Thu.Sep 26, 2024

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Nobody Knows Anything, The Beatles edition

The Big Picture

In celebration of Abbey Road being released 55 years ago today (September 26, 1969), here is a short, Beatles-related excerpt from my upcoming book: “ How Not To Invest: The ideas, numbers, and behaviors that destroy wealth – and how to avoid them.” The book is being published ~March 18, 2025, and is available for pre-ording today.

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Longform links: the digital biosphere

Abnormal Returns

Books A look at "Opus: The Cult of Dark Money, Human Trafficking, and Right-Wing Conspiracy Inside the Catholic Church" by Gareth Gore. (nymag.com) An excerpt from “Fools on the Hill: The Hooligans, Saboteurs, Conspiracy Theorists and Dunces who Burned Down the House,” by Dana Milbank. (wapo.st) A Q&A with Alok Sama author of "The Money Trap: Lost Illusions Inside the Tech Bubble.

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Planning For Early Retirement

A Wealth of Common Sense

The Roth Man himself, Bill Sweet, joined me on the show this week to discuss questions about taxes in marriage, retirement withdrawal strategies, the tax implications of selling farmland and how to manage tax rates in early retirement.

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Thursday links: news cynicism

Abnormal Returns

Markets U.S. earnings estimates, and margins, continue to tick higher in 2024. (carsongroup.com) Covid was boon for U.S. corporate profitability. (sherwood.news) Strategy How would you do if had tomorrow's newspaper today? (ft.com) Investing is simple but not easy. (thefinancialbodyguard.com) Finance Not every sovereign wealth fund is created alike.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Three Steps for Using Data and AI to Uncover Your Niche and Supercharge Your Marketing

Wealth Management

Maintaining and getting the most out of your CRM’s data takes some effort.

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More Trending

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Advisor Sentiment Index: Confidence in the Economy Falls

Wealth Management

Financial advisors’ confidence in the current state of the economy sank last month to its lowest point year-to-date, while optimism in the stock market continued to rise.

Economy 115
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Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.8% below 2022 peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak Excerpt: It has been over 18 years since the bubble peak. In the July Case-Shiller house price index on Tuesday, the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 74% above the bubble peak in 2006. However, in real terms, the National index (SA) is about 11% above the bubble peak (and historically there has been an upward slope to real house prices).

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Former Dakota Executive Carina Diamond Joins $1.7B RIA Gries

Wealth Management

Diamond will also serve as Chief Growth Officer for Gries’ parent company, The 4100 Group Financial Services.

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Who will win the Indian telecom war? JIO, Airtel, Vodafone, or BSNL

Trade Brains

The Indian telecommunications sector has experienced remarkable growth recently. Mobile phone usage and internet services have spread widely across the country. This expansion has transformed how Indians communicate and access information in their daily lives. The sector faces significant challenges, including intense competition and high infrastructure costs.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Carson Wealth Acquires $400M Montana RIA

Wealth Management

Carson Wealth establishes its second Billings, Mont. location with the acquisition of True North Financial.

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What Medicare Doesn’t Cover (and What You Can Do About It)

Carson Wealth

Navigating Medicare can sometimes feel like a maze. Understanding what’s covered—and what isn’t — can be tricky. While Medicare does offer a lot of valuable services, it doesn’t cover everything. Let’s discuss some of the most common things Medicare won’t cover and share solutions to help you fill those gaps. 1. Dental Care If you’ve been asking, “Does Medicare cover dental?

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Comparing ETF Returns Across Key Asset Classes

Wealth Management

The ETFs in this gallery are top funds for key asset classes, such as large-cap equities, small-cap equities, emerging markets, bond strategies and bitcoin.

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Everything you need to know about NSE IPO

Trade Brains

National Stock Exchange of India Limited is set to launch an IPO through an offer for sale of 11,14,11,970 equity shares, each with a face value of ₹1. The price per equity share will be determined closer to the offer date. The IPO will constitute 22.5% of the company’s post-offer paid-up equity share capital. The company, in consultation with joint global coordinators and book-running lead managers, will finalize the minimum bid lot and price band.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Smarsh Building AI Intelligent Agent for Compliance

Wealth Management

Once complete and available, the Intelligent Agent should help relieve the burden of manual communications review on compliance officers.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 218,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending September 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000 , a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 219,000 to 222,000. The 4-week moving average was 224,750, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average.

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Report: $17B Homrich Berg to Sell Minority Stake to TPG

Wealth Management

The deal with private equity firm TPG would value the RIA integrator at around $1 billion, according to a Reuters report.

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September Vehicle Sales Forecast: 16.1 million SAAR, Up 2% YoY

Calculated Risk

From WardsAuto: September U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Forecast for 9-Month-High SAAR Despite Drop in Volume (pay content). Brief excerpt: If September’s outlook holds true, Q3 sales will decline 1.8% year-over-year. However, deliveries in October-December, goosed by two additional selling days vs. the year-ago period, are forecast to rise 7.4% from like-2023, leaving volume for entire-2024 at 15.9 million, up from 2023’s 15.5 million. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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The Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: The Evolution of Berman Capital Advisors

Wealth Management

Justin Berman details the thinking behind his move from Goldman Sachs to independence in 2010, followed by the merger with Cresset Asset Management.

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NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 0.6% in August; Down 3.0% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Edged Up 0.6% in August Pending home sales in August rose 0.6% , according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Midwest, South and West posted monthly gains in transactions, while the Northeast recorded a loss. Year-over-year, the West registered growth, but the Northeast, Midwest and South declined. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – increased to 70.6 in August.

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Reimagining Cash Flow Generation with Covered Calls

Wealth Management

Investors are stepping up the use of covered call strategies even as stocks repeatedly hit new highs.

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Wall Street Has Proven That Trust Can Be Rebuilt

Advisor Perspectives

America’s financial industry has long had trust issues. Never mind the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-08; mistrust of the markets dates back to at least 1929, if not the Dutch East India collapse of 1769. But this history has an upside: Financial institutions have a lot of experience creating systems to build, maintain and restore trust — and have learned lessons that can be applied across the economy.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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$18B Homrich Berg to Sell Minority Stake to TPG

Wealth Management

The deal with private equity firm TPG would value the RIA integrator at around $1 billion, according to a Reuters report.

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Friday: Personal Income & Outlays

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday: • At 8:30 AM ET Personal Income and Outlays, August 2024. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in personal income, and for a 0.3% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.2%. • At 10:00 AM, University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (Final for September).

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US Billionaires Still Love the Premier League

Wealth Management

Dan Friedkin’s takeover of Everton shows there’s still appetite for English football clubs.

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Q2 GDP Growth Unrevised at 3.0% Annual Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product (Third Estimate), Corporate Profits (Revised Estimate), and GDP by Industry, Second Quarter 2024 and Annual Update Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2024 , according to the "third" estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.6 percent (revised).

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Deconstructing Covered Call Funds & The Fires in Ecuador

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

A few things today starting with wildfires in Ecuador. Ecuador has been a favorite retirement destination for American expats for quite a while. We've written about Ecuador in this context several times and followed up in the last couple of years as political and social volatility has escalated. It seems to have mostly impacted Quito while it has primarily been Cuenca that has been the expat destination.

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Humana’s Bullish Outlook: Medicare Supplement’s Role in a Balanced Healthcare Portfolio

NAIFA Advisor Today

Discover Humana's optimistic stance on Medicare Supplement plans and their strategic approach to support agents and brokers for a successful Annual Election Period (AEP) in 2024.

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Unemployment Claims Down 4K, Better Than Estimates Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending September 21st, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 218,000. This represents a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week's figure and is better than the 224,000 economists were expecting.

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