Sun.Jun 23, 2024

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Sunday links: asymmetric returns

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Mean reversion happens in the stock market. Good luck trying to time it. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Successful investing requires getting your time horizon correct. (disciplinefunds.com) Always check the ticker. (scheplick.com) Business The degenerate economy is booming. (howardlindzon.com) How veterinary medicine became a big business. (nytimes.com) The defense sector can't hire workers fast enough.

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When is the Mean Reversion Coming in the Stock Market?

A Wealth of Common Sense

I posted the following on Twitter this week: It’s turning into another banner year for the U.S. stock market (so far). Here’s a good follow-up question on these numbers: This is a legitimate concern. Since 2020 the S&P 500 has compounded at more than 14% per year. That’s not just a pandemic phenomenon either. Since the start of 2009, the S&P 500 has seen returns of 14.5% per year.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week There are two types of money people. (awealthofcommonsense.com) The traditional IRA looks less and less attractive. (thinkadvisor.com) What's different about the Magnificent Seven stocks. (awealthofcommonsense.com) What matters when your mortality stares you in the face. (humbledollar.com) The case for swapping large caps for small caps.

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Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick Pattern – Psychology, Trading Ideas And More

Trade Brains

Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick Pattern: Candlestick patterns are integral to technical analysis, offering traders insights into market psychology and potential price movements. The Downside Tasuki Gap is one such pattern, known for signalling bearish continuation during a downtrend. In this article, we shall explore the meaning, psychology, formation, and trading strategy of the Downside Tasuki Gap candlestick pattern with an example.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Matthew S. Tassey is 2024 Recipient of John Newton Russell Memorial Award

NAIFA Advisor Today

NAIFA is proud to announce that Matthew S. Tassey, CLU, ChFC, LUTCF, is the recipient of the 84 th annual John Newton Russell Memorial Award. The award is the highest honor accorded by the insurance industry to a living individual who has rendered outstanding services to the institution of life insurance. The selection committee consists of representatives of 11 leading organizations in the life insurance and financial services industry.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.6% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 15 June The U.S. hotel industry reported higher performance results from the previous week but mixed comparisons year over year, according to CoStar’s latest data through 15 June. 9-15 June 2024 (percentage change from comparable week in 2023): • Occupancy: 70.3% (-0.6%) • Average daily rate (ADR): US$161.70 (+0.9%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$113.62 (+0.3%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occu

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Private Credit Investors in Europe Ditch Extra Leverage on Default Fears

Advisor Perspectives

Private credit investors in Europe are abandoning leveraged plays to try to get ahead of a potential wave of defaults.

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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of June 23, 2024 Monday: • At 10:30 AM ET, Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for June. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 and DOW futures are little changed (fair value). Oil prices were up over the last week with WTI futures at $80.73 per barrel and Brent at $85.24 per barrel. A year ago, WTI was at $69, and Brent was at $74 - so WTI oil prices are up about 17% year-over-year.

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How To Differentiate Funds That Have The Same Strategy

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

On Sunday afternoon I dug into the recently listed Neuberger Berman Option Strategy ETF (NBOS). It is yet another derivative income fund, this one sells put options, it is a putwrite fund. It turns out it is actually a mutual fund conversion from the Neuberger Berman US Equity Index Putwrite Strategy Fund, it had symbol NUPIX before changing to NBOS.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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[cdata[ Diamonds: A Girl’s Best Friend or a Wallet’s Nemesis? ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ The Enduring Legacy of Diamond Marketing One of the most enduring and well-known advertising slogans emerged in the 1940s when De Beers declared, "A Diamond is Forever." In fact, this tagline was named "The Slogan of the Century" by Advertising Age in 1999. More recently, in the movie How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days, Matthew McConaughey's character coined the phrase "Frost yourself," a.

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Pro Athletes Want to Sell You a Stake In Their Earnings. Hard Pass.

Advisor Perspectives

Are you bored with the cash, stocks and bonds in your retirement portfolio? Then perhaps it’s time to spice things up with shares in an NFL outside linebacker.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

10 Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • The Great American Poisoning or, wtf is going on with our food system. We’ve evolved to exist in an ancestral environment where health was the default. Today, as I look around, I see the opposite. Americans have never been fatter. We’ve never been sicker. Our kids have never had more cancer, more obesity, more diabetes, more behavioral disorders.

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High-Grade Company Bonds Increasingly Trade Near Junk Levels

Advisor Perspectives

Some money managers that buy junk bonds have been pouring money into investment-grade notes instead, because the yields can be almost as high now.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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US Existing-Home Sales Fall a Third Month as Prices Set a Record

Advisor Perspectives

Sales of existing homes in the US fell for a third straight month in May while prices set another record, underscoring persistent affordability challenges that hobbled the important spring selling season.

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Anthropic Releases ‘Most Intelligent’ AI Model in Rivalry With OpenAI

Advisor Perspectives

Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic is releasing a new AI model that it calls its fastest and most capable yet in a rivalry with OpenAI.

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Ian Bremmer Returns as Exchange Keynote Speaker

Advisor Perspectives

We are excited to announce that Ian Bremmer will once again headline Exchange, happening on March 23-26, 2025 in Las Vegas.

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Business of Bonds: Senior Loan ETFs Take the Spotlight

Advisor Perspectives

Senior loan ETFs have gained traction as elevated rate expectations spill over into the second half of the year.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a