Fri.Jun 07, 2024

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Comments on May Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the May employment report was well above expectations, however March and April payrolls were revised down by 15,000 combined. The participation rate and employment population ratio decreased, and the unemployment rate increased to 4.0%. Construction employment increased 21 thousand and is now 613 thousand above the pre-pandemic level.

Numbers 318
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Friday links: a dynamic process

Abnormal Returns

Markets Why the ranks of 'degens' are growing. (wsj.com) How to avoid the meme stock drama. (morningstar.com) Some math that traders need to know. (scheplick.com) Crypto What Robinhood ($HOOD) wants with BitStamp. (blockworks.co) Autos The car market is normalizing. (nytimes.com) Unsold Tesla ($TSLA) inventory is piling up. (sherwood.news) Tourism How much does tourism help you understand about another country?

Math 286
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Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in May; Down 12.1% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Declined in May Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were down in May compared to April. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) fell to 197.3, a decline of 12.1% from a year ago. The seasonal adjustment to the index reduced the impact on the month, resulting in values that declined 0.6% month over month.

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How Wealth Managers Can Compete With Family Offices for UHNW Clients

Wealth Management

According to the new Capgemini World Wealth Report, advisors and families offices are eyeing the same pool of ultra-wealthy clients. By working together, they could both benefit.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Podcast links: overcoming perfectionism

Abnormal Returns

Listening The best podcasts of 2024 including 'Stick the Landing' from The Ringer. (time.com) Reese’s Book Club has an audio home on Apple Books. (theverge.com) Economy Ezra Klein talks with Annie Lowery about the growing economic disconnect. (podcasts.apple.com) Jerusalem Demsas talks with Natalia Emanuel on whether remote work actually works for women.

Economy 264
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The WealthStack Podcast: Preparing for the Latest SEC Cybersecurity Rules

Wealth Management

AdviserCyber's Michael Cocanower details what the pending regulations mean for RIAs.

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More Trending

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Mike Everett, MyVest, on RIAs Driving Organic Growth and Managing Change

Wealth Management

The importance of a household approach, value addition, and effective change management strategies.

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May Employment Report: 272 thousand Jobs, 4.0% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 272,000 in May, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.0 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in several industries, led by health care; government; leisure and hospitality; and professional, scientific, and technical services.

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WealthStack Roundup: Advyzon Investment Management Names Scott Smith Chief Revenue Officer

Wealth Management

Ken Denman has also joined TIFIN's Board of Directors.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (June 8-9)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that recent surveys indicate that consumers continue to trust human financial advisors more than Artificial Intelligence (AI)-powered tools. Nonetheless, respondents (particularly those in younger generations) do not see this as an either-or choice, but rather anticipate benefitting from working with human advisors who leverage AI tools for certain tasks (e.g., detecting fraud

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Adjusted for Risk: Is Portfolio Diversification Overrated?

Wealth Management

Lido Advisors Chief Market Strategist Walker Williams talks about all things risk.

Portfolio 267
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Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.6% to 3.1%

Calculated Risk

From BofA: Since last week,1Q GDP tracking is up from 1.3% q/q saar to 1.6% q/q saar and 2Q GDP tracking is down two-tenths to 1.6%. [June 7th estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: Wholesale inventories increased somewhat below consensus expectations and the preliminary report. We lowered our Q2 GDP tracking estimate to +2.1% (qoq ar) , reflecting weaker details in yesterday’s trade report.

Sales 182
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Recent Pay-to-Play Case Is Cautionary Tale for Advisors and Political Contributions

Wealth Management

Political contributions can pose compliance concerns—and reputational risks—to firms in a hotly contested election year.

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The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q1

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q1 Excerpt: During the housing bubble, many homeowners borrowed heavily against their perceived home equity - jokingly calling it the “Home ATM” - and this contributed to the subsequent housing bust, since so many homeowners had negative equity in their homes when house prices declined.

Sales 173
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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Merchant Looks to Double Its Balance Sheet as It Nears First Canadian Deal

Wealth Management

Merchant expects to double its network of RIAs over the next two to three years, as it continues to expand globally.

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The Bottom 50%

A Wealth of Common Sense

Americans are earning more income from their investments than ever before. Here’s the data from the Wall Street Journal: Americans in the first quarter earned about $3.7 trillion from interest and dividends at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, according to the Commerce Department, up roughly $770 billion from four years earlier. That’s a whole lot of passive income.

Assets 137
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Cresset Adds $1.6B Family Office, Boosts AUM Above $52B

Wealth Management

Cresset is acquiring the Michigan-based $1.6 billion family office Connable Group. The acquisition will Cresset's AUM above $52 billion.

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A Closer Look at Full-time and Part-time Employment

Advisor Perspectives

Let's take a close look at May's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment. The latest data shows that 82.6% of total employed workers are full-time (35+ hours) and 17.

Numbers 100
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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Johnson Financial Group: Rules-Based Rebalancing and Phasing Out Cash

Wealth Management

JFG’s CIO Dominic Ceci discusses the $10 billion RIA’s rules-based rebalancing approach, the opportunity he sees in reinsurance, and the decision to phase out the cash allocation over the next year.

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The Wrong Way To Look At Social Security

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

A bunch of quick hits from this weekends Barron's as the articles come out today. For all the worry about retirement readiness, Barrons found a survey where retirees say they are doing just fine. That's great but not really what the potential crisis is about. If there is a problem, it is with people still working who are collectively very undersaved for their retirement.

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Value for Money

The Better Letter

In his early days as a professional investor, Warren Buffett focused on “ cigar butt ” stocks. “If you buy a stock at a sufficiently low price, there will usually be some hiccup in the fortunes of the business that gives you a chance to unload at a decent profit, even though the long-term performance of the business may be terrible.

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Household Net Worth Q1 2024: The "Real" Story

Advisor Perspectives

As of Q1 2024, the latest Fed balance sheet indicates that household net worth has risen 171% since reaching its 2009 low. However, when adjusted for inflation, household net worth has actually increased by only 86% since the 2009 trough.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Auto Stocks: The Fusion of International and Indian Brands in India’s Motorcycle Sector

Trade Brains

Auto Stocks: The Indian motorcycle industry is the favoured and always beloved Industry among commuters and enthusiasts alike. In most tier 2 and tier 3 cities it is the primary mode of transportation for people with a budget. This industry is experiencing a new wave of excitement with the entry of foreign automobile companies partnering with well-known Indian brands.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators

Advisor Perspectives

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.

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Angel One Soars: A Look at the Brokerage’s Performance and Promising Future

Trade Brains

Angel One: Imagine a bustling marketplace, not for fruits and vegetables, but for a different kind of treasure, the ownership in companies. This is the stock market, a dynamic space where businesses raise capital and ambitious individuals chase the potential for growth. But how does one participate in this complex ecosystem? Enter the realm of brokerage firms, your trusted guides in this financial odyssey.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: May Employment

Advisor Perspectives

There is a general belief that there are four big indicators that the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. This commentary focuses on one of those indicators, nonfarm employment. May saw a 272,000 increase in total non-farm payrolls and the unemployment inched up to 4.0%.

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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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How financial advisors can get family offices and high net worth individuals as clients

Sara Grillo

“I want to upgrade my client base and work with ultra high net worth individuals and Family Office clients. How do I meet them?” Whoa, let’s press pause for a second. These are some of the richest families in the world. Are you ready to present yourself to them? I studied several of the wealth managers who work with Family Offices.

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The Fed's Financial Accounts: What Are Uncle Sam's Largest Assets?

Advisor Perspectives

Pop Quiz! Without recourse to your text, your notes, or a Google search, what line item is the largest asset in Uncle Sam's financial accounts? A) U.S.

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The Biggest Mistakes Financial Advisors Make on Social Media and How to Fix Them Today

Indigo Marketing Agency

The world of digital marketing is ever-evolving, and social media stands out as an exceptionally powerful tool! Financial advisors can leverage this tool to connect with clients, build trust, and grow their business. But many advisors fall into common traps that hinder their social media success. #FAIL! At Indigo Marketing Agency, we specialize in helping financial advisors optimize their marketing strategies.

Media 52
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S&P 500 Snapshot: Rebounds 1.3% from Last Week

Advisor Perspectives

The S&P 500 rebounded from last week, finishing up 1.32% from a week ago. The index is currently up 12.74% year to date and has recorded a new all-time high 25 times this year.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g