Fri.Sep 27, 2024

article thumbnail

Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%

Calculated Risk

From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, our 3Q GDP tracking estimate is down two-tenths to 2.3% q/q saar while 2Q GDP came in at 3.0% q/q saar in the final official estimate. [Sept 27th estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: The details of yesterday’s durable goods report and this morning’s Advance Economic Indicators report were stronger than our previous GDP tracking assumptions, while the details of the PCE report were slightly softer.

Economics 296
article thumbnail

MiB: Kyla Scanlon on Vibecessions & Gen Z

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Kyla Scanlon , creator, host of YouTube’s,“Let’s Appreciate” podcast , writer of daily short-form videos about economy + markets. She has been published at Bloomberg, New York Magazine, FT, and the NYT. Her new book “ In This Economy?: How Money & Markets Really Work ” just came out this Summer. We discuss how she came up with the idea of a “ Vibecession ” and how it became a popular New York Times guest essay.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

ICE: "Home prices continued to cool in August, with prices up +3.0%" YoY

Calculated Risk

Note: This is a repeat sales index (like Case-Shiller and FHFA). ICE is releasing this index early this month. Several cities in Florida are now seeing year-over-year price declines (as inventory surges). From ICE: • Home prices continued to cool in August, with prices up +3.0% from the same time last year according to the ICE Home Price Index, marking the slowest rate of home price growth in over a year • On an adjusted basis prices rose by +0.12% in the month – the slowest adjusted monthly gro

Sales 284
article thumbnail

Friday links: trading temptations

Abnormal Returns

Markets Most stocks are working right now. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Some investments are an IQ test. (downtownjoshbrown.com) It's easy to get distracted these days as an investor. (youngmoney.co) Finance ETF assets in the U.S. just hit $10 trillion. (finance.yahoo.com) A Q&A with Vlad Tenev, CEO of Robinhood ($HOOD). (fastcompany.com) OpenAI Why is everybody seemingly leaving OpenAI?

article thumbnail

Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

article thumbnail

RIA Roundup: Dynasty Names Tim Oden Chief Growth Officer

Wealth Management

In other RIA news, Merchant stakes an investment banking firm, Focus partner firm Transform Wealth buys fellow Denver business Custom Portfolio Group, and Cetera's employee RIA acquires an Austin-based practice with $185 million in assets.

Banking 268
article thumbnail

Podcast links: the century of oil

Abnormal Returns

Economy Barry Ritholtz talks with Kyla Scanlon author of "In This Economy? How Money and Markets Really Work." (ritholtz.com) Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk industrial policy with Vivek Chibber, a professor at NYU. (podcasts.apple.com) Ted Seides Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks with Ted Seides author of "Private Equity Deals: Lessons in Investing, Dealmaking, and Operations from Private Equity Professionals.

Economy 275

More Trending

article thumbnail

Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (September 28–September 29)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent study by Cerulli has shown a sharp increase in the number of affluent investors willing to pay for advice, which on the one hand reflects the increasing financial complexity in peoples' lives (while they've also gotten busier than ever at work and at home) to the extent that they're more willing to work with someone to navigate those financial challenges; while al

article thumbnail

How to Protect Kids’ Identities from Being Stolen

Wealth Management

Educate them now about finances and typical identity theft fraud schemes.

Education 258
article thumbnail

PCE Measure of Shelter Increases to 5.3% YoY in August

Calculated Risk

Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through August 2024. CPI Shelter was up 5.2% year-over-year in August, up from 5.0 in July, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in March 2023. Housing (PCE) was up 5.3% YoY in August , up from 5.2% in July, and down from the cycle peak of 8.3% in April 2023.

217
217
article thumbnail

A Supportive Culture for Diverse Advisors

Wealth Management

(Sponsored Content) At Wells Fargo Advisors, we believe supporting diverse advisors starts with a culture of actively engaging with them throughout their journeys.

245
245
article thumbnail

Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

article thumbnail

Personal Income increased 0.2% in August; Spending increased 0.2%

Calculated Risk

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for August: Personal income increased $50.5 billion (0.2 percent at a monthly rate) in August , according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI), personal income less personal current taxes, increased $34.2 billion (0.2 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $47.2 billion (0.2 percent).

Food 182
article thumbnail

$2B New York Team Joins Wells Fargo From J.P. Morgan

Wealth Management

The Canell Group includes the sibling advisory duo Jay and Neil Canell. They’re joining Wells Fargo’s Private Client Group along with four advisors and support staff.

Clients 236
article thumbnail

Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Ticked Up in August

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Ticked Up in August Brief excerpt: Single-family serious delinquencies increased slightly in August, and multi-family serious delinquencies decreased slightly. Freddie Mac reports that the multi-family delinquencies rate decreased to 0.38% in August, down from 0.39% in July, and down from the recent peak of 0.44% in January.

147
147
article thumbnail

Citi, Apollo Join Forces in $25 Billion Private Credit Push

Wealth Management

The two Wall Street heavyweights have struck an exclusive partnership to arrange financings for corporate and private equity clients.

Clients 235
article thumbnail

Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

article thumbnail

An Epic Bull Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

The bull market of the 1980s and 1990s is the stuff dreams are made of.1 The S&P 500 was up nearly 18% per year over the course of those two decades.2 It’s one of the great bull markets in history. But if we want to get picky, the bull market didn’t truly start until 1982. There were back-to-back recessions in 1980 and 1981-82. You had a 17% correction in 1980 along with a near-30% bear market that bottome.

Marketing 141
article thumbnail

Wealth Management Industry Awards: On the Red Carpet with John Mackowiak

Wealth Management

Listen as John Mackowiak, Chief Revenue Officer at Advyzon, as he unveils the challenges of traditional fragmented technology stacks and highlights how his firm’s proprietary tools drive unprecedented efficiency for users.

article thumbnail

Can Skewness Identify Future Outperforming Mutual Funds

Alpha Architect

While the skewness metric did demonstrate that it could select funds with managers skilled a security selection, the fund’s expenses and implementation meant that the fund was just about able to cover its expenses, and that was before the negative impact of active management on after-tax returns—and the finding was not statistically significant at even the 10% level of confidence.

Taxes 110
article thumbnail

Building Recruiting Momentum at Wells Fargo Advisors

Wealth Management

Discover the benefits of joining Wells Fargo Advisors. Enhanced resources, localized support, and a full balance sheet await.

article thumbnail

Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

article thumbnail

The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income Up 0.1% in August

Advisor Perspectives

Personal income ( excluding transfer receipts ) rose 0.23% in August and is up 5.4% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.14% month-over-month and up 3.1% year-over-year.

105
105
article thumbnail

Wealth Management Industry Awards: On the Red Carpet with Martin Tarlie

Wealth Management

Listen as Martin Tarlie, Product Lead at Nebo Wealth, as he shares his vision for the future of investing.

article thumbnail

Five Twin Momentum Technology Stocks

Validea

In today’s rapidly changing technology sector, identifying stocks with strong growth potential can be challenging. Validea’s Twin Momentum strategy offers a unique approach to identifying stocks that are not only performing well, but are also backing that performance up with their fundamentals. Let’s explore this strategy and five tech stocks that are currently passing its rigorous criteria.

article thumbnail

Wealth Management Industry Awards: On the Red Carpet with Brian McLaughlin

Wealth Management

Listen as, Brian McLaughlin, President of Orion Advisor Technology, as he explores the innovative tech solutions that empower financial advisors to thrive in today's fast-paced market.

article thumbnail

Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

article thumbnail

OpenAI Is Just Like the Rest of Silicon Valley After All

Advisor Perspectives

That is much clearer and far more accurate. On Wednesday, Reuters first reported that the company is set to announce a restructuring under which its nonprofit board will lose control over the company’s core business.

article thumbnail

Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern – Formation And Trading Ideas

Trade Brains

Understanding the significance of candlestick patterns for technical analysis is crucial since they provide valuable insights into the price movements of securities. We will explore the significance, psychology, and trading approaches associated with the spinning top candlestick pattern among the various available candlestick patterns. Spinning Top candlestick pattern – Definition The spinning top is a candlestick pattern that signals market indecision.

article thumbnail

The Big Four Recession Indicators

Advisor Perspectives

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.

64
article thumbnail

Be Careful Being Too Academic

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The Up & Down Wall Street column in Barron's looked at how Friday's PCE report validated the FOMC's decision to cut by 50 basis points this month. The conversation drifted into a look at value stocks' performance which teed up Cliff Asness to make the case for value. Cliff is obviously bigger than the typical thought leader but there is an element of why say in 100 words what you can say in 1000 words to his writing style.

article thumbnail

Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

article thumbnail

Bonus-Starved Bankers Are Jumping Ship for Private Credit Riches

Advisor Perspectives

At a finance conference in London this summer, four senior investment bankers set about persuading the room that the $1.7-trillion private credit market isn’t a threat to Wall Street. Barely three months later, two of them have jumped ship to seek their fortunes in the upstart asset class.

Assets 64
article thumbnail

How To Make the Most of Your Money When Interest Rates Decrease

Wealthfront

Recently, the Federal Reserve lowered the target range for the federal funds rate. This decision affects most consumer interest rates, so it’s normal to wonder what this change might mean for you. In this post, we’ll explain what interest rate decreases mean for your money and how you can make the most of your savings […] The post How To Make the Most of Your Money When Interest Rates Decrease appeared first on Wealthfront Blog.

article thumbnail

‘Crystal Ball’ Breaks as Traders Fail to Get Rich in New Study

Advisor Perspectives

If investors had known in advance the size of the Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate cut, would they have made big money on stocks and bonds trading on this market-moving intel?

article thumbnail

Can HFCL Grow its defence segment and revenue in the future?

Trade Brains

The Internet has unlocked the potential of the future economy. It has helped to connect people across the world. The connection has been growing further with many people leveraging it with their daily usage. The Internet is connected through optic fibre cables under the ocean which often goes unnoticed. The current digital economy is fueled by optic fibre connections.

article thumbnail

The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g