Sun.Oct 29, 2023

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week A big regime shift has happened in the economy and financial markets. (ritholtz.com) The bond market bear market is pretty epic. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Byron Wien's 20 rules for investing and life. (ritholtz.com) Why aren't stocks down more? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Remember the guy who forgot the password for a hard drive with 7,002 Bitcoin on it?

Valuation 302
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How Much is a 3% Mortgage Worth?

A Wealth of Common Sense

There are always going to be winners and losers in the system under which we operate. Some people will always be doing better than you while some people will always be people doing worse than you. Right or wrong, that’s a feature, not a bug. Most of the time it could take years, decades or even generations to separate the winners from the losers in the economy.

Economy 133
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Sunday links: a strong signal

Abnormal Returns

Bonds Traders are buying the dip in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ($TLT) (wsj.com) Be wary shifting too much of your money into bonds. (humbledollar.com) Strategy Calling for a crash will work at some point, but what happens in the meantime? (awealthofcommonsense.com) 11 lessons learned about investing including 'You are not the next Warren Buffett.

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Other Capital Sources Have Stepped in Amid the Small Bank Retreat on Real Estate Lending

Wealth Management

We talked to MSCI’s Jim Costello about where we are in the commercial real estate cycle and who’s been picking up the smaller banks’ business.

Banking 119
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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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Fundamental Analysis of Himadri Speciality Chemical – Stock Analysis

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis of Himadri Speciality Chemical : From a plant or a pencil to a diamond or even the human body, Carbon is found everywhere. It is one of the reason why Carbon is known as the VIP of the Periodic Table. It is the most important element known to humans. The significance of this element cannot be understated, especially considering its major role in our entire ecosystem.

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Blogs On A Plane: Special Bonds Are Blowed Up Edition

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

I wrote most this post on a plane back from Molokai. We went for a short trip, with our psychology being to not want to think we spent too much time in a place where there's less to do than places like Maui. We ended up doing a lot of chilling on the beach, beaches that we mostly had to ourselves. This post looks at several interesting articles in the current Barron's.

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Have a vision, write it down and make it happen

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Matt Pais, MDRT Content Specialist A several years ago, Joe Thomas sat down with a visionary coach. At first the now-11-year MDRT member from Birmingham, Alabama, USA, had been reluctant, thinking the idea was “hokey.” But he gave it a try and has been stunned by the effectiveness of having someone to hold him accountable for the things he wants to hold himself accountable for.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles The last year swapped stasis for chaos (By Benedict Evans) As we look to the future, I believe massive opportunities remain for Netflix. (By Alex Morris, paid) These are strange times. (By Allison Schrager) Early-stage investing is an intrinsically social game (By Byrne Hobart) The gold standard of wealth data for American households (By Nick Maggiulli) Podcasts Mastercard was Mastercard before the internet (With.

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FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected

Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect there will be no change to FOMC policy at this meeting, keeping the target range for the federal funds rate at 5‑1/4 to 5-1/2 percent. On the meeting this week from BofA: " We still do not expect a hike in November, as the Fed is clearly worried about the extent of financial tightening. But today’s robust spending and inflation data keep a December hike on the table, as they are a reminder that the war on inflation has not yet been won." emphasis added And from Goldman Sachs

Banking 72
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Talk Your Book: Investing in Luxury

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by KraneShares: Today we are joined by Brendan Ahern, CIO of Kraneshares to discuss their new Global Luxury Index ETF $KLXY On today’s show, we discuss: The creation of the Luxury ETF Luxury spending dynamics and recessions Getting exposure to China through European companies Demographic trends and the wealth effect Utilizing thematics in a portfolio Finding a better way to i.

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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of October 29, 2023 • FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected Monday: • At 10:30 AM ET, Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for October. This is the last regional Fed survey for October. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 futures are up 10 and DOW futures are up 30 (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $84.46 per barrel and Brent at $89.39 per barrel.

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A One-Page Financial Plan for a New College Graduate

Ron A. Rhodes

I took a stab at putting together a one-page financial plan for a typical college graduate.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.8% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 21 October U.S. hotel performance increased from the previous week and showed improved year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 21 October. 15-21 October 2023 (percentage change from comparable week in 2022): • Occupancy: 69.0% (-0.8%) • Average daily rate (ADR): US$165.32 (+3.8%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$114.04 (+2.9%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy r

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Profit in the Details: Rethinking Spend for Monumental Impact

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g

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Bitcoin Faces Reality Check if ETF Launches Spark ‘Sell-the-News’ Pivot

Advisor Perspectives

Bitcoin has jumped on bets that the first US exchange-traded funds investing directly in the token are set to be approved. The question now is whether an actual green light for the products would spur some profit-taking.

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[cdata[ Stock Advice From My Barber ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ Regularly getting a haircut and carrying on conversations with "trusted" service providers opens doors to interesting conversations and unsolicited advice. When we are familiar with someone, we often share ideas, talk about what's going on in our lives, and bring up our job successes and dilemmas. The other day, my barber, who is very proud of his title as Master Barber, gave me.

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Thoughts from the Digital Fixed-Income Evolution

Advisor Perspectives

The data science wave is here, and bond managers must adapt traditional investment processes to harness new technologies and amplify human talent.

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Standing Out in the Herd of Predators

Inside Information

I just got off of a virtual panel discussion for NAPFA, and in the course of a long conversation, I made a point that seemed to surprise the other panelists. I said that brokers and sales agents are essentially predators, wolves in sheep’s clothing, where the sheep are fiduciary advisors, and the clothing is, well, you know what it is: ‘fee-based’ and ‘best interest’ (instead of fee-only and fiduciary).

Sales 40
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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RiverFront Strategic Income Fund (RIGS)

Advisor Perspectives

VettaFi’s vice chairman Tom Lydon discussed the RiverFront Strategic Income Fund (RIGS)on this week’s “ETF of the Week” podcast with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.

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The Modern Music Business

The Big Picture

You don’t know everything. And if you pretend to know everything, those who know something will dismiss you. Used to be a pro knew every record on the chart, now pros have never even heard of an act that goes #1. Ignore the charts. They’re momentary. Today it’s about longevity, streaming pays out for the life of the copyright. Look at the cume, that’s important, but how many streams this week, slicing and dicing, that, i.e. the chart, has never meant less.

Media 313
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Treasury Rout Lures M&G to Buy More as US Stocks Seen Too Risky

Advisor Perspectives

US stocks carry too much risk and buying Treasuries will pay off, according to M&G Plc as the $402 billion fund house navigates the brutal selloff in global markets.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • A Record of Pure, Predatory Sadism : Officials in Israel screened footage of the Hamas attack for the press: “What we shared with you, you should know it,” one official said. ( The Atlantic ) see also First, Hamas Took Hostages. Then, It Took Over Their Social Media.

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Crafting Impact: Revenue Growth And Efficiency For Finance Professionals

Speaker: Ashley Harlan, MBA

What if your role as a fractional CFO went beyond operational support to actively shaping the future of your clients’ businesses? 💼 ✨ In this session, discover how fractional finance professionals can position themselves as architects of growth, guiding their clients toward sustainable success and preparing them for full-time financial leadership.

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Quarterly Trading Report – Q3 2023: A Cruel Summer for Trading Volumes?

Advisor Perspectives

Credit volumes witnessed some strong highs and lows in the third quarter. Notably, July—a month where trading volumes are generally steady—saw very inconsistent flows over the month. September, meanwhile, followed historical trends with an increase in primary market supply, reflecting higher volumes in the secondary.

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Does The Vanguard Value ETF VTV Practice Value Investing?

Advisor Perspectives

In this video, Chuck Carnevale, Co-Founder of FAST Graphs, a.k.a. Mr. Valuation will discuss the concept of value investing and its importance in the world of investing.

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Consumer Discretionary vs. Staples: What ETFs Can Tell Us

Advisor Perspectives

Despite some signs of slowdown in the economy, the biggest stories in the market still revolve around big tech earnings and artificial intelligence.

Economy 40
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ESG Still Priority Among CFOs

Advisor Perspectives

While environmental, social, and governance criticism remains elevated (and loud) and interest rates are affecting the performance of the related equities and exchange traded funds, ESG-committed investors can find relief on multiple fronts.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.