Mon.Oct 30, 2023

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Monday links: asset allocation magic

Abnormal Returns

Strategy There's nothing magic about asset allocation. (obliviousinvestor.com) Do stocks really become less risky over the long run? (morningstar.com) Companies Google ($GOOGL) is investing $2 billion in AI player Anthropic. (axios.com) Pharmaceutical companies are getting out to the consumer product business. (wsj.com) Fidelity has further marked down the value of their stake in Twitter.

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Bubble Risk in City Property Markets?

The Big Picture

Buoyed by low interest rates for the last decade, many property markets have seen substantial price growth since 2010. Experts warned that real estate bubbles—in which the price of assets moved up far beyond their intrinsic value—were forming. The UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index analyzes the real estate market of 25 major cities across the globe and assigns them a score between -0.5 to 2.0 to convey bubble risk.

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Adviser links: demonstrating confidence

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Brendan Frazier talks with Jake Northrup of Experience Your Wealth about how he infuses the human side to help clients live their ideal life. (wiredplanning.com) Thomas Kopelman talks donor advised funds with Adam Nash of Daffy. (podcasts.apple.com) Michael Kitces talks with Sarah-Catherine Gutierrez, founder of Aptus Financial, about operating as a flat-fee advice-only firm.

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The 10 Best Financial Advisor Conferences To Attend In 2024

Nerd's Eye View

After several years of turmoil caused by the pandemic, financial advisor conferences seem to have found a "new [post-pandemic] normal", with events once again growing (some already surpassing their pre-pandemic highs). But that's not to say that the conference landscape was not altered by the pandemic; instead, the pandemic appears to have served as a catalyst that accelerated trends that were already underway, such that financial advisor conferences today look substantively different than they

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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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Presentation: Navigating Financial Disasters

The Big Picture

As promised, here is my presentation “ Navigating Financial Disasters ” from today at the Orlando Money Show… The post Presentation: Navigating Financial Disasters appeared first on The Big Picture.

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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My what am I doing in Orlando morning plane reads: • It’s Time to Stop Crying About Bonds and Buy Them Instead : Treasuries have had one of their worst three-year stretches on record. Why it can’t get much worse. ( Barron’s ) • Is E.S.G. Falling Out of Favor? Chevron’s $53 billion bid for Hess may drive consolidation in the oil patch. Meanwhile, investors are pulling back from climate-focused investment products. ( New York Times ) see also Why the Right’s Bud Light Boycott Worked :

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Housing October 30th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.5% Week-over-week; Down 2.7% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.5% week-over-week. Click on graph for larger image. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of October 27th, inventory was at 563 thousand (7-day average), compared to 554 thousand the prior week. Year-to-date, inventory is up 14.6%. And inventory is up 38.5% from the seasonal bottom 28 weeks ago.

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The Ideal 401(k) Investment Menu

Wealth Management

A look at investment options for 401(k) plans beyond TDFs.

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Value versus Values in ESG Investing

Alpha Architect

The relationship between financial markets and ESG investing is obscured by the lack of clarity regarding motivations for investing in ESG strategies. Is the motive to align the investor’s values with the ESG theme? Or is the ESG term a misnomer for a set of stocks that are systematically undervalued, for some reason as a function of its ESG characteristics?

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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10 Must Reads for Real Estate Investors (Oct. 30, 2023)

Wealth Management

The White House unveiled a new plan aimed at incentivizing office-to-residential conversions. Caution has crept into the industrial market, where some big users of space are holding off on additional commitments, reports Bisnow. These are among the must reads from the real estate investment world to start the new week.

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Weekly Market Insights – October 30, 2023

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

Weekly Market Insights: Stocks Retreat On Cautious Earnings Reports Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Amid a busy week of corporate earnings reports, stocks slumped on cautious earnings guidance, fears of higher interest rates, and growing anxiety over the increasing amount of Treasury bonds and notes coming to market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.88%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 declined 3.29%.

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Q&A: Allworth’s Scott Hanson on New Leadership and the Next Chapter

Wealth Management

Allworth’s outgoing CEO Scott Hanson discusses the future of the firm, the custodial landscape and why it was important to find a CEO who was not only well-liked, but who had experience creating value.

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MISTAKE MONDAY for October 30: Can YOU spot what’s wrong?

Investment Writing

Can you spot what’s wrong in the image below? Please post your answer as a comment. Oops, someone didn’t proofread this survey carefully. I post these challenges to raise awareness of the importance of proofreading. The post MISTAKE MONDAY for October 30: Can YOU spot what’s wrong? appeared first on Susan Weiner Investment Writing.

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Profit in the Details: Rethinking Spend for Monumental Impact

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Why Invest In Farmland?

Wealth Management

A turnover in ownership for a huge percentage of America’s farmland appears imminent.

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How Student Loan Forgiveness Affects Your Finances

Advisor Perspectives

While getting your loans wiped out in one fell swoop can seem like a lifesaver, it may come with some negative financial implications. I cover what you need to know.

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Market Commentary: How Bad Is It?

Carson Wealth

Stocks fell again last week, even as yields paused and overall earnings were solid. As of Thursday, the S&P 500 is down nearly 10% from its late-July peak. A decline of 10% or more would be classified as a correction. It’s important to know that 10% corrections occur most years. Since 1980, 22 out of 42 years saw at least one double-digit, peak-to-trough correction, with 12 of those years ending higher and gaining an average of 17.0%.

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How to Deal with a Jerk

Advisor Perspectives

The world is a cold, hard, mean place and you are going to suffer if you allow bullying comments from a tough prospect to derail you.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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New SEC Requirement for Investment Advisers: Documenting Annual Compliance Program Reviews

XY Planning Network

With the overwhelming amount of rulemaking taking place at the SEC, the operational impact of maintaining compliance, when taking into account the totality of the rules recently finalized and currently being proposed, is sure to be significant for most investment advisers going forward. Regardless of whether you are state-registered or registered with the SEC, it is a good practice to understand what the SEC is focused on and what is going on with new (and proposed) regulations.

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Income-Based Repayment Plans for Student Loans

Advisor Perspectives

Many entry-level jobs, especially those in education and social services, do not pay well enough for recent graduates to balance their student loan payments with rent and other expenses. This is where income-based repayment plans for student loans come in.

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Internal audit wastes so much time on policies, documentation, and more!

Norman Marks

For years now, I have been preaching (sorry) about the need for internal auditors to cut out any activity that doesn’t create value for its customers in management and on the board. This is an essential element in the great discipline, originally used in manufacturing by Toyota, called Lean.

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Social Security Strategies to Discuss with a Financial Professional

Integrity Financial Planning

Everyone’s financial situation is different. Loan status, job situation, and the age of your kids all significantly impact your financial situation as you approach retirement. When it comes to Social Security there are a lot of different factors to consider, and the right path forward may not be apparent to you. Just because someone else made a similar financial move that worked doesn’t mean it will work for you.

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Crafting Impact: Revenue Growth And Efficiency For Finance Professionals

Speaker: Ashley Harlan, MBA

What if your role as a fractional CFO went beyond operational support to actively shaping the future of your clients’ businesses? 💼 ✨ In this session, discover how fractional finance professionals can position themselves as architects of growth, guiding their clients toward sustainable success and preparing them for full-time financial leadership.

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Honasa Consumer IPO Review – GMP, Price, Details & More

Trade Brains

Honasa Consumer IPO Review : The much awaited IPO is set to hit the markets. Honasa Consumer which owns the flagship brand- Mamaearth, is coming up with the IPO which is set to be listed on the NSE and BSE. The IPO will be open for subscription on 31st October 2023 and closes on 2nd November 2023. In this Honasa Consumer IPO review, which owns the brand- Mamaearth, we look at their scale of operations, GMP, strengths, weaknesses & more.

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How to prepare for a meeting with your Financial Advisor

WiserAdvisor

What do you do before you visit a doctor? Understand your condition, prepare for all the questions that the doctor would ask, ensure all your test reports and medical history documents are in order and so on. Preparation is a must even before you visit a financial advisor. 7 Things to do to prepare for your first financial advisor meeting List your assets and liabilities Outline your income and expenses Write down your goals Consider the needs of your family Understand your financial strengths

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Annuity Income Riders: To Win, You Must Lose

Advisor Perspectives

I analyze the math of annuity income riders and how you pay the insurance company to draw down your own assets. It is highly unlikely the insurers will pay a dime, which makes those riders questionable.

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Goldman: 2024 Inflation Outlook

Calculated Risk

A few excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economists Spencer Hill and Manuel Abecasis: 2024 Inflation Outlook: Approaching the Target "We are lowering our December 2024 core CPI forecast by two tenths to 2.7% year-on-year, and we continue to expect a significant decline in core PCE inflation from 3.7% currently to 2.4% in December 2024. We expect the backdrop of falling but above-target inflation to validate the Fed’s decision to hold the fed funds rate at its current level until 2024Q4.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Talk Your Book: Investing in Luxury

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by KraneShares: Today we are joined by Brendan Ahern, CIO of Kraneshares to discuss their new Global Luxury Index ETF $KLXY On today’s show, we discuss: The creation of the Luxury ETF Luxury spending dynamics and recessions Getting exposure to China through European companies Demographic trends and the wealth effect Utilizing thematics in a portfolio Finding a better.

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Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI, Housing Vacancies and Homeownership

Calculated Risk

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgages Rates Just Barely Higher. Bigger Moves Are Likely Ahead Mortgage rates barely budged today. The average lender was just a hair higher compared to Friday's top tier conventional 30yr fixed rate offerings. The biggest risk (or opportunity) involves a cohesive message across multiple economic reports and events.

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Morgan Stanley Gives All 3 CEO Contenders $20M Special Bonuses

Wealth Management

Morgan Stanley announced last week that Ted Pick will succeed James Gorman as CEO.

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