Fri.May 17, 2024

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Friday links: a wide range of outcomes

Abnormal Returns

Markets Utility stocks are having a moment. (barrons.com) Bonds seem to have bottomed. (allstarcharts.com) Strategy Big round numbers don't matter unless you hold on. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) There are two approaches to investing. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) It's easy to forget the pain of volatility. (wggtb.substack.com) Venture capital Figma shareholders are getting an opportunity to sell stock, post-Adobe deal.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (May 18-19)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent study indicates that while overall social media engagement for financial services companies was down in 2023 compared to the previous year, firms boosted their engagement through posts that were entirely original content (rather than sharing third-party content), spoke to the firm's or advisor's principles (with posts responding to current news topics lagging), an

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Podcast links: reviewing products

Abnormal Returns

Business Logan Bartlett talks with Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI. (podcasts.apple.com) Sam Dogen talks with Emily Luk, Co-Founder and CEO of Plenty. (sites.libsyn.com) Private credit Matt Reustle talks the evolution of private credit with Armen Panossian is the co-CEO of Oaktree. (joincolossus.com) Cameron Passmore and Benjamin Felix talk about whether private credit is all that special.

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MiB: Savita Subramanian, US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, Bank of America

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Savita Subramanian , head of US Equity and Quantitative strategy at Bank of America. She also leads the firm’s environmental, social and governance research. She has been a ranked analyst in the Institutional Investor survey for the last eleven years. Prior to joining the firm in 2001, Subramanian was an analyst at Scudder Kemper Investments in New York and San Francisco.

Banking 167
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Gambler’s Fallacy in the Stock Market

A Wealth of Common Sense

These are the trailing total returns for the U.S. stock market1 over various time frames: Year to date: +11% One year: +30% Five years: +94% Ten years: +223% Fifteen years: +679% Not bad considering we’ve had two bear markets in the past four years. If you put $10,000 into the U.S. stock market five years ago, your money has essentially doubled: Now look at the returns by year: 2019: +31% 2020: +21% 2021: +26% 2022.

Marketing 135

More Trending

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Social Media: The Value of Seeking Alpha’s Recommendations

Alpha Architect

The finding that the recommendations from SA articles resulted in statistically significant risk-adjusted alphas (returns unexplained by conventional academic models using factors such as the market, size, value, momentum, profitability, and quality for equity portfolios) is surprising given that the empirical evidence shows how difficult it is for institutional investors such as mutual funds to show outperformance beyond the randomly expected (as can be seen in the annual SPIVA Scorecards) beca

Media 128
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CB Leading Economic Index: Softer Economic Conditions Ahead

Advisor Perspectives

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) decreased in April to its lowest level since April 2020. The index fell 0.6% from last month to 101.8. Overall, the LEI continues to signal softer economic conditions lay ahead for the U.S. economy.

Economics 127
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Report: Half of Advisors to Recommend Crypto in the Next 12 Months

Wealth Management

The introduction of bitcoin ETFs is fueling increased advisor engagement with digital assets, according to a Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals survey.

Assets 128
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S&P 500 Snapshot: Fourth Consecutive Weekly Gain

Advisor Perspectives

The S&P 500 posted its fourth consecutive weekly gain after notching a new all-time high this week. The index is currently up 11.82% year to date and has recorded a new all-time high 23 times this year.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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"Tell Us What We're Supposed To Do"

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The title of this post was a comment left on a retirement article at Yahoo that generally pointed to our collective desire to retire in our early 60's not matching up with our collective financial reality. If you read a lot about personal finance then this has been ingrained. Average retirement account balances are in the very low six figures even for people who are getting close to what is thought of as "normal" retirement age.

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The Dow Hit 40,000. It Doesn’t Matter

Advisor Perspectives

Huge news from the markets today: The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit 40,000 points for the first time. The number is splashed across financial news sources the world over (including Bloomberg), even though the index closed back below the threshold by the end of trading.

Numbers 105
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TD Bank Sues Raymond James, Ex-Employees for Stealing Clients With $22M in Assets

Wealth Management

TD Bank is suing Raymond James and two former employees, claiming they broke non-solicitation vows when they left TD, attracting $22 million in assets.

Banking 110
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Treasury Yields Snapshot: May 17, 2024

Advisor Perspectives

The yield on the 10-year note ended May 17, 2024 at 4.42%, the 2-year note ended at 4.83%, and the 30-year at 4.56%.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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How Much Should Parents Contribute to College?

Darrow Wealth Management

If parents have the means to pay for all college costs, should they? The answer will be different for every family. There are plenty of reasons for parents to pay for the full cost of college (assuming they have the ability to do so). But there can also be valuable lessons when college students have a little skin in the game. Having your kids contribute in some way to the cost of their education can provide valuable financial lessons and prepare them for the real world.

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China’s Stealth Rally

Advisor Perspectives

In our latest research insight, RBA's Senior Research Analyst, Matthew Poterba, explains the numerous positive developments that help explain China's strong year-to-date outperformance.

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DEI Is Not the Devil

Wealth Management

The power of representation and how my journey led me to financial services.

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RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index

Advisor Perspectives

The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of May 3rd, the index was at 20.263, up 1.737 from the previous week, with 5 of the 6 components in expansion territory.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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IRS Issues Proposed Foreign-Trust Regulations

Wealth Management

The Internal Revenue Service seeks to prevent abusive tax schemes.

Taxes 116
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BlackRock’s Rieder Says Cut, Not Hike, Would Tame US Inflation

Advisor Perspectives

BlackRock Inc.’s Rick Rieder has some advice that bucks conventional wisdom: The best way for the Federal Reserve to temper inflation will be to lower rates, not hold them higher.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 2.1% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 11 May The U.S. hotel industry reported higher performance from the previous week and positive comparisons year over year, according to CoStar’s latest data through 11 May. 5-11 May 2024 (percentage change from comparable week in 2023): • Occupancy: 66.1% (+2.1%) • Average daily rate (ADR): US$162.14 (+4.4%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$107.24 (+6.6%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy ra

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Fundamental Analysis Of Cholamandalam Investment & Finance Company – Future Plans

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis Of Cholamandalam Investment & Finance Company: The Murugappa Group is one of India’s leading business conglomerates. Hailing from South India, the group holds leadership position across Auto Components, Abrasives, Ceramics, power Systems and other major industries. Today we will look at an important Financial Institution from the prestigious house of Murugappa Group.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April & 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April & 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets A brief excerpt: From housing economist Tom Lawler: Based on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports released across the country through today, I project that existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.23 million in April , up 1.0% from March’s preliminary pace and up 0.2%

Sales 62
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Bitcoin ETFs Provide the Gateway to Blockchain Exposure

Advisor Perspectives

ETFs are getting financial advisors more comfortable with putting their money in digital assets. This article, from an investor in early-stage Blockchain ventures, provides advice on why advisors need to invest in bitcoin with the big picture in mind in order to maximize returns and diversification for clients.

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Early Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.9% to 3.6%

Calculated Risk

From BofA: 2Q US GDP tracking is down a tenth from our official forecast of 2.0% q/q saar to 1.9% q/q saar [May 17th estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: We raised our Q2 GDP tracking estimate by 0.2pp to +3.2% (qoq ar) and our domestic final sales estimate by 0.1pp to +2.5%, but we lowered our past-quarter GDP tracking estimate for Q1 by 0.1pp to +1.2% (vs. +1.6% originally reported).

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The Power of Representation

Wealth Management

How my journey led me to financial services.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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How Much Should Parents Contribute to College?

Darrow Wealth Management

If parents have the means to pay for all college costs, should they? The answer will be different for every family. There are plenty of reasons for parents to pay for the full cost of college (assuming they have the ability to do so). But there can also be valuable lessons when college students have a little skin in the game. Having your kids contribute in some way to the cost of their education can provide valuable financial lessons and prepare them for the real world.

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Hot Commodity Silver Outpaces Gold as Buying Gains Momentum

Advisor Perspectives

Gold’s record-setting rally may have captured the headlines this year, but it’s silver that’s running harder and faster as the less glamorous metal benefits from robust financial and industrial demand.

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Investment experience needed to be a good Investor

Truemind Capital

How much experience does it take to truly master the art of investing? 3 years? Not a chance. In the last 3 years, markets have been riding high without even a 10% correction. It’s been more like a joyride than a test of skill. How about 5 years ? We saw a market decline due to Covid in 2020 that threw us all in a loop. Shouldn’t it count?