Fri.Nov 01, 2024

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October Employment Report: 12 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Employment Situation Total nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged in October (+12,000), and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in health care and government. Temporary help services lost jobs. Employment declined in manufacturing due to strike activity.

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Using Trading Volume to Optimize Portfolio Construction and Implementation

Alpha Architect

The authors of the research discussed developed a machine learning model that can accurately predict trading volume for individual stocks. They then demonstrated how this model can be used to construct a portfolio that outperforms a traditional market-cap weighted portfolio. Using Trading Volume to Optimize Portfolio Construction and Implementation was originally published at Alpha Architect.

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Franklin Templeton Hire Doubles Down on Wealth Channel

Wealth Management

The asset manager has appointed a new global COO to support its wealth management alts business.

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Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – Halloween Special – What Scares Us!?

Carson Wealth

This week on Take 5, in the spirit of Halloween, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, discuss market fears in a lighthearted way. They mention potential economic concerns like elevated mortgage rates, energy prices, and the recent strong growth potentially influencing the Fed’s policy.

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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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J.P. Morgan to Pay $150M to Settle Slew of SEC Charges

Wealth Management

In one case, the firm agreed to pay $45 million to settle charges that it didn’t disclose financial conflicts regarding a portfolio management program to clients.

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Employment Report: 12K Jobs Added in October, Well Below Expectations

Advisor Perspectives

The latest employment report showed 12,000 jobs were added in October, virtually unchanged, and well below forecasts of the expected addition of 106,000 new jobs. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%.

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DIY Trend-Following Allocations: November 2024

Alpha Architect

Full exposure to domestic equities. Full exposure to international equities. Full exposure to REITs. No exposure to commodities. Full exposure to intermediate-term bonds. DIY Trend-Following Allocations: November 2024 was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

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$95B Colony Announces First Deal Since Buckingham Merger

Wealth Management

Omaha-based Homan Wealth Advisors will join Colony's Buckingham Strategic Wealth business, as Focus continues its consolidation strategy.

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Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective

Advisor Perspectives

As of October 31, 2024, the 10-year note was 376 basis points above its historic closing low of 0.52% reached on August 4, 2020.

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WealthStack Roundup: Pete Hess Joins PureFacts as President 

Wealth Management

The former Advent CEO will run day-to-day operations at PureFacts and new integrations at Flourish and MaxMyInterest.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Treasury Yields Snapshot: November 1, 2024

Advisor Perspectives

The yield on the 10-year note ended November 1, 2024 at 4.37%, the 2-year note ended at 4.21%, and the 30-year at 4.57%.

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FINRA Orders RBC To Pay $9.7M In Age Discrimination Case

Wealth Management

Cinda Collins alleged her former employer discriminated against her by terminating her after 30+ years because she was nearing retirement.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: October Employment

Advisor Perspectives

There is a general belief that there are four big indicators that the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. This commentary focuses on one of those indicators, nonfarm employment. October saw a 12,000 increase in total nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment remained at 4.1%.

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Prime Capital Hires OneDigital’s Jania Stout to Lead Retirement Plan Business

Wealth Management

Jania Stout, who sold her firm to OneDigital in 2021, will lead Prime Capital Retirement and Prime Capital Wellness.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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The Big Four Recession Indicators

Advisor Perspectives

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.

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$95B Colony Announces First External Deal Since Buckingham Merger

Wealth Management

Omaha-based Homan Wealth Advisors will join Colony's Buckingham Strategic Wealth business, as Focus continues its consolidation strategy.

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Brain Tech Is Here and Not as Creepy as You Think

Advisor Perspectives

A middle-aged man who works in emergency services in the US had been battling depression and suicidal thoughts for 17 years, unable to sleep most nights and leaving his wife and teen daughter walking on eggshells because of his irritability, before he opted for a shot in the dark.

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B. Riley to Sell Portion of Wealth-Management Unit to Stifel

Wealth Management

The transaction doesn’t include B. Riley’s roughly 190 independent advisers or its 90 tax professionals.

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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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Bond Traders Scour US Jobs Data for Clues on Fed’s Rate Plan

Advisor Perspectives

Investors who’ve been hedging against a deeper selloff in US Treasuries are preparing for volatility as Friday’s hurricane- and strike-tinged US employment report offers final clues ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve policy decision.

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Comments on October Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the October employment report was below expectations, and August and September payrolls were revised down by 112,000 combined. The participation rate and the employment population ratio declined, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1%. Earlier: October Employment Report: 12 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate Seasonal Retail Hiring Typically, retail companies start hiring for the holiday season in October, and really increase hiring in November.

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Tech Giants Are Set to Spend $200 Billion This Year Chasing AI

Advisor Perspectives

Three months ago, Wall Street punished the world’s largest technology firms for spending enormous amounts to develop artificial intelligence, only to deliver results that failed to justify the costs.

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Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.1% below 2022 peak

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak Excerpt: It has been over 18 years since the bubble peak. In the August Case-Shiller house price index on Tuesday, the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 75% above the bubble peak in 2006. However, in real terms, the National index (SA) is about 11% above the bubble peak (and historically there has been an upward slope to real house prices).

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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Fixed Income Perspectives: What Could Cause Volatility in the Short Term?

Advisor Perspectives

The roller coaster of recent employment readings has caused a fair bit of volatility lately. This month, Voya IM introduces a new macro dashboard to help explain short-term market movements, while providing context for the broader trends we expect to drive markets over time.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (November 2–3)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that SIFMA, which represents broker-dealers, investment banks, and asset managers, released a white paper that argues that CFP Board "increasingly functions as a de facto private regulator for CFP certificants" and proposes that CFP Board eliminate rules and standards that duplicate, conflict with, and/or impose in addition to existing SEC and/or FINRA rules and standards.

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Apple Sparks Concerns With Tepid Forecast, China Weakness

Advisor Perspectives

Apple Inc., heading into its most critical sales period of the year, sparked fresh concerns about revenue growth and lingering weakness in an intensely competitive China market.

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MiB: Annie Lamont, Managing Partner of Oak HC/FT

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Annie Lamont, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Oak HC/FT. Prior to founding Oak HC/FT in 2014, Annie spent 28 years at Oak Investment Partners, where she served as a Managing Partner and led the healthcare and fintech practices. Annie has been named to Forbes’ Midas List as well as Fortune’s Top 20 Private Equity Power Players and Modern Healthcare’s 100 Most Influential People.

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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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Squeezed Homebuilders Are Bad News for the Housing Market

Advisor Perspectives

Builders are an important part of any plausible fix for the housing shortage in the United States — not only constructing more homes but also finding ways to improve affordability.

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Don’t Take Financial Advice From Hedge Fund Managers

A Wealth of Common Sense

Paul Tudor Jones made some waves last week on a CNBC interview: He’s worried government spending and deficit levels are going to lead to a crisis: “The question is after this election will we have a Minsky moment here in the United States and U.S. debt markets?” Jones said, referring to shorthand for a dramatic decline in asset prices. “Will we have a Minsky moment where all of a sudden there&#821.

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Election Effect: How Presidential Votes Shape Stock Markets Long & Short Term

Advisor Perspectives

One of the most often asked questions Professor Nathan Mauck and myself, Chuck Carnevale, are getting from investors is what is going to happen after the election? Elections are big deals and they bring a lot of investor anxiety – election effect!

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The Employment Report and Future Inflation

Discipline Funds

If you missed the early weekend reading then please see here. But if you really want to ruin your weekend then please keep reading this special labor market edition of weekend reading. How about that labor report? The October employment report came in at just 12K. It was a very messy report given the impact of the prior month’s hurricane and the big Boeing strike.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g