Wed.Jul 03, 2024

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Wednesday links: inescapable forecasts

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Politics and investing don't mix. (howardlindzon.com) Good luck trying to time market factors. (rogersplanning.blogspot.com) Not all investment decisions are created alike. (behaviouralinvestment.com) Finance A lot of loans got repriced in 2024, so far. (axios.com) What former Vanguard OCIO clients should expect. (blogs.cfainstitute.org) Startups Half of VC funding in Q2 went to AI-related startups.

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Why Quality Factor ETFs Have Seen Large Inflows Over The Last Year – And How Advisors Can Use Them In Client Portfolios

Nerd's Eye View

Over the past few decades, technological advances and plummeting transaction costs have facilitated the emergence of a dizzying variety of ways to gain exposure to very specific areas of the market. As a result, advicers have more options than ever to add value for their clients by tailoring investment portfolios that are specific to their unique needs, goals, and risk tolerance.

Portfolio 100
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Personal finance links: our reliance on money

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Barry Ritholtz talks with Peter Mallouk about keeping things simple. (ritholtz.com) Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Scott Burns about financial minimalism. (morningstar.com) Steve Chen talks with Andrew Biggs about whether there really is a retirement crisis brewing in the U.S. (podcasts.apple.com) Katie Gatti Tassin on whether you are saving too much for retirement.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 2.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending June 28, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.6 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

Marketing 107
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Unemployment Claims Up 4K, Worse Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending June 29th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 238,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading is higher than the forecast of 234,000 jobless claims.

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More Trending

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Heavy Truck Sales Unchanged in June

Calculated Risk

This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the June 2024 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR). Heavy truck sales really collapsed during the great recession, falling to a low of 180 thousand SAAR in May 2009. Then heavy truck sales increased to a new record high of 570 thousand SAAR in April 2019.

Sales 77
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Tony Bennett’s Children Embroiled in Lawsuit Over His Estate

Wealth Management

Tony Bennett's two daughters accuse their brother of mishandling their late father’s assets

Assets 121
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From Spreadsheets to Yoga Mats: How to Slow Down, Find Inner Peace, and Recharge with Shannon Warwick

Steve Sanduski

Guest: Shannon Warwick , Certified Personal Trainer, Yoga Teacher, & Sports Nutritionist. In a Nutshell: There’s a profound connection between our physical health and the stress that we carry around with us every day. Today’s show is a bit different from my usual focus on financial advisor practice management. Shannon and I dive deep into the topic of reducing stress in our lives – something that I believe is crucial for everyone, regardless of their profession or backgrou

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Four Ways to Add Strategic Value for Young HNW Entrepreneurs

Wealth Management

Without proper guidance regarding taxes, philanthropy and estate planning, high net worth entrepreneurs can miss opportunities.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 238,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : n the week ending June 29, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 238,000 , an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 233,000 to 234,000. The 4-week moving average was 238,500, an increase of 2,250 from the previous week's revised average.

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BlackRock Aims to ‘Index the Private Markets’ After Preqin Deal

Wealth Management

The deal to acquire the London-based Preqin provider accelerates BlackRock’s push to become a major player in alternative assets

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Happy July 4

NAIFA Advisor Today

Documents are ever-present in the lives of insurance and financial professionals. From policy agreements to annuity contracts to the full slate of disclosures, written agreements and promises are important parts of what you do. Today, our nation celebrates one of its founding documents. Along with the Constitution, the Declaration of Independence ranks as the most revered document in the United States.

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LPL Adds $200M Father/Daughter Team From Edward Jones

Wealth Management

Dan and Olivia Countiss have launched their new practice, Countiss Wealth Management, and join from Edward Jones.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Trade Deficit Increased to $75.1 Billion in May

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported : The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $75.1 billion in May , up $0.6 billion from $74.5 billion in April, revised. May exports were $261.7 billion, $1.8 billion less than April exports. May imports were $336.7 billion, $1.2 billion less than April imports. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

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Hedge Fund Launches Rose 70% in the First Quarter of 2024

Wealth Management

Product launches during the first quarter of the year were dominated by large cap tech equities strategies.

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Animal Spirits: Living Paycheck-to-Paycheck

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts and CME Group: See here for 20% off (new customers only) and for more info on the tearsheet builder See here for more information on CME Group’s valuable educational materials and trading tools and learn more about what adding futures can do for you. On today’s show, we discuss: American stocks are consuming global markets JPM Guide to the Markets 6%.

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Gen Z Is Taking Too Much Risk in the Markets

Wealth Management

Even after being exposed to some financial education in schools, more young investors are putting speculative bets ahead of building long-term wealth.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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"Mortgage Rates Move Lower"

Calculated Risk

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Move Lower After Weak Service Sector Report "Data dependent" is one of the most common phrases heard from the Federal Reserve these days when it comes to rate-setting policy. And while the Fed doesn't directly dictate mortgage rates, the bond market tends to trade the same data that the Fed cares about.

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Adjusted for Risk: Tips For Creating An Effective Marketing Strategy

Wealth Management

C2P's Matt Seitz shares insight about and provides examples of effective marketing strategies.

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ADP: Private Employment Increased 150,000 in June

Calculated Risk

From ADP: ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 152,000 Jobs in May; Annual Pay was Up 5.0% Private sector employment increased by 150,000 jobs in June and annual pay was up 4.9 percent year-over-year, according to the June ADP® National Employment ReportTM produced by the ADP Research Institute® in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab (“Stanford Lab”).

Economy 63
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Finology Software, Helping Advisors Engage With and Plan for HENRYs

Wealth Management

Our technology columnist caught up with Alex Bottom and spoke with him about developments to his platform meant to help advisors with managing student debt.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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FOMC Minutes: "Additional favorable data were required to give them greater confidence that inflation" was Moving to Target

Calculated Risk

From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee June 11–12, 2024. Excerpt: With regard to the outlook for inflation, participants emphasized that they were strongly committed to their 2 percent objective and that they remained concerned that elevated inflation continued to harm the purchasing power of households, especially those least able to meet the higher costs of essentials like food, housing, and transportation.

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ISM Services PMI Falls to Lowest Level Since May 2020

Advisor Perspectives

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) has released its Juneservices purchasing managers' index (PMI). The headline composite index is at 48.8, coming in below the 52.8 forecast. The latest reading is the lowest level for the index since April 2022 and moves the index back into contraction territory for the second time in the past three months.

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Ether ETF Hopefuls Gear Up for Approval as Soon as Mid-July

Wealth Management

Firms including BlackRock Inc., Fidelity Investments, 21Shares, and Invesco have filings waiting to be approved.

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Inflation Slows, AI Soars: Unpacking Q2’s Key Market Themes

Advisor Perspectives

On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Director and Chief Investment Strategist for North America, Paul Eitelman, and Regional Director for North America Advisor & Intermediary Solutions, Lam Guluka, discussed key market themes from the second quarter.

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Putting the ‘Tech’ in Spend Management Techniques

Speaker: Wayne Spivak, President and CFO of SBA * Consulting Ltd., Industry Writer, Public Speaker

If you’re lost in the world of spend management needs and your GAP analysis is lacking perspective on the future state of your business performance, listen up! With the advancement of technology, the implementation of spend management best practices and concrete GAP analyses is more streamlined and accessible than ever before. And while this may sound like great news for you and your clients, it won’t be worthwhile unless you have the latest techniques to back up your ambitions!

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How Many Uncorrelated Return Streams Can You Find?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Eric Crittenden sat for a wide ranging interview on the Show Us Your Portfolio podcast. Eric is the brains and manager of the Standpoint Multi-Asset Fund (BLNDX/REMIX). I've written about this fund many times, I've owned it since it's first or second day of trading and added it for clients shortly thereafter. I met Eric and his partner Matt Kaplan a couple of times in the earliest days of the fund.

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Pension Risk Transfer: Open the Door to New Client Opportunities

NAIFA Advisor Today

Join us for a webinar on Wednesday, July 17, 2024, from 12:00 pm to 1:00 pm Eastern, to explore Pension Risk Transfer (PRT) and discover how it can open the door to new client opportunities. This live event is free for members.

Clients 52
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Trade Deficit Widens to 19-Month High in May

Advisor Perspectives

The U.S. international trade in goods and services is published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis with data going back to 1992 and details U.S. exports and imports of goods and services. In May, the trade deficit widened to a 19-month high by expanding 0.8% to $75.07B. The latest reading was better than the forecast of $76.30B.