Mon.Nov 27, 2023

article thumbnail

The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

This weekend Jeff Sommer discussed a DFA research paper on market timing; both are well worth your time to read. The broad strokes are: Market timing is extremely difficult, very few people (if any) do it consistently well. Not only are the odds stacked against you, but very often systems that have successfully timed the market have been simply lucky, and do not succeed in out-of-sample tests.

Marketing 305
article thumbnail

Monday links: jobless recoveries

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Why market timing is so difficult. (ritholtz.com) Diversification is easy in theory, difficult in practice. (pictureperfectportfolios.com) Amazon Amazon ($AMZN) is now the biggest private delivery company in the U.S. (wsj.com) Amazon ($AMZN) no longer inspires fear in the health care space. (bloomberg.com) Finance Why you should expect more bank consolidation.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My back-to-work morning reads: • How to Tweak Your Investments for a More Normal Market : Convert a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA; Higher interest rates means cash gets a respectable yield; Revisit concentrated positions; consider adding international stocks; buy longer-dated Treasuries. ( Barron’s ) • Economists May Have Been Flying Blind All Along : Declining response rates to official surveys raise the possibility that government and central bank officials have been making decisions bas

article thumbnail

Adviser links: safety and reliability

Abnormal Returns

Podcast Brendan Frazier talks with Shaun Erickson who is Chief Planning Officer at Single Point Partners. (wiredplanning.com) Ren Makino and Yanley Espinal talk philanthropy with Greg Ratliff, Vice President at Rockefeller Philanthropy Advisors. (docs.google.com) The Smoke Show Why advisers need to keep up on changes in the technology space. (thereformedbroker.com) You can sign up for the Episode 2 of the Smoke Show featuring Flourish Cash here.

article thumbnail

Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

article thumbnail

How Financial Advicers Can Write, Publish, And Distribute Their Own Book To Create A More Effective Impression On Prospective Clients

Nerd's Eye View

One of the main goals of financial advisors who market themselves is to build a foundation of trust with their prospective clients so that they feel comfortable in discussing often-sensitive financial topics and ultimately acting on the advisor's recommendations. The challenge, though, is that advisors usually have only a short amount of time to build this trust, and while advisors can use different channels (e.g., their websites, newsletters, and social media) to demonstrate their expertise, th

More Trending

article thumbnail

New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October; Median New Home Price is Down 18% from the Peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 679 thousand. The previous three months were revised down. The next graph shows new home sales for 2022 and 2023 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

Sales 109
article thumbnail

Cetera Closes on Avantax Acquisition

Wealth Management

The deal takes Avantax private, and the tax-focused firm will operate as a separate division within Cetera.

Taxes 115
article thumbnail

Fiscal Deficits Drive Higher Inflation

Advisor Perspectives

The growth of the federal deficit in the post-COVID era, coupled with the political unwillingness to increase taxes, foretells higher-than-historical inflation rates, according to new research.

Taxes 109
article thumbnail

11 Must Reads for Real Estate Investors (Nov. 27, 2023)

Wealth Management

Annual non-traded alternatives fundraising for interval funds, BDCs and REITs has reached $58 billion, according to the latest data from Robert A. Stanger & Co. CoStar is predicting a looming office space shortage for the very top tier properties. These are among the must reads from the real estate investment world to start the week.

Investing 111
article thumbnail

Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

article thumbnail

New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 679 thousand. The previous three months were revised down. Sales of new single‐family houses in October 2023 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 679,000 , according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Sales 105
article thumbnail

ESG and Passive Investing Do Not Mix

Wealth Management

The complex, long-term nature of sustainable investing makes it inherently an active management discipline.

Investing 109
article thumbnail

Weekly Market Insights – November 27, 2023

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

Weekly Market Insights: Short Week Strong For Stocks Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Investor enthusiasm for stocks remained strong last week, buoyed by declining bond yields in a holiday-abbreviated trading week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average picked up 1.27%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 gained 1.00%. The Nasdaq Composite index rose 0.89% for the week.

Marketing 105
article thumbnail

Options for Changing an Irrevocable Trust

Wealth Management

Irrevocable trusts can't be modified. unless they can.

106
106
article thumbnail

Profit in the Details: Rethinking Spend for Monumental Impact

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

article thumbnail

24 Fun And Inexpensive Girls Day Out Ideas

Clever Girl Finance

When you’re trying to save money, it can feel like you have to put your life on hold. But just because you’re tightening the purse strings doesn’t mean you have to cut into your social life. Actually, you can still enjoy girls day out ideas and have lots of fun, even when you’re on a tight budget. Table of contents 1. Volunteer together 2.

article thumbnail

RIA Edge 100 Roundup: Unlocking Growth Through Career Paths, Equity and Succession

Wealth Management

Growth isn’t just a goal, it’s a roadmap.

99
article thumbnail

Is It Cheaper To Build Or Buy A House?

Clever Girl Finance

The idea of building a home might seem like a dream come true because you can fully customize the space. But buying a home already built also has its benefits, like being move-in ready right away. You may find yourself wavering between the two as you consider costs, so is it cheaper to build or buy a house? Table of contents Is it cheaper to build or buy a house?

article thumbnail

Emerging-Market ETFs Exceed $10B of Inflows This Year

Wealth Management

Net deposits into ETFs that invest across developing nations as well as those that target specific countries totaled $766.1 million in the week ended Nov. 24, building on gains of $1.57 billion in the previous week.

article thumbnail

Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Reasons To Be Thankful

Carson Wealth

We hope everyone had a nice Thanksgiving holiday with family and friends. We wanted to take some time this week to go over a few reasons for investors to be thankful. Stocks rallied again last week and are now up four weeks in a row. The S&P 500 is up close to 20% on the year, one big reason to be thankful. The economy remains strong, the consumer is healthy, the wall of worry is intact, and manufacturing is bottoming.

article thumbnail

A Pep Talk for Financial Advisors on Investing in a Declining Market

XY Planning Network

October ended with the S&P 500, Russell 3000, MSCI World Ex USA, MSCI Emerging Markets, and DJ Global Select REIT in the negative for 1-month and 3-month periods, so some clients will certainly be ready for us to answer the question, “What is it this time?” The beauty of our approach—building investment strategies based on academic research and rebalancing back to the target risk tolerance as markets move—is that we can find comfort in these times by revisiting the core tenets of our belief

article thumbnail

A new twist on momentum strategies: Utilize overlapping momentum portfolios

Alpha Architect

Momentum investors utilize different timeframes to identify high momentum equities: past 6, 9, 12 months as an example. Obviously, there is a significant degree of overlap in momentum stocks identified across various past time frames. However, there has been little research focused on understanding the characteristics of momentum stocks formed on six and 12 months that overlap one another.

article thumbnail

Court Case Threatens Compensation Model for RPAs, Providers

Wealth Management

The Bugielski case concerns whether the plan sponsor had a duty to consider the fee their record keeper received from a brokerage account and managed account provider.

article thumbnail

Crafting Impact: Revenue Growth And Efficiency For Finance Professionals

Speaker: Ashley Harlan, MBA

What if your role as a fractional CFO went beyond operational support to actively shaping the future of your clients’ businesses? 💼 ✨ In this session, discover how fractional finance professionals can position themselves as architects of growth, guiding their clients toward sustainable success and preparing them for full-time financial leadership.

article thumbnail

Talk Your Book: Strategic Income

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by Nuveen: On today’s show, we spoke with Nick Travaglino, Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Nuveen to discuss the fixed-income market in 2023. On today’s show, we discuss: Will rates be higher for longer or has consensus changed? An update on the Fed, and a discussion on the next rate hike or cut Mortgage rates and the probability of a housing slowdown.

article thumbnail

Is a Hedge Fund More Than Its Founder?

Wealth Management

Star money managers are selling up or giving cash back to investors. Turning your hedge fund into a sustainable, growing business is a tall order.

article thumbnail

TSA: Airline Travel Above 2019 Levels

Calculated Risk

The TSA is providing daily travel numbers. This data is as of November 26th. Click on graph for larger image. This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA (Blue). The red line is the percent of 2019 for the seven-day average. The 7-day average is above the level for the same week in 2019 (104% of 2019). (red line) The 7-day average has been above 2019 Air travel - as a percent of 2019 - is tracking above pre-pandemic levels.

Numbers 78
article thumbnail

Billions Wiped Out as Stock-Safety Trade on Wall Street Misfires

Wealth Management

Rather than give shelter in a stormy season, the largest dividend ETFs have been left behind by a tech-obsessed market whose biggest proxies have surged 15% or more.

article thumbnail

Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

article thumbnail

Just Because You Can, Doesn't Mean You Should

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Portfolio replication is a tricky thing that frequently doesn't work. It can work like with the now closed Alpha Clone ETF. It replicated hedge funds based on stale 13-f data but it worked. The fund must not have gained enough AUM to last but it did work. We look at a lot of different ideas here, whether we are talking about replication or not, not to simply copy what someone else is doing but to see if some random strategy might have some piece of process or an idea to incorporate in a way that

article thumbnail

Annuities Are Back in Fashion, But Are They Safe?

Wealth Management

Rising interest rates have spurred a boom in demand, but investors should take note of recent changes in the insurance industry.

article thumbnail

The Missing Piece to Advisors’ End-Of-Year Planning Strategies

Advisor Perspectives

I'll share the impact healthcare costs have on financial plans, the critical healthcare information to include (such as medical tax deductions and IRMAA), how to budget for costs in a world of variables, and tangible strategies to implement during open enrollment and beyond to ensure clients are on the optimal coverage.