Thu.Jul 11, 2024

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Longform links: the traumatized life

Abnormal Returns

Defense How Russia has adapted to Western weapons in Ukraine. (wsj.com) Advances in drone warfare has happened outside the purview of the defense giants. (on.ft.com) GPS is increasingly under attack. (nytimes.com) Gambling Stock trading continues to migrate onto smartphones and apps. (bloomberg.com) Smartphones and ubiquitous gambling go hand-in-hand.

Economy 285
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Kitces & Carl Ep 142: Carl’s 13 Magical Questions Of Conversational Goodness With (New) Clients

Nerd's Eye View

Meaningful communication is crucial to building strong, durable relationships, and asking effective questions is an essential part of facilitating impactful conversations. Being able to initiate and lead those conversations has become an important aspect of any financial advicer's skill set , but for many, it's one that isn't always as straightforward or easy to learn … particularly for advicers who might be happiest when nerding out with spreadsheets and flowcharts!

Clients 182
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Thursday links: most narratives

Abnormal Returns

Markets Today's constructive CPI report rang a bell for financial markets. (sherwood.news) Falling interest rates helped push 30-year mortgage rates well below 7.0%. (mortgagenewsdaily.com) Finance Private equity firms just can't quit dividend recaps. (finance.yahoo.com) The market for leveraged loans is open for business, especially refinancings. (wsj.com) Weight loss drugs Patients with Type 2 diabetes are struggling to get GLP-1 drugs.

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How Much Money You Need For Retirement

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: On this week’s episode, you guys mention that nobody uses the 4% rule. I have been tracking my annual expenses for the last few years and multiplying it by 25 as a ballpark figure of what I need to retire. Is this not a good way to estimate? If not, what do you suggest? Sorry if this is a dumb question, but yes, I have read this in a lot of blogs.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Calculated Risk

Here are a few measures of inflation: The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year. This declined, but has turned up recently, and is now up 4.8% YoY. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the YoY price change for Services and Services less rent of shelter through May 2024.

Food 125

More Trending

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The Next Chance at Nvidia-like Returns

Advisor Perspectives

No investor wants to miss the wave of a massive, transformational technology. Spot these big shifts early, and you have a chance at Nvidia-like returns.

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Wealth Enhancement Group Adds First Utah Location

Wealth Management

Rock House Financial, which works with business owners, women and social media influencers, manages $272 million in assets.

Media 103
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Ambuja Cements: Acquisitions done by the company to overtake Ultratech  

Trade Brains

Ambuja Cements: We all know that the Indian construction industry is a vast canvas which constantly undergoes development. Ambuja Cement being a brand which has been a trusted supplier of building blocks for this progress has entered into a new chapter. Their recent acquisition has lightened things up and promises to redefine the company’s position.

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Market Strategists Thankfully Abandon S&P 500 Targets

Wealth Management

Precise index projections have never served investors well.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Private Equity's Creative Wizardry Is Obscuring Danger Signs

Advisor Perspectives

As Pete Stavros addressed the private equity industry’s yearly shindig in Berlin last month, the KKR & Co. executive’s words were slightly less headline grabbing than those of Apollo Global Management’s co-president Scott Kleinman. But they were just as troubling.

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Rep Cites Supreme Court Ruling Against SEC in Suit Challenging FINRA Hearings

Wealth Management

FINRA accused D. Allen Blankenship of unsuitable mutual fund trading. Still, the broker is looking to SEC v. Jarkesy and claiming the disciplinary proceedings violate his right to a jury trial.

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Chart of the Week: More Signs of Disinflation

Discipline Funds

Thursday’s CPI report was a big downside surprise as more signs of disinflation appeared across the economy. Core CPI rose 0.06% in June which brought the annualized rate to 3.27%. That’s the lowest rate since 2021. The big driver in the downside miss was shelter, which finally appears to be catching up to what we’ve been seeing across real-time shelter metrics.

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$4B Modern Wealth Acquires $260M Tennessee Firm

Wealth Management

C&J Wealth represents Modern Wealth’s ninth acquisition in the last 14 months and provides a foothold in the South.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 222,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending July 6, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 222,000 , a decrease of 17,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 238,000 to 239,000. The 4-week moving average was 233,500, a decrease of 5,250 from the previous week's revised average.

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The Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: Why a Former Wirehouse Advisor Built and Sold a $1.5B Independent Firm

Wealth Management

Stratos Private Wealth President Jeff Brown details his journey.

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Comparing College Savings Options: 529 Plans, Roth IRAs, and Real Estate Investments

MainStreet Financial Planning

As a parent and financial planner, ensuring that we make the smartest financial decisions for our families is crucial. In this article, we will explore three popular savings and investment options: 529 Plans, Roth IRAs, and Real Estate. Each has unique benefits and drawbacks, and understanding these can help you decide which fits best with your financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals. 529 Plans 529 Plans are specialized savings accounts designed to help families save for future education

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$25.9B Wealthspire Launches Trust Company

Wealth Management

Jonathan Connolly, previously a managing director and head of trust at Wealthspire, will serve as president of the new trust company.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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From Tax Efficiency to Retirement: Financial Planning for Small Business Owners

Carson Wealth

Financial planning for a small business gets more complicated every day. Business owners must navigate tax efficiency (and life under the new Tax Cuts and Jobs Act), retirement preparations for yourself and your employees, and succession planning. Get your financial plan in place today and prepare for what tomorrow brings with our guide to financial planning for small business owners.

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The Top Employee and Independent Broker/Dealers

Wealth Management

Stifel had the highest satisfaction score among employee advisors, while Commonwealth took the top spot among independents, according to J.D. Power’s latest ranking.

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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 34.5% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For June, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 36.7% YoY, but still down 32.4% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 34.5% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.

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Bain Capital To Acquire Envestnet

Wealth Management

Valued at $4.5 billion, the technology behemoth to advisors will be taken private with minority stakes from key strategic partners.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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BLS: CPI Decreased 0.1% in June; Core CPI increased 0.1%

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) declined 0.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis , after being unchanged in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. The index for gasoline fell 3.8 percent in June, after declining 3.6 percent in May, more than offsetting an increase in shelter.

Food 69
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Wealth Tech Startup for Doctors Raises $200 Million, Eyes M&A

Wealth Management

Earned Wealth, founded in 2021, offers medical professionals advice on financial planning, tax planning, wealth management and investing on one interconnected platform.

Startup 81
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Friday: PPI

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The Producer Price Index for June from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in PPI, and a 0.2% increase in core PPI. 10:00 AM: University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (Preliminary for July).

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Wall Street’s Black-Box ETFs Snubbed in $136B Active Boom

Wealth Management

Four years after their debut, actively managed strategies that only periodically reveal their holdings are enduring a slow demise.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.2% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in June

Calculated Risk

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% in May. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.2%. "The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report".

Food 64
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Middle Class Hourly Wages as of June 2024

Advisor Perspectives

This series has been updated to include the June release of the consumer price index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $50,634, down 7.1% from over 50 years ago. After adjusting for inflation, hourly earnings are below their all-time high from April 2020.

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Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July 2024

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July 2024 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-July provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always like to start with inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale ! Here is a graph of new listing from Realtor.com’s June 2024 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report showing new listings were up 6.3% year-over-year in June.