Wed.Jul 03, 2024

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Wednesday links: inescapable forecasts

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Politics and investing don't mix. (howardlindzon.com) Good luck trying to time market factors. (rogersplanning.blogspot.com) Not all investment decisions are created alike. (behaviouralinvestment.com) Finance A lot of loans got repriced in 2024, so far. (axios.com) What former Vanguard OCIO clients should expect. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Startups Half of VC funding in Q2 went to AI-related startups.

Startup 274
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Why Quality Factor ETFs Have Seen Large Inflows Over The Last Year – And How Advisors Can Use Them In Client Portfolios

Nerd's Eye View

Over the past few decades, technological advances and plummeting transaction costs have facilitated the emergence of a dizzying variety of ways to gain exposure to very specific areas of the market. As a result, advicers have more options than ever to add value for their clients by tailoring investment portfolios that are specific to their unique needs, goals, and risk tolerance.

Portfolio 180
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Personal finance links: our reliance on money

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Peter Mallouk about keeping things simple. (ritholtz.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Scott Burns about financial minimalism. (morningstar.com) Steve Chen talks with Andrew Biggs about whether there really is a retirement crisis brewing in the U.S. (podcasts.apple.com) Katie Gatti Tassin on whether you are saving too much for retirement.

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At the Money: Changing Your Behavior For Better Investing

The Big Picture

At The Money: Changing Your Behavior For Better Investing (July 3, 2024) If you could change only one thing that would help your investing, what would it be? Your own behavior. When it comes to investing, we are our own worst enemies. Why is this, and what can we do to avoid this fate? Neurologist and professional investor Dr. William Bernstein explains how to manage our emotions to avoid poor outcomes in markets.

Investing 157
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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8 Financial Planning Tips for Small Business Owners

Carson Wealth

Running a small business involves juggling multiple responsibilities. Managing the business’s finances is one of the most crucial aspects. Proper financial management can be the difference between a thriving business and one that struggles to stay afloat. Here are eight essential financial tips for small business owners to help ensure long-term success. 1.

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401(k) Real Talk Episode 112: July 3, 2024

Wealth Management

Open, honest and candid discussion about the Supreme Court's rulings on regulators, Fisher Investments spinning off its 401(k) business, record keeper turnover and more.

Investing 115
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Unemployment Claims Up 4K, Worse Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending June 29th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 238,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading is higher than the forecast of 234,000 jobless claims.

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Finology Software, Helping Advisors Engage With and Plan for HENRYs

Wealth Management

Our technology columnist caught up with Alex Bottom and spoke with him about developments to his platform meant to help advisors with managing student debt.

Planning 118
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Animal Spirits: Living Paycheck-to-Paycheck

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts and CME Group: See here for 20% off (new customers only) and for more info on the tearsheet builder See here for more information on CME Group’s valuable educational materials and trading tools and learn more about what adding futures can do for you. On today’s show, we discuss: American stocks are consuming global markets JPM Guide to the Markets 6%.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Four Ways to Add Strategic Value for Young HNW Entrepreneurs

Wealth Management

Without proper guidance regarding taxes, philanthropy and estate planning, high net worth entrepreneurs can miss opportunities.

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Heavy Truck Sales Unchanged in June

Calculated Risk

This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the June 2024 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR). Heavy truck sales really collapsed during the great recession, falling to a low of 180 thousand SAAR in May 2009. Then heavy truck sales increased to a new record high of 570 thousand SAAR in April 2019.

Sales 83
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Gen Z Is Taking Too Much Risk in the Markets

Wealth Management

Even after being exposed to some financial education in schools, more young investors are putting speculative bets ahead of building long-term wealth.

Education 113
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FOMC Minutes: "Additional favorable data were required to give them greater confidence that inflation" was Moving to Target

Calculated Risk

From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee June 11–12, 2024. Excerpt: With regard to the outlook for inflation, participants emphasized that they were strongly committed to their 2 percent objective and that they remained concerned that elevated inflation continued to harm the purchasing power of households, especially those least able to meet the higher costs of essentials like food, housing, and transportation.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Tony Bennett’s Children Embroiled in Lawsuit Over His Estate

Wealth Management

Tony Bennett's two daughters accuse their brother of mishandling their late father’s assets

Assets 128
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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 238,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : n the week ending June 29, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 238,000 , an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 233,000 to 234,000. The 4-week moving average was 238,500, an increase of 2,250 from the previous week's revised average.

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Hedge Fund Launches Rose 70% in the First Quarter of 2024

Wealth Management

Product launches during the first quarter of the year were dominated by large cap tech equities strategies.

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Trade Deficit Increased to $75.1 Billion in May

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported : The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $75.1 billion in May , up $0.6 billion from $74.5 billion in April, revised. May exports were $261.7 billion, $1.8 billion less than April exports. May imports were $336.7 billion, $1.2 billion less than April imports. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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BlackRock Aims to ‘Index the Private Markets’ After Preqin Deal

Wealth Management

The deal to acquire the London-based Preqin provider accelerates BlackRock’s push to become a major player in alternative assets

Marketing 115
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From Spreadsheets to Yoga Mats: How to Slow Down, Find Inner Peace, and Recharge with Shannon Warwick

Steve Sanduski

Guest: Shannon Warwick , Certified Personal Trainer, Yoga Teacher, & Sports Nutritionist. In a Nutshell: There’s a profound connection between our physical health and the stress that we carry around with us every day. Today’s show is a bit different from my usual focus on financial advisor practice management. Shannon and I dive deep into the topic of reducing stress in our lives – something that I believe is crucial for everyone, regardless of their profession or backgrou

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LPL Adds $200M Father/Daughter Team From Edward Jones

Wealth Management

Dan and Olivia Countiss have launched their new practice, Countiss Wealth Management, and join from Edward Jones.

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"Mortgage Rates Move Lower"

Calculated Risk

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Move Lower After Weak Service Sector Report "Data dependent" is one of the most common phrases heard from the Federal Reserve these days when it comes to rate-setting policy. And while the Fed doesn't directly dictate mortgage rates, the bond market tends to trade the same data that the Fed cares about.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Adjusted for Risk: Tips For Creating An Effective Marketing Strategy

Wealth Management

C2P's Matt Seitz shares insight about and provides examples of effective marketing strategies.

Marketing 119
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ADP: Private Employment Increased 150,000 in June

Calculated Risk

From ADP: ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 152,000 Jobs in May; Annual Pay was Up 5.0% Private sector employment increased by 150,000 jobs in June and annual pay was up 4.9 percent year-over-year, according to the June ADP® National Employment ReportTM produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab (“Stanford Lab”).

Economy 70
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Happy July 4

NAIFA Advisor Today

Documents are ever-present in the lives of insurance and financial professionals. From policy agreements to annuity contracts to the full slate of disclosures, written agreements and promises are important parts of what you do. Today, our nation celebrates one of its founding documents. Along with the Constitution, the Declaration of Independence ranks as the most revered document in the United States.

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ISM Services PMI Falls to Lowest Level Since May 2020

Advisor Perspectives

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) has released its Juneservices purchasing managers' index (PMI). The headline composite index is at 48.8, coming in below the 52.8 forecast. The latest reading is the lowest level for the index since April 2022 and moves the index back into contraction territory for the second time in the past three months.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Ether ETF Hopefuls Gear Up for Approval as Soon as Mid-July

Wealth Management

Firms including BlackRock Inc., Fidelity Investments, 21Shares, and Invesco have filings waiting to be approved.

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Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin Hovers Around $62K

Advisor Perspectives

Bitcoin's price has hovered around $62,000 over the past few days and is currently up ~40% year to date. Here's the latest charts on three of the largest cryptocurrencies by market share through 7/2/24.

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ISM® Services Index Decreases to 48.8% in June

Calculated Risk

(Posted with permission). The ISM® Services index was at 48.8%, down from 53.8% last month. The employment index decreased to 46.1%, from 47.1%. Note: Above 50 indicates expansion, below 50 in contraction. From the Institute for Supply Management: Services PMI® at 48.8% June 2024 Services ISM® Report On Business® Economic activity in the services sector contracted in June for the second time in the last three months, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® R