Abnormal Returns
APRIL 28, 2024
Top clicks this week You likely don't need a long-term bond fund. (wsj.com) Allan Sloan, "Don’t fall in love with your money fund." (barrons.com) Good luck trying to dial risk up and down at the right times. (collabfund.com) At what age do we say people are 'old'? (scienceblog.com) What are to make of the big, and persistent, valuation disparities between large and small caps.
The Big Picture
APRIL 28, 2024
In the northeast, Spring has fully sprung. Temps are expected to kiss 80 today, and after a mild winter, we have been enjoying abundant sunshine. The daffodils and tulips are up, the magnolias are blooming, and the pear and cherry trees are explosions of colors! All of that blue sky beckons us to hop in a roadster to enjoy the open road. My first high HP car was a BMW convertible, but the open-top car that set the standard was the 507.
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Abnormal Returns
APRIL 28, 2024
Markets Why the stock market usually goes up. (humbledollar.com) How stocks, bonds and cash have performed over the past 30 years. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Average returns hide a lot along the way. (tker.co) Companies A look at Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) stock on the eve of its first shareholder meeting without Charlie Munger. (barrons.com) The cloud computing business is so big that small shifts in market share matter a lot.
A Wealth of Common Sense
APRIL 28, 2024
A colleague recently asked me to run the 30 year annual returns for U.S. stocks, bonds and cash. He just wanted the returns. I couldn’t help but slice and dice the numbers and overanalyze the data because that’s what we do here. Let’s dig in. First the annual return numbers for the S&P 500, 10 year treasuries and 3 month T-bills over the 30 years ending in 2023: Some thoughts about these numbers: St.
Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA
Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.
Calculated Risk
APRIL 28, 2024
What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For March, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 23.5% YoY, but still down almost 38% compared to March 2017 to 2019 levels. Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 31.7% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market.
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Random Roger's Retirement Planning
APRIL 28, 2024
Writing for Bloomberg, Allison Schrager suggests that in order to enjoy retirement, we should work a little longer. Ann Tergesen at the Wall Street Journal reports that while most people expect to retire at 65, 62 ends up being more like it. So what the hell are we supposed to do? Summing up Schrager. most people are not financially ready to retire at 65 or even 67, combined with longer lifespans she says, we'd be better off working into our 70's.
The Irrelevant Investor
APRIL 28, 2024
Today’s Talk Your Book is sponsored by SpiderRock Advisors: On today’s show, we spoke with Eric Metz, President and Chief Investment Officer of SpiderRock Advisors to discuss option-overlay strategies for advisors and investors. On today’s show, we discuss: The pending BlackRock acquisition of SpiderRock The SpiderRock origin story Utilizing covered-call strategies in a bull market The most frequent use-ca.
Calculated Risk
APRIL 28, 2024
Weekend: • Schedule for Week of April 28, 2024 Monday: • At 10:30 AM ET, Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for April. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 are up 4 and DOW futures are up 60 (fair value). Oil prices were up over the last week with WTI futures at $83.85 per barrel and Brent at $89.50 per barrel. A year ago, WTI was at $77, and Brent was at $81 - so WTI oil prices are up about 8% year-over-year.
oXYGen Financial
APRIL 28, 2024
Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant
Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.
Advisor Perspectives
APRIL 28, 2024
Free cash flow ETFs VFLO and SFLO can be used to introduce factors to a portfolio. The funds offer exposures to quality, value, and growth.
The Big Picture
APRIL 28, 2024
Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • The Man Who Killed Google Search : When Raghavan joined the company, Yahoo held a 30.4% market share — not far from Google’s 36.9%, and miles ahead of the 15.7% of MSN Search. By May 2012, Yahoo was down to just 13.4% and had shrunk for the previous nine consecutive months, and was being beaten even by the newly-released Bing.
Advisor Perspectives
APRIL 28, 2024
Stubbornly high inflation and solid economic may be conspiring to force the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer.
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