Tue.Jan 02, 2024

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State Coincident Indicators Slipping

The Big Picture

I am popping out of book leave to share this single data point that snuck out over the holidays: The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s State Coincident Indicators for November 2023. I like the SCI – its broad, consistent, and does not operate with too big of a lag. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 25 states, decreased in 21 states, and remained stable in four, for a three-month diffusion index of 8.

Banking 331
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Tuesday links: the vibes discourse

Abnormal Returns

Markets How major asset classes performed in December 2023. (capitalspectator.com) 2023 was a welcome respite from 2022, market-wise. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Growth stocks have trounced value over the past decade no matter the geography. (albertbridgecapital.com) Strategy 10 predictions for 2024 including 'The economy overheats.' (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Don't get caught sitting in cash in 2024.

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#FA Success Ep 366: Avoiding The ‘Big Swap’ Of Wealth And Health As Your Advisory Firm Grows, With Stevyn Guinnip

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the 366th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Stevyn Guinnip. Stevyn is founder of Grow Wellthy, a health and wellness consulting firm based in Springfield, Missouri that specializes in working with busy – but not always healthy – financial advisors. What's unique about Stevyn, though, is how she combines her family roots in financial advice with her decades-long career in wellbeing and health as a coach to financial advisors,

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Research links: hedging crucial risks

Abnormal Returns

Research Is the stock market predictable? Once in awhile for short periods of time. (alphaarchitect.com) Some evidence that indexing makes markets less efficient. (nber.org) How have risk parity funds weathered the past couple of years? (markovprocesses.com) What explains the 'distress risk premium'? (alphaarchitect.com) A round-up of recent research papers including 'We’re Not So Different, High Yield Bonds and Leveraged Loans.

Investing 282
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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What Comes After a Good Year in the Stock Market?

A Wealth of Common Sense

2023 was a good year for the stock market. Bad years in the stock market are typically followed by good years (but not always): The obvious follow-up here is: What happens after good years? Or how often do we see good years followed by good years? There are, of course, bad years that follow good years, just like there are good years that follow bad years.

Marketing 145

More Trending

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LPL Settles With FINRA For $6M Over Reg BI Lapses

Wealth Management

The firm agreed to settle charges with the regulator after it charged LPL Financial supervisors failed to ensure the suitability of certain transactions made by reps on behalf of clients.

Clients 122
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Question #9 for 2024: What will happen with house prices in 2024?

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Question #9 for 2024: What will happen with house prices in 2024? Brief excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I’ll post thoughts on those in the newsletter (others like GDP and employment will be on my blog).

Sales 118
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The Wealthiest People to Watch in 2024

Wealth Management

Elon Musk led the world’s richest to a $1.5 trillion wealth gain in 2023.

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Why Wasn’t there a Recession?

The Irrelevant Investor

To say that everyone was expecting a recession going into 2023 is an understatement. This headline is from October. Poetically, and something few people were predicting at the time, the S&P 500 had bottomed five days before this ran. So, how did everyone get 2023 so wrong? Michael Cembalest hit on this in his 2024 outlook. Monetary policy is tighter but below the level of real rates that led to prior recessions; corp.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Hybrid IBD CoastalOne Rebrands to Realta

Wealth Management

The rebrand comes as the $3.3 billion AUM firm aims to broaden its appeal to a wider swath of advisors and increase recruiting.

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Do racial barriers prevent Black and Hispanic households from pursuing financial advice?

Alpha Architect

This article seeks to examine what research says about the interplay between risk tolerance, financial literacy, and trust and their collective impact on the pursuit of financial advice by Black and Hispanic households. Do racial barriers prevent Black and Hispanic households from pursuing financial advice? was originally published at Alpha Architect.

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Mariner Acquires $360M California Firm

Wealth Management

Confluence Financial Planning’s six associates will continue to operate out of their Sacramento office. It’ll be Mariner’s first location in the city, and 15th in California.

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Market Valuation: Is the Market Still Overvalued?

Advisor Perspectives

Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.

Valuation 108
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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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Dakota Acquires $350M Massachusetts RIA

Wealth Management

The deal with C2C Wealth Management represents Dakota’s fourth transaction since June 1, and third office in Massachusetts.

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Investment Winners and Losers in 2023

Advisor Perspectives

Here’s a look at some of the biggest winners and losers in 2023, plus a few investments that sat somewhere in the middle.

Investing 105
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Jane Street Emerges as Broker of Choice for Bitcoin-ETF Issuers

Wealth Management

Fidelity, WisdomTree, BlackRock and JPMorgan Securities have all named Jane Street Capital as their "authorized participant" for a possible spot Bitcoin ETF.

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Weekly Insights – January 1, 2024

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

Weekly Market Insights: S&P Ends 2023 Up 24% Stocks posted a slight gain last week amid a shortage of news and light holiday trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.76%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 added 0.49%. The Nasdaq Composite index advanced 0.32% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, increased 1.13%. 1,2,3 Source: YCharts.com, December 30, 2023.

Taxes 104
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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How to Make the Most of Retirement Savings in 2024

Wealth Management

Seven ideas for how to save smarter, from automation to rollovers and Roths.

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The Return of Buy-Low Sell-High

Advisor Perspectives

The strongest stock market returns in the coming decade, perhaps longer, are likely to emerge during advances in the S&P 500 that attempt to catch up with the cumulative return of risk-free Treasury bills.

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Everything Everywhere All at Once?

Wealth Management

Everything Everywhere All at Once?

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This Baby Bull Has Time to Grow

Investing Caffeine

You may have witnessed some fireworks on New Year’s Eve, but those weren’t the only fireworks exploding. The last two months of 2023 finished with a bang! More specifically, over this short period, the S&P 500 index skyrocketed +13.7%, NASDAQ +16.8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average +14.0%. The gains have been even more impressive for the cheaper, more interest-rate-sensitive small-cap stocks (IJR +21.8%), which I have highlighted for months ( see also AI Revolution ).

Economy 98
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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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The State of the States: 2023

Wealth Management

An update on key planning developments.

Planning 107
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Animal Spirits: 2024 Predictions

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: See here for a webinar with our very own Nick Maggiulli on Transforming Data Into Dollars On today’s show, we discuss: 10 predictions for 2024 Where did Americans put their money this year? Everywhere. Gas prices will fall in 2024 and Americans spend $32B less on fuel, GasBuddy predicts We aren’t posting on social media as much anymore.

Media 91
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Empowering Financial Advisors: Strategies and Insights for Providing Effective Value-Add Programs and Enhancing Client Engagement

Wealth Management

A close look at providing the tools financial advisors need to attract and retain clients.

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Market Commentary: Top Charts From 2023 Set the Scene For 2024

Carson Wealth

Top Charts of the Year What a year it has been! The economy surprised, the consumer remained resilient, stocks soared, and even bonds did well on the year thanks to a late-innings rally. Just like everyone called it, right? As we look ahead to 2024, we want to share with you some of our team’s favorite charts on the year. Some are perhaps unorthodox, but they tell us a lot about 2023 while setting the scene for 2024.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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History Bodes Ill for Growth Stocks After Big 2023 Rally

Wealth Management

Lower valuations and higher dividend yields mean value stocks typically outperform in the long run regardless of interest rates.

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FORM: The timeless way to get prospects to open up

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Bryce Sanders The best ideas withstand the test of time. One of the best techniques to encourage a person you meet socially to open up is with a strategy known as FORM. Let’s say you occasionally run into someone, and you’d like to learn more about them and get past the surface without seeming like you’re prying. You can do it gradually and tactfully with FORM.

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Areas of Focus for Families And Their Advisors

Wealth Management

Four common themes that show up consistently.

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