Sat.Feb 22, 2025

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Saturday links: an unstable world

Abnormal Returns

Autos Ferrari ($RACE) is Europe's most valuable automaker. (wsj.com) 2025 should see autonomous vehicle operations scale widely. (platformaeronaut.com) Rising prices might push buyers from trucks to cars. (axios.com) Congestion pricing The global experience with congestion pricing is generally positive. (econofact.org) Congestion pricing in New York City is working.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Mortgage Delinquencies Increase, Foreclosures Remain Low

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: Click on graph for larger image. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.08 million SAAR in January Housing Starts Decreased to 1.366 million Annual Rate in January The "Neutral" Rate and Implications for 30-year Mortgage Rates California Home Sales Down 1.9% YoY in January; 4th Look at Local Housing Markets Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in January This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth an

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Colombia Tolima Los Brasiles Peaberry Organic coffee, grab a seat by the fire, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: Trust in a Black Hat World : Investors and Advisors, on the state of markets, and the state of ETFs: You are on your own. There are few left to trust. ( Echo Beach ) Why Japan Succeeds Despite Stagnation : For more than three decades, Japan has endured near-complete economic stagnation.

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Schedule for Week of February 23, 2025

Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are January New Home sales, the second estimate of Q4 GDP, Personal Income and Outlays for January, and Case-Shiller house prices. For manufacturing, the February Dallas, Kansas City, and Richmond Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. -- Monday, February 24th -- 8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National Activity Index for January.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Investors Made These Costly Mistakes in 2024 – Here is How You Can Avoid Them | Larry Swedroe

Validea

In this episode, Larry Swedroe shares nine critical lessons that the markets taught investors in 2024. Drawing from decades of experience, Larry explains why market forecasts consistently fail, why valuations can’t be used for market timing, and how seemingly obvious economic events often lead to surprising market outcomes. Larry dives deep into the concept of “self-healing mechanisms” in markets, explaining how periods of poor performance often set the stage for strong future

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Are Models A Solution In Search Of A Problem?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Today's post is a continuation from a couple of weeks ago when we looked at model portfolios and talked about differentiation. I found model portfolios from WisdomTree via a Tweet and models from Fidelity via a Bloomberg article. WisdomTree has a lot of models, this is just one that leans very growthy. Fidelity's model included a couple of very new funds so I tweaked it a little keeping the same type of exposure like large cap but the changes allow for a longer backtest.

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TikTok Owner ByteDance Is Tech Darling Again With $400 Billion-Plus Valuation

Advisor Perspectives

At least three of Bytedance Ltd.’s major investors have marked up the TikTok-owner’s valuation to more than $400 billion, a sharp rebound for a Chinese social video leader that has been threatened with a US shutdown.

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Three Things – State of the Markets

Discipline Funds

Here are some things I think I am thinking about. 1) The WalMart Warning. Markets fell over -1.5% on Friday as global PMIs disappointed on the downside and WalMart warned about their earnings for the year. How worrisome is this? I think Chris Williams of S&P summed it up best when he said: The upbeat mood seen among US businesses at the start of the year has evaporated, replaced with a darkening picture of heightened uncertainty, stalling business activity and rising prices.

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In Sickness and in Wealth: A Closer Look at Executive Pay in Healthcare

Advisor Perspectives

Our research suggests that healthcare firms with sound pay practices may yield healthier returns.

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Is the Endowment Model Dead?

Advisor Perspectives

For two years in a row now, the smallest endowments have significantly outperformed their much larger peers. This is causing some to question if the typical endowment model is still working.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Banks Pull Debt Deals as Investors Push Back on Aggressive Terms

Advisor Perspectives

Banks have pulled a handful of US leveraged loans from the market this month, as investors are pushing back on aggressive pricing and credits with less favorable ratings, even though demand is outweighing the overall supply of deals.

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Of Stocks and Bonds

Advisor Perspectives

Long maturity treasuries can provide downside protection to offset equity risk, in our view.

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Robinhood’s Crypto-Powered Rally Takes a Breather as Analysts Say Gains Priced In

Advisor Perspectives

Robinhood Markets Inc. shares are heading for their worst week since August as they pull back from the crypto-fueled surge that followed the election of President Donald Trump.

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Trump Media’s Finance Pivot Now Includes an Investment Fund

Advisor Perspectives

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is creating a new fund to invest in “America First” companies, a move that could further co-mingle the business and policy interests of President Donald Trump.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?