Tue.Oct 22, 2024

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Research links: shorting the apocalypse

Abnormal Returns

Trend following Why trend following is unique. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) If you want trend following returns just do trend following. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Research Want small cap exposure? Go microcap. (mailchi.mp) What ideal diversification looks like. (caia.org) AI is becoming table stakes for hedge funds. (alphaarchitect.com) European investors still prefer dividends over buybacks.

Portfolio 291
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3% Stock Market Returns For the Next Decade?

A Wealth of Common Sense

The U.S. stock market has been on fire of late. But it doesn’t feel like we’ve entered the euphoric phase of investor psychology just yet. In fact, many prognosticators have been lowering expectations. Goldman Sachs put out a research piece that posits the S&P 500 could return just 3% annualized over the next 10 years (just 1% after inflation): These are their baseline assumptions and they offer a range o.

Marketing 144
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Tuesday links: stressful tests

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Why we diversify. (awealthofcommonsense.com) On the importance of portfolio rebalancing. (thefinancialbodyguard.com) Pessimists persist because we forget their poor predictions. (whitecoatinvestor.com) Crypto Stablecoins are emerging as the killer use case. (theblock.co) Why the identify of Satoshi matters. (bloomberg.com) The blockchain is coming for real estate.

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#FASuccess Ep 408: Merging Into A Mid-Sized Firm To Grow Something Together (And Have A Real Piece Of It), With Maddi Keegan

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 408th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Maddi Keegan. Maddi is a Financial Advisor and the Director of Operations of Frazier Financial Advisors, an RIA based in Columbus, Ohio that oversees $860M in assets under management for 650 client households. What's unique about Maddi, though, is that after building a successful solo advisory firm, she then decided to merge her business with Frazier Financial Advisors, a mid-

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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We Need to Have a Talk About “Bond Vigilantes”

Discipline Funds

You just have to love the short-term overreactions of Mr. Market. Just two months ago we get a weak employment report and investors are panicked that the Fed is too tight. Then we get a strong employment report in September and investors are panicked that the Fed is too loose. In May the 10 year interest rate was as high as 4.75%. By September it was as low as 3.6%.

More Trending

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Microcap Stocks to Benefit from Indian Nuclear Power Push 

Trade Brains

Right now, a lesser-known investing theme has started to play out following Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Russia. Reports suggest that Russia & India are discussing building 6 nuclear power units in India. Indian companies have been participating in the nuclear power segment ever since the growing support for nuclear as a low-carbon energy source sent uranium prices 3x since the end of 2020.

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11 Investment Must Reads for This Week (Oct. 22, 2024)

Wealth Management

BlackRock’s ETF head told CNBC that 13F filings have revealed that 80% of investors in spot bitcoin ETFs are direct investors and 75% have never previously owned its ETFs. J.P. Morgan Asset Management has split its alternative investment business into two segments, reports FundFire. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors.

Investing 116
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CB Leading Economic Index: Continues to Fall in September

Advisor Perspectives

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) decreased in September to its lowest level since October 2016. The index fell 0.5% from the previous month to 99.7, marking its seventh consecutive monthly decline.

Economics 111
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RIA Edge Podcast: Alternatives at the Core with Dick Pfister

Wealth Management

AlphaCore founder Dick Pfister describes the firm’s investment approach that places alternatives at the core of the service offering.

Investing 115
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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Are You in a Trust Recession?

Advisor Perspectives

In this new economy, your prospect is assessing you, the opposite of the way things should be and used to be. The advisory industry is now officially in a trust recession.

Economy 110
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Raymond James Adds $1B Team From Merrill Lynch

Wealth Management

One of the lead advisors makes the move after a 25-year career at Merrill.

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Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales

Calculated Risk

Every year I track seasonal retail hiring for hints about holiday retail sales. At the bottom of this post is a graph showing the correlation between October seasonal hiring and holiday retail sales. Here is a graph of retail hiring for previous years based on the BLS employment report: Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the historical net retail jobs added for October, November and December by year.

Retail 107
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IRS Releases 2025 Inflation and Other Adjustments

Wealth Management

Revenue Procedure 2024-40 reveals what’s new for the 2025 tax year.

Taxes 111
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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Action-Oriented Leadership Strategies

Advisor Perspectives

I often hear my clients talk about the struggles with the next generation and how hard it is to work with them.

Clients 105
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Thematic Funds Attract Investors. But Are They Worth Their Outsized Fees?

Wealth Management

Morningstar took a look at recent thematic fund performance in the U.S. and globally.

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NAIFA Taps Practice Intel as Key Resource for Members

NAIFA Advisor Today

The National Association of Insurance and Financial Advisors (NAIFA) , which empowers financial professionals and consumers through world-class advocacy, education and differentiation, today announced a strategic partnership with Practice Intel , a data analytics and performance improvement platform to help advisory firms improve the quality of advice they deliver to their clients and drive organic growth in the process.

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Building a Future-Proof Wealth Management Firm | Elevating Your Firm’s Services with Alternatives

Wealth Management

Wednesday, November 13, 2024 | 2:00 PM ET

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Ambuja vs Ultratech; who will win the race?

Trade Brains

The ever-changing dynamics of the cement industry are related to Infrastructure spending which is capex driven by the government. This has led to an increase in capacities and acquiring companies to utilize the synergy which is expected. In this article, we will look at Ambuja Cements vs Ultratech Cements which are trying to increase their market share through acquisitions and capex.

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Goal accelerants: Relationships

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Antoinette Tuscano, MDRT senior content specialist The people in our lives, and the quality of those connections, matters. For instance, there are important relationships in your life that can assist with achieving your goals. And if you’re looking to accelerate the success of your critical goals, then put a relationship action plan (RAP) around that goal, said U.S. author and entrepreneur Keith Ferrazzi, in his 2023 MDRT EDGE presentation.

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NBFC stock jumps over 5.8% after company’s net profit increases by 13% YoY

Trade Brains

One of India’s leading non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), known for its robust retail lending, consumer finance, and digital-first approach, witnessed a sharp surge of over 5.8% in its stock price following the announcement of its stellar second-quarter results for the financial year 2025. The company, which specialises in consumer durables financing, personal loans, and SME lending, has maintained its strong market position with a significant increase in assets under management and

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Building a $1 Million, 100-Days-Off Practice With a Proven 7-Step Framework

Advisor Perspectives

I have developed a seven-step framework that has been used countless times to assist advisors looking to build a $1 million, 100-days-off practice, as well as help leaders of seven-figure firms scale their success to new heights.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, Architecture Billings Index, Beige Book

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 10:00 AM, Existing Home Sales for September from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 3.89 million SAAR, up from 3.86 million in August. • At During the day, The AIA/Deltek's Architecture Billings Index for September (a leading indicator for com

Sales 59
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Year-end Tax Planning Webinar

Tobias Financial

Join us on Thursday, November 14th at 12:30 PM Eastern for our Year-end Tax Planning Webinar. When : Thursday, November 14th at 12:30 PM Eastern Registration : Click here to register. Cost : Complimentary After registering, you will receive a confirmation email with instructions for joining the webinar. We look forward to your attendance.

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California Home Sales Up 5% SA YoY in September

Calculated Risk

Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: California Home Sales Up 5% SA YoY in September Excerpt: The National Association of Realtors (NAR) is scheduled to release September Existing Home Sales on Wednesday, October 23rd at 10 AM ET. The consensus is for 3.89 million SAAR, up from 3.86 million in August. Housing economist Tom Lawler estimates the NAR will report September sales of 3.83 million SAAR.

Sales 59
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Stock in focus after signing PPA with Solar Energy Corporation for Solar Projects 

Trade Brains

One of India’s leading power stock companies engaged in the generation, transmission, and trading of power has signed a Power Purchase Agreement with Solar Energy Corporation of India Limited for 700 MW Solar Power Projects Stock Movement: With a market capitalization of Rs. 1,15,492.54 crore, the shares of JSW Energy Limited were trading at Rs. 660.80 per equity share, down nearly around 1.12 percent from its previous day’s close price of Rs. 669.80.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Not For Profits makes a positive impact on society

Accounting for Good

Not For Profit organisations continue to make a significant difference to a large percentage of Australians.

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Maharatna stock in focus after receiving LOI from Rajasthan REZ for transmission projects

Trade Brains

This Maharatna PSU Company is the largest electric power transmission company in India. The PGCIL was incorporated in 1989 and it was set up to supply high-voltage direct current, extra-high voltage alternating current transmission lines in focus after receiving LOI from Rajasthan REZ. Stock Movement: Power Grid Corporation of India has a market capitalization of Rs. 2,97,665 Crores.

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Unpredictable Alpha

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Nate Geraci of the ETF Store is fond of saying "no one knows nothing" usually in the context of talking about Bitcoin but I think the sentiment also applies to the sentiment around long bonds. Here's a chart from Bespoke Investment Group. There was a pretty wide consensus from long before the FOMC actually made that first rate cut that investors should lock into longer bonds before those rates went down and stayed down.