Growth And Efficiency For Finance Professionals

Speaker: Ashley Harlan, MBA

What if your role as a fractional CFO went beyond operational support to actively shaping the future of your clients’ businesses? 💼 ✨ In this session, discover how fractional finance professionals can position themselves as architects of growth, guiding their clients toward sustainable success and preparing them for full-time financial leadership.

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Annuities Should Be Boring, Not a Systemic Threat

Advisor Perspectives

Every year, millions of Americans send their hard-earned money to life insurance companies, in return for a promise that it will grow and provide them with regular income in old age.

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YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned earlier when services less rent of shelter was up 7.6% year-over-year. This has fallen sharply and is now up 3.0% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through September 2023.

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Small Business Owners Are Not Feeling Optimistic

Advisor Perspectives

The headline number for the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell to 90.7 in October, as small business owners continued to not feel optimistic about current business conditions. The latest reading was better than the forecast of 90.5 but marked the 22nd straight month the index has been below the series average of 98.1.

Numbers 78
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A Look at Tiller Money

MainStreet Financial Planning

With the exit of the Mint online budgeting app at the end of 2023, we have been asked by clients what other options are available. In this week’s newsletter, I want to share my experience using Tiller Money to track and manage my personal finances. I started using Tiller Money back in 2018. My firm was looking for a way to help clients figure out where their money was going, so we could do more accurate retirement projections.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in October

Calculated Risk

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% in October. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% in October. "The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report".

Food 69
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Inflation Since 1872: A Long-Term Look at the CPI

Advisor Perspectives

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) released for October puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 3.24%. The latest reading keeps inflation below the 3.75% average since the end of the Second World War for the 5th straight month. However, inflation remains above the 10-year moving average which is now at 2.71%.

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BLS: CPI Unchanged in October; Core CPI increased 0.2%

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, after increasing 0.4 percent in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.2 percent before seasonal adjustment. The index for shelter continued to rise in October , offsetting a decline in the gasoline index and resulting in the seasonally adjusted index being unchanged over the month.

Food 64