Fri.Mar 15, 2024

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U.S. population distribution, 1975-2050

The Big Picture

We sometimes say “Demographics is Destiny,” but that’s abstract. To get a visual sense of what that looks like, see the above chart (via Blackrock ) showing the distribution of various age groups from 2075 to 2050. Note bars in Red are not in the workforce. The post U.S. population distribution, 1975-2050 appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Friday links: a less predictable world

Abnormal Returns

Crypto How spot Bitcoin ETFs are managed in real life. (davenadig.substack.com) Wealth management firm Cetera Financial Group has approved four spot Bitcoin ETFs. (theblock.co) Matt Reustle talks the FTX restructuring with Erin Broderick who is a restructuring and insolvency specialist at Eversheds Sutherland. (joincolossus.com) Crypto riches could fuel another bull market in used Rolexes.

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Inflation at the Grocery Store

A Wealth of Common Sense

There are two types of inflation rates that matter. Economists and market observers care about the government reported data — CPI, core PCE, ex-shelter, whatever your preferred method is. Everyday Americans only care about two price points — gas and grocery store prices. Why is this the case? These are the prices you experience on a regular basis.

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Podcast links: understanding the past

Abnormal Returns

Immigration Cardiff Garcia talks immigration with Andrew Selee who is the head of the Migration Policy Institute. (podcasts.apple.com) Stephen Dubner and guests on America's 'supremely messed-up immigration system.' (freakonomics.com) Innovation Cameron Passmore and Justin Carbonneau talk with Adam Alter, whose new book "Anatomy of a Breakthrough: How to Get Unstuck When It Matters Most.

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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Amanda Adams, Fractional CFO, CPA

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Amanda Adams, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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Breaking Bad Momentum Trends

Alpha Architect

In their two papers, Goulding, Harvey, and Mazzoleni showed that observed market corrections and rebounds carry predictive information about subsequent returns and showed how that information could be utilized to enhance the performance of trend-following strategies by dynamically blending slow and fast momentum strategies based on four-state cycle-conditional information.

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More Trending

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The WealthStack Podcast: Going From Wealth Advisor to Wealth Coach With Urs Bolt

Wealth Management

Advisors are increasingly relying on technology to become more efficient and streamline operations. Urs Bolt details what's driving this shift.

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S&P 500 Snapshot: Second Straight Weekly Loss

Advisor Perspectives

The S&P 500 fell 0.7% on Friday which led to a weekly loss of 0.1%. The index has declined for two straight weeks for the first time since October. With that said, t he index is currently up 7.89% year to date and has set a new record closing high 17 times so far this year.

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Cathie Wood Reshapes Florida City in Image of Her Boom-Bust Fund

Wealth Management

(Bloomberg) -- Cathie Wood is a lot of things to a lot of people in St. Petersburg, Florida. Her Ark Investment Management is the lead tenant on a state-of-the-art startup incubator.

Startup 110
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Weekend Reading – Short Selling is Good!

Discipline Funds

1) Why the high inflation reading is good news. I was on Schwab Network earlier this week discussing why , despite a few upside surprises, inflation is still in a downtrend. This sounds a bit counterintuitive, but the upside surprises are still primarily due to the shelter component of CPI which is bad news in the short-term and good news in the long-term.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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FINRA Fines Osaic B/Ds For Poor Cyber Defenses

Wealth Management

FINRA argued Osaic Wealth (formerly Royal Alliance) and Securities America didn’t have proper cyber controls in place at branch offices, resulting in dozens of breaches over several years.

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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Moved Little in March

Advisor Perspectives

Consumer sentiment moved little in March according to the preliminary report for the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The index fell 0.4 points (0.5%) to 76.5 from the February final. The latest reading was below the forecast of 77.1.

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WealthStack Roundup: Lead Gen Startup WealthFeed Raises $2M

Wealth Management

Also, Brooke Juniper was named the new CEO Of TIFIN’s CIO platform Sage and FusionIQ has appointed John Phillips as a senior strategic advisor.

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GDP Tracking: Around 2%

Calculated Risk

From BofA: Since our update last week, 1Q GDP tracking is up one-tenth to 2.4% q/q saar ; 4Q tracking is up three-tenths to 3.6% q/q saar. [Mar 15th estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: We left our Q1 GDP tracking estimate unchanged after rounding at +2.2% (qoq ar) and our Q1 domestic final sales forecast also unchanged at +2.5% (qoq ar). [Mar 6th estimate] And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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RIA Roundup: After Hitting $17B in ‘23, Concurrent Scores Advisors from Wells Fargo, Raymond James

Wealth Management

Concurrent attracts three advisors, Carson Group announces two additions, Realta Wealth names new CFO and Savant Wealth add to board.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial Production Inches Up in February

Advisor Perspectives

Industrial production inched up 0.1% in February, better than the projected 0.0% growth. Compared to one year ago, industrial production is down 0.2%.

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Court Questions Appraiser’s Valuation Of Syndicated Conservation Easement

Wealth Management

Christopher P. Woehrle discusses a court case that focuses on how to document correctly the charitable deduction from a syndicated conservation easement.

Valuation 103
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RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index

Advisor Perspectives

The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of March 1st, the index was at 19.176, up 0.550 from the previous week, with 4 of the 6 components in expansion territory.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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How Can My Trust Help My Kid Buy a House?

Wealth Management

Martin M. Shenkman and Joy Matak discuss options a client can explore when considering whether to use a trust to fund their beneficiary’s purchase of a home.

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Japan Is Back, China Is Over. The Trouble With Narratives

Advisor Perspectives

Japan is back, China is over. Only a few years ago, such an assertion would have been dismissed out of hand. The latter was on the road to economic dominance and the former languished, characterized by endless stimulus that produced little tangible benefit, and doomed by a shrinking population.

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UBS Has Better Business Mix Than Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Says

Wealth Management

The Swiss bank has a better wealth management franchise outside the U.S., according to a JPMorgan analyst.

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Activity Continues to Decline in March

Advisor Perspectives

Manufacturing activity continued to decline in New York State, according to the Empire State Manufacturing March survey. The diffusion index for General Business Conditions fell to -20.9 from -2.4 in February. This morning's reading was worse than the forecast of -7.0.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Note From the Editor: April 2024

Wealth Management

Editor in Chief Susan R. Lipp weighs in on the contents of this month's issue.

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3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February A brief excerpt: NOTE: The tables for active listings, new listings and closed sales all include a comparison to February 2019 for each local market (some 2019 data is not available). This is the third look at several local markets in February. I’m tracking about 40 local housing markets in the US.

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March Madness in the Bond Market?

Wealth Management

Will the upcoming FOMC meeting tip off a trading frenzy?

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Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February

Calculated Risk

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Based on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports released across the country through today, I project that existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.40 million in February , up 10% from January’s preliminary pace but down 2.9% from last February’s seasonally adjusted pace.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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On the Cover: April 2024

Wealth Management

Legal Editor Anna Sulkin Stern discusses this month's cover art.

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Discovering and Rediscovering Your Economic Vitality

NAIFA Advisor Today

Jill Judd is a distinguished Life Underwriting Training Council Fellow (LUTCF), Financial Services Specialist (FSS), and Retirement Income Certified Professional (RICP) with extensive experience in the insurance industry. Her professional mission is to provide individuals with the necessary tools and resources to manage the risks of everyday life, recover from unexpected events, and achieve their aspirations.

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Designing a Generational Split-Dollar Plan

Wealth Management

Careful planning, implementation and administration are needed.

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