Fri.May 24, 2024

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Podcast links: pod shopping

Abnormal Returns

Economy Derek Thompson talks with David Leonhardt author of "Ours Was the Shining Future." (theringer.com) Ezra Klein talks with James Pethokoukis author of "The Conservative Futurist: How to Create the Sci-Fi World We Were Promised." (podcasts.apple.com) Russ Roberts talks with Nick Bostrom author of "Deep Utopia: Life and Meaning in a Solved World.

Economy 278
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The S&P 500 vs. the U.S. Economy

A Wealth of Common Sense

Here are some facts and figures about the S&P 500: According to Global Financial Data, the S&P only contained 90 stocks when it was created in 1928. It became the S&P 500 in 1957. At the time, the index was comprised of 425 industrial stocks, 60 utilities and 15 railroads. Financials and transportation stocks weren’t added until 1976.

Economy 144
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Friday links: finding your tribe

Abnormal Returns

Markets Why do companies do stock splits? (sherwood.news) T+1 settlement is here. (axios.com) Strategy Ian Cassel, "Time is always trying to put you out of business." (microcapclub.com) A rock, digital or not, is still just a rock. (humbledollar.com) Crypto The SEC has approved spot Ethereum ETFs. (theblock.co) It was a big week for cypto regulation.

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Momentum Everywhere, Even Cross-Country Factor Momentum

Alpha Architect

There is strong empirical evidence demonstrating that momentum (both cross-sectional and time-series) provides information on the cross-section of returns of many risk assets and has generated alpha relative to existing asset pricing models. Momentum Everywhere, Even Cross-Country Factor Momentum was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

Assets 134
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.2% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 18 May The U.S. hotel industry reported higher performance from the previous week and positive comparisons year over year, according to CoStar’s latest data through 18 May. 12-18 May 2024 (percentage change from comparable week in 2023): • Occupancy: 67.4% (+0.2%) • Average daily rate (ADR): US$163.11 (+2.6%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$109.93 (+2.8%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy r

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More Trending

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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Drops 10% in May to Six-Month Low

Advisor Perspectives

Consumer sentiment fell over 10% in May to a 6-month low according to the final report for the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The index fell 8.1 points (-10.5%) to 69.1 from the April final. The latest reading was above the forecast of 67.4.

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The WealthStack Podcast: The Importance of a Growth Partner With Andree Mohr

Wealth Management

Integrated Partners President Andree Mohr details the benefits of having the right partner.

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Five Critiques of GAO’s Report on Target Date Funds

Advisor Perspectives

The GAO report was three years in the making. At $4 trillion and growing, target date funds are very important. The GAO report has the potential to improve the industry.

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SEC Adopts Updated Cybersecurity Rules

Wealth Management

On the same day the 24-year-old updates to Regulation S-P were announced, Interactive Brokers reported a customer data breach.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Sigachi Industries: Fueling Pharma Growth with High-Quality MCC

Trade Brains

We all know that the pharmaceutical industry is a complex ecosystem where countless components converge to produce life – saving medicines. A reliable supply of these components is fundamental for the smooth functioning of this industry, impacting everything from development timelines to patient access to meditation. Here’s where Sigachi industries play a major role through their production of Microcrystalline Cellulose (MCC).

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Ratings Agencies Drop Outlooks on Focus, Edelman

Wealth Management

Moody’s changed its outlook on Focus to negative, citing the firm’s “hub” strategy. Meanwhile, the agencies assigned junk ratings to Edelman’s proposed $575 million term loan.

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The New Dream Job Is Working for … the Government?

Advisor Perspectives

One of the best parts of being a young college graduate, and naïve to the grim realities of the working world, is being deluded about how great your career will be. Maybe you’ll found the next Nvidia, or win the Nobel Prize in your field, or start a charity that will make the world a better place.

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Debt Ratings Agencies Lower Outlook on Focus, Issue Junk Rating On Edelman Loan

Wealth Management

Moody’s changed its outlook on Focus to negative, citing the firm’s “hub” strategy. Meanwhile, the agencies assigned junk ratings to Edelman’s proposed $575 million term loan.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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40% In Commodities? What?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Barron's had an interesting article about a BofA study showing that over a period of many decades an asset allocation of 60% equities/40% commodities outperformed an allocation of 60% equities/40% fixed income by 0.80% per year. You might expect a tradeoff of having to take on more volatility for that extra return but the article didn't really dig in beyond noting bonds tending to be less volatile.

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401(k) Real Chat: Saumen Chattppadhyay

Wealth Management

Retirement industry thought leaders answer three probing questions on critical issues, providing an open, honest and candid dialogue.

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What Is New and Sexy in the Income-Protection and Disability Insurance Space?

NAIFA Advisor Today

May is Disability Insurance Awareness Month. To mark the occasion, Advisor Today is please to bring you this article by the DI Geek, himself, Corey Anderson. Opinions expressed are those of the author.

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Nvidia Stock Surges as Sales Forecast Delivers on AI Hopes

Advisor Perspectives

Nvidia Corp., the chipmaker at the center of an artificial intelligence boom, jumped in premarket trading after a bullish sales forecast showed that AI computing spending remains strong.

Sales 75
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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May Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.8 million SAAR, Up 2% YoY

Calculated Risk

From WardsAuto: May U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Tracking to Annualized Rate Flat with April (pay content). Brief excerpt: There is a good possibility sales end May above expectations, depending on much holiday marketing pulls in additional buyers. Second-quarter sales are pegged at a 15.9 million-unit SAAR, with volume rising 1% from the year-ago period. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

Sales 75
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Durable Goods Orders Rise More Than Expected in April

Advisor Perspectives

New orders for manufactured durable goods rose more than expected in April, coming in at $284.07B. This is a 0.7% increase from the previous month and more than the expected -0.9% decline. The series is down 0.9% year-over-year (YoY). If we exclude transportation, "core" durable goods were up 0.4% from the previous month and up 1.7% from one year ago.

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Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.8% to 3.5%

Calculated Risk

From BofA: 2Q GDP tracking is down a tenth to 1.8% q/q saar. Also, we expect the second print of 1Q GDP to be revised down to 1.2% from 1.6%. [May 24th estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: We boosted our Q2 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1pp to +3.2% (qoq ar) and our domestic final sales estimate by the same amount to +2.5%. [May 24th estimate] And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2024 is 3.5 perce

Sales 69
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S&P 500 Snapshot: See-Saw Week Ends with Minor Gains

Advisor Perspectives

The S&P 500 see-sawed this week, ending with only minor gains (+0.03%) from a week ago. The index is currently up 11.85% year to date and has recorded a new all-time high 24 times this year.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Watch Months-of-Supply!

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Watch Months-of-Supply! A brief excerpt: Although inventory is well below normal levels, so are sales. I think we need to keep an eye on months-of-supply. Historically nominal prices declined when months-of-supply approached 6 months - and that is unlikely this year - but we could see months-of-supply back to 2019 levels later this year.

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JPMorgan Hunts for Private Credit Firm to Grow in Hot Sector

Advisor Perspectives

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is on the hunt to buy a private credit firm to augment its $3.6 trillion asset management arm, as the biggest US bank makes more inroads into Wall Street’s buzziest sector.

Banking 59
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Investor Toolkit to Private Markets

Wealth Management

Discover new opportunities for your clients' portfolios.

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RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index

Advisor Perspectives

The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of May 10th, the index was at 22.165, up 1.698 from the previous week, with 5 of the 6 components in expansion territory.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Markets, Inflation, & the Fed

Bell Investment Advisors

On Friday, May 24 th at 12pm Pacific time, Investment Advisor & Financial Planner Laurent Harrison, CFP® joined Bell Portfolio Manager Ryan Kelley, CFA® for an engaging discussion of the following topics: Stock & Bond Market Commentary Global Economic Update Inflation Concerns & the Federal Reserve Are Stocks Expensive? 2024-25 Bell Webinar Markets, Inflation, and the Fed Speakers: Laurent Harrison, CFP®: Senior Investment Advisor, Financial Planner Ryan Kelley, CFA®: Portfolio Ma

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Fed’s Inflation Debate Shifts to How Much Goods Prices Can Drop

Advisor Perspectives

As Federal Reserve officials stare down the last mile in their campaign against inflation, one key question is becoming increasingly central to the debate: Will goods prices continue to fall?

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How to save on financial advisor fees?

Sara Grillo

Financial advisor fees can be reduced – here are some ways. Don’t get suckered out of your hard-earned money! But before we get to the blog… Look, there are alot of schmucks out there hawking crap products disguised as financial advice. Don’t be fooled! Please subscribe to my newsletter to receive updates that raise awareness of consumer financial issues.