Thu.Jan 09, 2025

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Kitces & Carl Ep 155: How Do You Know You Are Adding Value Versus Just Trying To Justify Your Fees?

Nerd's Eye View

While financial advisors offer valuable services for their clients, it can sometimes be challenging to gauge how much clients actually value those services. On one hand, a client's willingness to pay an ongoing fee for financial advice suggests that they find the advisor's services worthwhile. On the other hand, the term "financial advice" often refers to much more than asset allocation and wealth management.

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The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Update: The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP A brief excerpt: Two years ago, I wrote The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP. Here is an update to a couple of graphs. The bottom line remains the same: There will not be cascading price declines in this cycle due to distressed sales.

Economy 147
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Security and Estate Planning: New Considerations for UHNW Families

Wealth Management

Security is becoming a central consideration in structuring everything from family offices to succession plans.

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Thursday links: the laws of physics

Abnormal Returns

Markets Why the CAPE ratio should be higher today than it was in the past. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) What explains the big divergence between the U.S. and European stock market returns? (albertbridgecapital.com) Finance The stock market is getting more concentrated, and so are actively managed portfolios. (morningstar.com) Sell-side equity research ranks were in decline, even before the introduction of AI.

Media 162
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Are Robots Replacing You? Keeping Humans in the Loop in Automated Environments

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

As businesses increasingly adopt automation, finance leaders must navigate the delicate balance between technology and human expertise. This webinar explores the critical role of human oversight in accounts payable (AP) automation and how a people-centric approach can drive better financial performance. Join us for an insightful discussion on how integrating human expertise into automated workflows enhances decision-making, reduces fraud risks, strengthens vendor relationships, and accelerates R

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Savvy Adds Four Advisors, Pushing AUM Over $1B

Wealth Management

The additions bring Savvys total number of advisors to 40 and assets under management to more than $1 billion.

Numbers 271
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Friday: Employment Report

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for December. The consensus is for 160,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 4.2%.

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Validea’s Top 10 High Insider Ownership Stocks | January 2025

Validea

Insider ownership, particularly among executives and directors, is a crucial indicator for investors as it creates a direct alignment between management and shareholder interests. When company leaders have significant skin in the game through substantial stock ownership, they’re more likely to make decisions that benefit long-term shareholder value rather than focusing solely on short-term metrics or personal benefits.

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Mariner Adds $292B Institutional Consulting Firm

Wealth Management

Cardinal Investment Advisors, an institutional consulting firm, will expand upon Mariner Institutional, a new division seeded last year when the RIA acquired two firms with that focus.

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Mega Backdoor Roths: A How-to Guide

Harness Wealth

Backdoor strategies are retirement contribution methods that allow individuals to bypass income limits and contribute to tax-advantaged retirement accounts. The strategies typically involve making after-tax contributions to a traditional IRA or 401(k), then converting those funds into a Roth IRA or Roth 401(k). The approach allows investors to benefit from tax-free growth and withdrawals, even if their income exceeds the eligibility limits for direct Roth contributions.

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Coldstream Merges with Accounting Firm and RIA in Its Backyard

Wealth Management

The combination with Harrison Berkman Claypool & Guard and its RIA enhances Coldstreams existing tax and consulting practice and brings its total AUA to $11.1 billion.

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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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Beyond the Magnificent Seven | Liz Ann Sonders on Markets, Cycles & Investing

Validea

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, for a wide-ranging discussion about markets, the economy, and investing. We explore her unique perspective on the current market environment, including her views on the end of the “Great Moderation” era and the transition to what she calls the “Temperamental Era” – a period likely to bring more volatility in both inflation and economic growth.

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Focus Hub SCS Financial Names New National Wealth Management Head

Wealth Management

Adrienne Penta started work at the Boston-based SCS this week after spending 15 years at Brown Brothers Harriman.

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Can Howard Marks Spot a Stock Bubble Twice?

Advisor Perspectives

Most people assume that the S&P 500 Index will go up over long holding periods.

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Cerity Acquires $4.1B Boston RIA

Wealth Management

The deal with Prio Wealth will expand Ceritys offerings for private and corporate clients in the Boston metro area.

Clients 253
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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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U.S. Household Incomes: A 50+ Year Perspective

Advisor Perspectives

A few months ago, the Census Bureau released its annual report on household income data for 2023. During 2023, the median (middle) average household income rose 8.0% to $80,730. Let's take a closer look at the quintile averages, which dates from 1967, along with the statistics for the top 5%.

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The Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: Insights on Goals, Growth, and Building Something Great

Wealth Management

A compendium of advice extracted from 48 episodes of the 2024 season of the Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors.

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5 ETF Predictions for 2025

Advisor Perspectives

After hitting nearly 80% of my predictions over the first five years, the past two years are calling into question whether I’m truly the ETF Nostradamus.

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First Ascent Founder Scott MacKillop Leaves GeoWealth

Wealth Management

MacKillop, a pioneer of flat-fee asset management, said the work of integrating First Ascent into GeoWealth is done, and he's looking for his next professional endeavor.

Assets 248
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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.

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PB US Stability + Innovation Thank you Submission Page

SEI

Thank you for reaching out. A representative will contact you at the email address you provided.

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Global Bond Selloff Leaves US Treasury Yields Flirting With 5%

Advisor Perspectives

The selloffs that keep flaring in the world’s bond markets are pushing yields toward key thresholds amid escalating worries about elevated inflation, tempestuous politics and swelling government debts.

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Persistent innovation starts with a stable foundation

SEI

Choose a strategic partner that is committed to helping you achieve your long-term goals.

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Fed’s Harker Says More Rate Cuts Are Coming But Timing Uncertain

Advisor Perspectives

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said officials are on track to lower interest rates this year, but the exact timing will depend on what happens with the economy.

Banking 52
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Next-Level Fraud Prevention: Strategies for Today’s Threat Landscape

Speaker: Sierre Lindgren

Fraud is a battle that every organization must face – it’s no longer a question of “if” but “when.” Every organization is a potential target for fraud, and the finance department is often the bullseye. From cleverly disguised emails to fraudulent payment requests, the tactics of cybercriminals are advancing rapidly. Drawing insights from real-world cases and industry expertise, we’ll explore the vulnerabilities in your processes and how to fortify them effectively.

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Hiring with Confidence: Your Roadmap to Building the Perfect Team in 2025

Leading Advisor

As we approach the end of our blog series, I want to focus on a challenge that many business owners facehiring the right people. Whether… The post Hiring with Confidence: Your Roadmap to Building the Perfect Team in 2025 appeared first on Leading Advisor - Simon Reilly.

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The Four Bad Bear Recoveries: Where Is Today's Market?

Advisor Perspectives

This chart series features an overlay of four major secular bear markets: the Crash of 1929, the Oil Embargo of 1973, the Tech Bubble, and the Financial Crisis. The numbers are through the December 31, 2024 close.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 201,000

Calculated Risk

This was released yesterday (due to National Day of Mourning). The DOL reported : In the week ending January 4, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 201,000, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 211,000. The 4-week moving average was 213,000, a decrease of 10,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 223,250. emphasis added The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

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Treasury Bonds: Riding the Range

Advisor Perspectives

Yields may trade in a wide range as markets work through issues in the new year. Navigating volatility may mean capturing higher nominal and real yields over the longer term.

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Fall In Love With the Month-End Close

It's the time of year to give our close process some TLC. Join us in this one hour webinar where we discuss how to adopt leading practices and infuse technology into the month-end close process to improve our experience and increase our productivity during month-end and quarter-end close. Learning Objectives: This course's objective is to understand how the month-end close can be improved with automation and adoption of leading practices.

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December Employment Preview

Calculated Risk

On Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for December. The consensus is for 160,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 4.2%. There were 227,000 jobs added in November, and the unemployment rate was at 4.2%. From Goldman Sachs: We expect a below-consensus 125k increase in payrolls (vs. +160k consensus) in December.

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Unemployment Claims Drop to 11-Month Low

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending January 4th, initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level since February 2024. Initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 201,000, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading was better than the 214,000 forecast.

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Longform links: guilt and criminality

Abnormal Returns

Books A Q&A with Adam Chandler author of "99% Perspiration: A New Working History of the American Way of Life." (smithsonianmag.com) Annie Duke talks with Kurt Gray, author of Outraged: Why We Fight About Morality and Politics and How to Find Common Ground. (washingtonpost.com) A Q&A with Marco Visscher, author of "The Power of Nuclear: The Rise, Fall and Return of Our Mightiest Energy Source.

Budgeting 147
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High Hopes or Hollow Hype? A 2025 Reality Check

Advisor Perspectives

While the market has largely moved past that year’s recession debate, it’s worth noting that the traditional definition that persisted for all our careers—two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth—did occur in the first half of 2022.

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The Future Of Finance: How To Manage Spend The Right Way

Speaker: Aaron Berson

Managing spend is more than a cost cutting exercise – it's a pathway to smarter decisions that unlock efficiency and drive growth. By understanding and refining the spending process, financial leaders can empower their organizations to achieve more with less. Explore the art of balancing financial control with operational growth. From uncovering hidden inefficiencies to designing workflows that scale your business, we’ll share strategies to align your organization’s spending with its strategic g