Thu.Oct 24, 2024

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3%: Great Depression, GFC, 1970s & 2020s?

The Big Picture

What do the Great Depression, the Great Financial Crisis, the Stagflationary 1970s, and the upcoming 10-years have in common? If you are a strategist at Goldman Sachs , then a lot. At least if you do forecasts for market returns over the next decade (lol), you may see incredible similarities. ICYMI: David Kostin and his team of strategists see a 72% chance the S&P 500 underperforms Treasuries, and a 33% possibility equities return less than inflation.

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Thursday links: the worst investment strategy

Abnormal Returns

Markets Degeneracy has become a fixture of the current environment. (howardlindzon.com) The stock market's biggest winners started out as small caps. (freedomdaysolutions.com) Strategy How often do outlier 10-year forecasts turn out? (ritholtz.com) Why optimism makes sense over the long run. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Cash was never meant to be a long-term investment.

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5 Financial Considerations for Americans Thinking About Retiring Abroad

Carson Wealth

Retiring abroad can be a dream come true for many Americans, offering the opportunity to explore new cultures, enjoy different climates, and potentially stretch retirement savings. But moving to a new country involves significant financial planning. If you’re considering making the leap, there are key financial considerations you need to weigh before you make this major life change.

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Am I a Permabull?

A Wealth of Common Sense

We also answered questions about how to write engaging content, defining your audience when writing, how to balance stories vs. numbers in a presentation and more. Further Reading: 50 Ways the World is Getting Better 1The other choices were What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars and The Money Game. The post Am I a Permabull? appeared first on A Wealth of Common Sense.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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New Home Sales Increase to 738,000 Annual Rate in September

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 738 thousand. The previous three months were revised down. Sales of new single-family houses in September 2024 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 738,000 , according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

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New Home Sales Increase to 738,000 Annual Rate in September; Median New Home Price is Down 7% from the Peak due to Change in Mix

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales Increase to 738,000 Annual Rate in September Brief excerpt: The Census Bureau reported New Home Sales in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 738 thousand. The previous three months were revised down. The next graph shows new home sales for 2023 and 2024 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

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Lovell Minnick Takes Majority Stake in Dynasty Firm Americana Partners

Wealth Management

Americana’s leadership and employees will still be significant owners after the deal, while CEO Jason Fertitta and the rest of the leadership team will continue to run the firm.

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The World Bank Somehow Lost Track of at Least $24 Billion

Advisor Perspectives

Imagine if humanity decides it doesn’t have enough amusement parks. All the world’s nations announce they will be financing new ones across the planet. Bankers stand next to models of future parks and hand comically large loan checks to the developers. It’s not nearly enough to end the global amusement-park crisis, but they still win accolades and shareholder approval for doing their part.

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The AI Use-Case for Advisors

Wealth Management

Artificial intelligence can help streamline routine tasks and free up time for more client-focused activities, enhancing efficiency without sacrificing quality.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Is NIFTY 50 heading towards 22000? Reasons for the crash explained

Trade Brains

The Nifty 50 has seen a significant drop over the past three weeks, falling from its peak of 26,277 to around 24,400. This decline has stirred concern among investors and analysts, leaving many to wonder what caused such a sharp fall. Several global and domestic factors have contributed to this downturn, including geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes, market valuations, and economic concerns.

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DeVoe: Declining Interest Rates Will Spur More RIA M&A

Wealth Management

As the cost of capital comes down, the most active players in the RIA M&A space will invest more aggressively, according to the latest DeVoe & Company RIA Deal Book.

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Unemployment Claims Down 15K, Better Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending October 19th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 227,000. This represents a decrease of 15,000 from the previous week's figure and is better than forecasts for 243,000.

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Q&A: What’s Next in Sports Investment

Wealth Management

Brendan McCurdy, managing director of Ares’ financial advisor solutions team, discusses the trend of investing in sports franchises.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Unlocking the Power of Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)

MainStreet Financial Planning

In today’s world of rising healthcare costs, it’s essential to find smart financial tools that can help manage expenses while also supporting long-term goals. One powerful but often overlooked tool is the Health Savings Account (HSA). Whether you’re new to HSAs or looking to optimize your existing one, this guide will break down everything you need to know about these tax-advantaged accounts.

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Merchant-Backed Apollon Adds $900M CIC Wealth

Wealth Management

The deal expands Apollon's presence in Washington, D.C., while giving CIC a more attractive platform for potential recruits.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 227,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending October 19, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 227,000 , a decrease of 15,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 241,000 to 242,000. The 4-week moving average was 238,500, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised average.

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Modern Wealth Acquires $1.4B RIA in Idaho

Wealth Management

Petso Financial Consultants represents Modern Wealth's first office West of Kansas City, bringing the its total AUM to over $6 billion.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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As Interest Rates Fall, New Stock Opportunities Arise

Advisor Perspectives

The start of a rate-cutting cycle has opened up new questions ― and possibilities ― for stock investors. Tony DeSpirito, Global CIO of BlackRock Fundamental Equities, outlines key areas to watch as the Fed takes action to “recalibrate” interest rates.

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Building a dynamic retirement solution

Wealth Management

Discover how Protective Aspirations variable annuity can be strategically utilized for long-term financial confidence through features such as SecurePay Reserve.

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Hundreds of ESG Funds Are Being Wound Down, Morningstar Says

Advisor Perspectives

Asset managers in Europe and the US have spent 2024 winding down hundreds of ESG funds, as the investment strategy continues to bump up against regulatory headwinds.

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LPL Snags $800M Cincinnati Team From Osaic

Wealth Management

Dougherty, Tedesco & Associates joined Osaic via the firm’s acquisition of Lincoln Financial’s wealth business, which closed in May.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Semiconductor stock falls 10% despite net profit increases of 256% YoY in Q2

Trade Brains

One of the EMS stocks engaged in the manufacturing of consumer electronics, lighting, home appliances, closed-circuit television cameras (CCTVs), and mobile phones. The stock jumped at 6.21% in the opening bell of the Indian stock market after reporting a revenue rise of 133.33% YOY and a net profit rise of 264.40% YOY. Share Price Movement With a market capitalization of Rs. 81,779.57 crores, the shares of Dixon Technologies (India) Limited were opened at Rs. 15,999.95 per equity share, rising

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The Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: How to Get 'Unstuck' with Erin Rocchio

Wealth Management

Evolution Managing Partner and coach Erin Rocchio shares strategies for advisors to break free of the "what if" inertia.

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Friday: Consumer Sentiment

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 10:00 AM ET, University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (Final for October). The consensus is for a reading of 69.0.

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Investing in Diversity: Doing Well and Doing Good

Wealth Management

(Sponsored Content) Learn why choosing a firm that champions diversity and inclusion can help make change in the industry while growing your business.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 28.7% YoY

Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For September, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 34.0% YoY, but still down 23.2% compared to the 2017 to 2019 same month levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 28.7% YoY.

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Raymond James Nabs $1.3B Texas Advisor From Merrill Lynch

Wealth Management

Fort Worth, Texas-based Melinda Johnston represents the second $1 billion-plus advisor to leave the wirehouse for Raymond James this week.

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Market Update Q3 2024

Financial Symmetry

Here’s a video of our third quarter 2024 Market Update, where we discuss the following topics: The latest long-term market summary Strong returns for US stocks, international stocks, and real estate S&P 500 performance has been mixed Why a stock … Continued The post Market Update Q3 2024 appeared first on Financial Symmetry, Inc.