Thu.Jul 11, 2024

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YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined, but has turned up recently, and is now up 4.8% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through May 2024.

Food 313
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The Great Wealth Treadmill

Wealth Management

What is horizontal wealth transfer?

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Longform links: the traumatized life

Abnormal Returns

Defense How Russia has adapted to Western weapons in Ukraine. (wsj.com) Advances in drone warfare has happened outside the purview of the defense giants. (on.ft.com) GPS is increasingly under attack. (nytimes.com) Gambling Stock trading continues to migrate onto smartphones and apps. (bloomberg.com) Smartphones and ubiquitous gambling go hand-in-hand.

Economy 285
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Wealth Enhancement Group Adds First Utah Location

Wealth Management

Rock House Financial, which works with business owners, women and social media influencers, manages $272 million in assets.

Media 273
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Thursday links: most narratives

Abnormal Returns

Markets Today's constructive CPI report rang a bell for financial markets. (sherwood.news) Falling interest rates helped push 30-year mortgage rates well below 7.0%. (mortgagenewsdaily.com) Finance Private equity firms just can't quit dividend recaps. (finance.yahoo.com) The market for leveraged loans is open for business, especially refinancings. (wsj.com) Weight loss drugs Patients with Type 2 diabetes are struggling to get GLP-1 drugs.

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Market Strategists Thankfully Abandon S&P 500 Targets

Wealth Management

Precise index projections have never served investors well.

Marketing 263

More Trending

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Rep Cites Supreme Court Ruling Against SEC in Suit Challenging FINRA Hearings

Wealth Management

FINRA accused D. Allen Blankenship of unsuitable mutual fund trading. Still, the broker is looking to SEC v. Jarkesy and claiming the disciplinary proceedings violate his right to a jury trial.

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Kitces & Carl Ep 142: Carl’s 13 Magical Questions Of Conversational Goodness With (New) Clients

Nerd's Eye View

Meaningful communication is crucial to building strong, durable relationships, and asking effective questions is an essential part of facilitating impactful conversations. Being able to initiate and lead those conversations has become an important aspect of any financial advicer's skill set , but for many, it's one that isn't always as straightforward or easy to learn … particularly for advicers who might be happiest when nerding out with spreadsheets and flowcharts!

Clients 189
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$4B Modern Wealth Acquires $260M Tennessee Firm

Wealth Management

C&J Wealth represents Modern Wealth’s ninth acquisition in the last 14 months and provides a foothold in the South.

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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 34.5% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For June, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 36.7% YoY, but still down 32.4% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 34.5% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.

Sales 173
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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The Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: Why a Former Wirehouse Advisor Built and Sold a $1.5B Independent Firm

Wealth Management

Stratos Private Wealth President Jeff Brown details his journey.

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BLS: CPI Decreased 0.1% in June; Core CPI increased 0.1%

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis , after being unchanged in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. The index for gasoline fell 3.8 percent in June, after declining 3.6 percent in May, more than offsetting an increase in shelter.

Food 173
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$25.9B Wealthspire Launches Trust Company

Wealth Management

Jonathan Connolly, previously a managing director and head of trust at Wealthspire, will serve as president of the new trust company.

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Friday: PPI

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The Producer Price Index for June from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in PPI, and a 0.2% increase in core PPI. 10:00 AM: University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (Preliminary for July).

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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The Top Employee and Independent Broker/Dealers

Wealth Management

Stifel had the highest satisfaction score among employee advisors, while Commonwealth took the top spot among independents, according to J.D. Power’s latest ranking.

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Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.2% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in June

Calculated Risk

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% in May. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.2%. "The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report".

Food 162
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Bain Capital To Acquire Envestnet

Wealth Management

Valued at $4.5 billion, the technology behemoth to advisors will be taken private with minority stakes from key strategic partners.

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Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July 2024

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July 2024 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-July provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always like to start with inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale ! Here is a graph of new listing from Realtor.com’s June 2024 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report showing new listings were up 6.3% year-over-year in June.

Marketing 162
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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Wealth Tech Startup for Doctors Raises $200 Million, Eyes M&A

Wealth Management

Earned Wealth, founded in 2021, offers medical professionals advice on financial planning, tax planning, wealth management and investing on one interconnected platform.

Startup 220
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How Much Money You Need For Retirement

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: On this week’s episode, you guys mention that nobody uses the 4% rule. I have been tracking my annual expenses for the last few years and multiplying it by 25 as a ballpark figure of what I need to retire. Is this not a good way to estimate? If not, what do you suggest? Sorry if this is a dumb question, but yes, I have read this in a lot of blogs.

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Wall Street’s Black-Box ETFs Snubbed in $136B Active Boom

Wealth Management

Four years after their debut, actively managed strategies that only periodically reveal their holdings are enduring a slow demise.

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The Next Chance at Nvidia-like Returns

Advisor Perspectives

No investor wants to miss the wave of a massive, transformational technology. Spot these big shifts early, and you have a chance at Nvidia-like returns.

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Chart of the Week: More Signs of Disinflation

Discipline Funds

Thursday’s CPI report was a big downside surprise as more signs of disinflation appeared across the economy. Core CPI rose 0.06% in June which brought the annualized rate to 3.27%. That’s the lowest rate since 2021. The big driver in the downside miss was shelter, which finally appears to be catching up to what we’ve been seeing across real-time shelter metrics.

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Ambuja Cements: Acquisitions done by the company to overtake Ultratech  

Trade Brains

Ambuja Cements: We all know that the Indian construction industry is a vast canvas which constantly undergoes development. Ambuja Cement being a brand which has been a trusted supplier of building blocks for this progress has entered into a new chapter. Their recent acquisition has lightened things up and promises to redefine the company’s position.

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Private Equity's Creative Wizardry Is Obscuring Danger Signs

Advisor Perspectives

As Pete Stavros addressed the private equity industry’s yearly shindig in Berlin last month, the KKR & Co. executive’s words were slightly less headline grabbing than those of Apollo Global Management’s co-president Scott Kleinman. But they were just as troubling.

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Comparing College Savings Options: 529 Plans, Roth IRAs, and Real Estate Investments

MainStreet Financial Planning

As a parent and financial planner, ensuring that we make the smartest financial decisions for our families is crucial. In this article, we will explore three popular savings and investment options: 529 Plans, Roth IRAs, and Real Estate. Each has unique benefits and drawbacks, and understanding these can help you decide which fits best with your financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals. 529 Plans 529 Plans are specialized savings accounts designed to help families save for future education

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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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From Tax Efficiency to Retirement: Financial Planning for Small Business Owners

Carson Wealth

Financial planning for a small business gets more complicated every day. Business owners must navigate tax efficiency (and life under the new Tax Cuts and Jobs Act), retirement preparations for yourself and your employees, and succession planning. Get your financial plan in place today and prepare for what tomorrow brings with our guide to financial planning for small business owners.

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Middle Class Hourly Wages as of June 2024

Advisor Perspectives

This series has been updated to include the June release of the consumer price index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $50,634, down 7.1% from over 50 years ago. After adjusting for inflation, hourly earnings are below their all-time high from April 2020.

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Bond Ladders: What You Need To Know

Wealthfront

Bond ladders may be a buzzy investment strategy at the moment, but they’re more than just a passing trend. Bond ladders are also a time-tested approach for investors who want to protect and grow a windfall or save for a future purchase. But what are bond ladders, and who can potentially benefit from using them? […] The post Bond Ladders: What You Need To Know appeared first on Wealthfront Blog.

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Inflation Since 1872: A Long-Term Look at the CPI

Advisor Perspectives

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) released for June puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.97%. The latest reading keeps inflation below the 3.74% average since the end of the Second World War for the 13th straight month. However, inflation remains above the 10-year moving average which is now at 2.82%.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g