Thu.Feb 22, 2024

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All-Time Highs Are Historically Bullish

The Big Picture

A quick note to answer this question: What happens after markets make a new all-time high (after a year w/o one)? Check out the table above, via Warren Pies. He spoke with Batnick and Josh earlier this month. Going back to 1954, markets are always higher one year later – the only exception was 2007. That was after housing had peaked, subprime mortgages were defaulting, and the great financial crisis was about to start.

Economics 349
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Thursday links: lost decades

Abnormal Returns

Japan The Nikkei 225 has reach an all-time high for the first time since year-end 1989. (axios.com) Just a reminder the Nikkei is still below its high on a real basis. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) ETFs Higher short term yield have been a tailwind for the innovative Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF ($BOXX). (bloomberg.com) The ECB isn't crazy about spot Bitcoin ETFs.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 132: What Drives Real Advisor Marketing Success: Vanity Metrics Vs Engaged Prospects

Nerd's Eye View

At the end of each calendar year, social media platforms compile a wrap-up of each user's metrics, showing a theoretical reach for every account's best-performing piece of created media content and highlighting the "Best Of The Best" on the web, while revealing social media 'superstars' who have millions of impressions and followers. But how much do these numbers really matter for financial advisors driving the growth of their businesses?

Media 160
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Longform links: the CNBC paradox

Abnormal Returns

Books A Q&A with Kara Swisher author of "Burn Book: A Tech Love Story." (wired.com) A Q&A with Margot Susca author of "Hedged: How Private Investment Funds Helped Destroy American Newspapers and Undermine Democracy." (politico.com) A Q&A with Kurt Wagner's author of "Battle for the Bird: Jack Dorsey, Elon Musk, and the $44 Billion Fight for Twitter's Soul.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Creating Generational Wealth

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: I am 73, my wife is 58 and I have a 15 year old son. We own a small farm and house in Iowa. We also own three properties in Spain where we spend most of the year. We have no debt and are sitting on 2 million in cash, most of it is short term bills. I deal in vintage guitars and will keep doing it as long as I can. We have a great life and are careful with our spending.

Planning 119

More Trending

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Unemployment Claims Down 12K, Lower Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending February 17, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 201,000, a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's revised figure. The latest reading is lower than the forecast of 217,000.

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Yes Bank vs IDFC Bank – Financials, Future Plans & More

Trade Brains

Yes Bank vs IDFC Bank : Banks are the economic engine. The higher the asset quality of banks, the better the state of the economy. Growing income and population can drive demand for goods and services in the long run. Banks facilitate the flow of money in markets following monetary policy, which determines the economy’s growth and decline. In this article, we will compare Yes Bank vs IDFC First Bank in the banking sector.

Banking 104
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Existing Home Sales Reach Five-Month High

Advisor Perspectives

Existing home sales jumped to a five-month high in January. According to the data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing home sales rose 3.1% from December to reach a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.00 million units. This figure came in higher than the expected 3.96 million. Existing home sales are down 1.7% compared to one year ago.

Sales 111
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Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: Tips for Setting Your Business Up for Success Years Before a Move

Wealth Management

A breakdown of the steps advisors can take to prepare for change and enhance business processes, equally effective for those at the curiosity stage or even deep into due diligence, and whether you ultimately make a move or not.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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The Compound and Friends: The One With Ryan Detrick

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Compound and Friends is brought to you by Public: See here for more information on Publics recently launched option-trading capabilities On today’s show, we discuss: Japan’s Nikkei crosses 39,000 as robust earnings, investor-friendly measures drive risk-on sentiment How often do bear markets occur One worry right now? The calendar Conference Board gives up on US recession call&nbs.

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$700M California Team Leaves Osaic for Stratos Wealth

Wealth Management

Pettinelli Financial Partners, a Calif.-based firm with $700 million in client assets, is moving to Stratos Wealth Partners from Osaic's Royal Alliance.

Assets 111
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NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.00 million SAAR in January; Median Prices Down 8.4% from Peak NSA

Calculated Risk

Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.00 million SAAR in January Excerpt: Sales Year-over-Year and Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) The fourth graph shows existing home sales by month for 2023 and 2024. Sales declined 1.7% year-over-year compared to January. This was the twenty-ninth consecutive month with sales down year-over-year.

Sales 95
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The Opportunity for Advisor Growth in the Retirement Market

Wealth Management

Technology innovations have made it easier than ever for non-retirement-expert advisors to offer retirement solutions.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Managing Cash Flow in Retirement

MainStreet Financial Planning

Managing cash flow in retirement is a crucial aspect of financial planning that can feel daunting after decades of receiving regular paychecks. Here are some strategies to consider: 1. Comprehensive Income Assessment : Start by compiling a list of all potential sources of retirement income, including pensions, annuities, deferred compensation, Social Security, net rental income, dividends, and part-time or consulting work. 2.

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Allianz, Constellation Wealth to Buy $450M Stake in AlTi Global

Wealth Management

The capital from Allianz and Constellation Wealth will be used AlTi Global to pursue organic and acquisition-based growth strategies.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 201,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending February 17, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 201,000 , a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 212,000 to 213,000. The 4-week moving average was 215,250, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average.

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Kingswood SPAC Deal With Wentworth Gets Three-Week Extension

Wealth Management

Kingswood now has until March 15 to complete its merger with broker/dealer aggregator Wentworth.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.00 million SAAR in January

Calculated Risk

From the NAR: Existing-Home Sales Rose 3.1% in January Existing-home sales grew in January, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Among the four major U.S. regions, sales accelerated in the Midwest, South and West, and remained steady in the Northeast. Year-over-year, sales improved in the West, and decreased in the Northeast, Midwest and South.

Sales 70
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Unlocking Advisor and Investor Growth with Tax Management Services

Wealth Management

Clients and advisors alike can benefit from a focus on mitigating taxes.

Taxes 115
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Chicago Fed: Economic Growth Decreased in January

Advisor Perspectives

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) dropped to -0.30 in January from +0.02 in December. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index decreased from December and three categories made negative contributions in January. The index's three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, rose to -0.02 in January from -0.14 in December.

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Three Factors Set to Benefit Listed Infrastructure

Wealth Management

Uncertain economic indicators bode well for investment in infrastructure.

Economics 115
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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 15.7% YoY; New Listings up 10.9% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For January, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 7.9% YoY, and down 40% compared to January 2019. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 15.7% YoY, and that would put inventory still down about 39% compared to February 2019.

Sales 62
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Texmaco’s Stock Skyrockets by 300% in a year – Will the Momentum Continue?

Trade Brains

Texmaco : The Indian railway industry has always been known for staying strong and bouncing back from challenges. In recent years, this reputation has proven true, as many railway companies have seen consistent growth with strong order books and steady profits made. One big reason for the railway industry’s steady performance is the help it gets from the Indian government.

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Mercer Global Advisors Hires CFO From McKinsey

Wealth Management

The RIA has brought on Gün Keresteci, former global head of finance at McKinsey.

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BEML’s 284% Rally Explored: Examining Orders and Future Growth Potential

Trade Brains

BEML The Indian government has taken important steps to encourage the development and production of defense equipment within the country. This aims to create a sustainable defense industry and reduce reliance on imports. The “Atmanirbhar Bharat” initiative, promoting self-reliance, has given a strong push towards achieving this goal. These government policies have opened up opportunities for Indian companies to play a significant role in designing, developing, and manufacturing defen

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Good Deflation

Advisor Perspectives

One of the pleasant surprises of 2023 was how quickly inflation decelerated in major economies. Most of the good news came from falling goods prices.

Economy 59
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Has Passive Investing Broken the Market? | Mike Green

Validea

David Einhorn said in a recent podcast interview that he feels that the market is broken. He has made significant changes to his investment approach as a result. Much of the basis for his assertion is based on the work of Simplify’s Mike Green, who has been warning investors about the dangers of passive investing for many years. In this episode, we are fortunate to have Mike back for his third appearance on the podcast.

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How Advisors are Using Defined-Outcome ETFs

Advisor Perspectives

The relatively new category of buffered or “defined-outcome” ETFs has grown to $30 billion in assets, with more than $10 billion in inflows in 2023 alone. Amid significant uncertainty surrounding the Fed's trajectory for rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and a presidential election year, investors are seeking new ways to mitigate risk in their portfolio while still participating in the returns of the equity market.