Tue.Apr 09, 2024

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What Recession? State Coincident Indicators

The Big Picture

Between book leave and COVID I have been pretty quiet lately. Since it’s been a few months, I thought we could take a quick look at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s State Coincident Indicators out for both January and February 2024.1 As the charts above show, the economy on a state-by-state basis has markedly improved from Q4 2023’s softening.

Banking 306
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Tuesday links: ironclad proof

Abnormal Returns

Markets Investors are coming to terms with higher short-term interest rates. (nytimes.com) All the narrative rolling around the markets including 'Sticky inflation.' (ft.com) Crypto A spot Bitcoin ETF has provided crypto skeptics cover to get into the business. (barrons.com) The rise in Bitcoin has caused some long term holders to sell. (coindesk.com) Finance Financial institutions are increasingly relying on the public cloud operators.

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Two Things I’m Not Worried About

A Wealth of Common Sense

Finance people spend a lot of time worrying. About the next recession. The next bear market. The next Black Swan event. The level of interest rates and inflation and valuations and the Fed and basically everything else. This makes sense. The bad stuff hurts more than the good stuff feels good so risk management rules the day. I’m a finance guy so I worry about plenty of these things too.

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Research links: bond laddering

Abnormal Returns

Private equity What happens when you 'de-smooth' private equity returns? (institutionalinvestor.com) Why do private equity fees vary so widely? (alphaarchitect.com) Work Getting an internship at a top multi-strategy hedge fund is a good, but tough to get, gig. (pionline.com) Women in the C-suite lost ground in 2023. (washingtonpost.com) On the life of a university endowment CIO.

Marketing 265
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Less Stress, More Success: Accounting Best Practices & Processes for 2025

Speaker: Duke Heninger, Partner and Fractional CFO at Ampleo & Creator of CFO System

Are you ready to elevate your accounting processes for 2025? 🚀 Join us for an exclusive webinar led by Duke Heninger, a seasoned fractional CFO and CPA passionate about transforming back-office operations for finance teams. This session will cover critical best practices and process improvements tailored specifically for accounting professionals.

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#FA Success Ep 380: Expanding Capacity For $500M Of Organic AUM Growth In Just 4 Years By Increasing The Density Of Team Talent, With Andrew Leonard

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 380th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Andrew Leonard. Andrew is the Managing Partner of Geometric Wealth Advisors, an RIA based in Washington, D.C., that oversees approximately $750 million in assets under management for about 200 client households. What's unique about Andrew, though, is how his firm has been able to triple its AUM in the past 4 years while offering a high-touch client experience by adopting the a

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Everything I Am

The Irrelevant Investor

The most important thing that determines how successful you are in life cannot be quantified. Success is a loaded word that means different things to everyone. At its core, success is happiness. Hard stop. If you’re rich and miserable, you’re not successful. There’s a hierarchy of happiness. At the foundational level is health. Without that, you have nothing.

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Q&A: AlTi Global CEO on Going Public in a Challenging Market

Wealth Management

Michael Tiedemann talks about taking two companies public via SPAC, raising capital and what he and his partners are building at AlTi Tiedemann Global.

Marketing 124
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NFIB Small Business Survey: Optimism Falls to Lowest Level Since 2012

Advisor Perspectives

The headline number for the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell to 88.5 in March, the lowest level since 20212. The latest reading was worse than the forecast of 88.8 and marked the 27th straight month the index has been below the series average of 98.0.

Numbers 119
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Ron Carson Steps Down as Carson Group CEO

Wealth Management

Managing Partner and Chief Strategy Officer Burt White will take over for Carson as chief executive of the $35.5 billion AUM RIA.

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Avoiding Lease Accounting Pitfalls in 2025: Lessons Learned from Spreadsheet Errors

Speaker: Abdi Ali, Sr. Lease Accounting Consultant

Join this insightful webinar with industry expert Abdi Ali, who will discuss the challenges that can arise from managing lease accounting with spreadsheets! He will share real-world examples of errors, compliance issues, and risks that may be present within your spreadsheets. Learn how these tools, while useful, can sometimes lead to inefficiencies that affect your time, resources, and peace of mind.

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Wednesday: CPI, FOMC Minutes

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for March from the BLS. The consensus is for 0.4% increase in CPI (up 3.5% YoY) and a 0.3% increase in core CPI (up 3.7% YoY).

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RIA Edge Podcast: Jonathan Foster's ‘Open Architecture’ Approach to HNW Markets

Wealth Management

Foster's firm, Angeles Wealth Management, has a 40% compound growth rate without tapping the M&A markets by fostering a “culture of storytellers.

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The Importance Of Diversifying Your Diversifiers

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Bob Elliott who runs the Unlimited HFND Multi-Strategy Return Tracker ETF (HFND) wrote a blog post that could be summed up as diversifying your diversifiers but anchoring your alts bucket around managed futures will get the best result. He referred to the non-managed futures alts at "diversified alpha" but never specified what strategies to include with managed futures.

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Texas Firm, Suspended Rep Are FINRA’s Latest Reg BI Targets

Wealth Management

The brokerage regulator settled two cases related to the SEC’s rule this week; one securities attorney believes FINRA has now established itself as the “primary regulator” of the rule.

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Back to Basics with Reconciliations

Join us in this webinar, where we share best practices on how to think about the reconciliation work each month, when best to do reconciliations, how they should be prepared, and some common pitfalls to avoid. Learning Objectives: This course objective is to understand how to properly prepare and review balance sheet reconciliations and its impact on the financial statements.

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NAIFA’s Revised LUTCF Program Gives Early-Career Insurance Professionals Tools for Success

NAIFA Advisor Today

NAIFA has redesigned and relaunched the Life Underwriting Training Council Fellow (LUTCF®) program, a three-course training series for one of the most sought-after designations in the insurance industry. Since 1984, NAIFA’s LUTCF has prepared more than 70,000 insurance and financial professionals to excel in the industry and is often the first designation successful agents and advisors earn.

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Former Merrill Lynch Advisors Launch $550M Dynasty-Backed RIA

Wealth Management

A group of former Merrill Lynch advisors have launched Fairvoy Private Wealth in Birmingham, Ala.

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Retiring Comfortably: The Conversation with Your Clients

Advisor Perspectives

Having a comprehensive retirement income plan that is regularly updated, accommodates changes in spending needs, inflation, market fluctuations and taxes is crucial for peace of mind in retirement.

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J.P. Morgan Asset Management Solutions Names New CIO of Tax Smart Strategies

Wealth Management

The new role will partly support 55ip, whose CEO, Paul Gamble, revealed last week that he would step down from that post in September.

Assets 115
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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Seminars: Where should you spend your time?

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Bryce Sanders Zoom events are fine, but people still want to engage in person, including at seminars. As much as people want to step away from Zoom and go to in-person events, though, seminars not done well could yield disappointing results and be an inefficient use of your marketing and prospecting time as a financial advisor. To make the most of seminars, avoid these three mistakes and mindsets: Invitations alone aren’t enough.

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LPL Adds $300M Kentucky Team from Ameriprise

Wealth Management

The Somnio Wealth team in Louisville, Ky., joins LPL after 14 years with Ameriprise.

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A Closer Look at Full-time and Part-time Employment

Advisor Perspectives

Let's take a close look at March's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment. The latest data shows that 82.3% of total employed workers are full-time (35+ hours) and 17.

Numbers 91
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Stratos Wealth Brings First Two Affiliates onto Private Wealth Platform

Wealth Management

Heald Financial Advisors and Claricity Wealth became Stratos Private Wealth in its first expansion since the division launched last spring.

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Confronting the Change Challenge

Change is difficult, whether in our private or work life. However, without change, growth and learning are difficult not to mention keeping up with the market and staying competitive. We have all worked for or ourselves are the bosses that prefer to keep the status quo. We will discuss how to address the "change challenge" to enable you to be a changemaker and a graceful recipient of change.

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Animal Spirits: Enjoy the Bull Market While it Lasts

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Pacer ETFs and Fabric by Gerber Life See here for more information on Pacer ETFs Go to meetfabric.com/spirits for more information on life insurance from Fabric by Gerber Life See here for tickets to The Compound and Friends LIVE in Los Angeles On today’s show, we discuss: S&P 500 trackers hit a record 27% of 2023 equity ETF flows What’s wrong with the economy.

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10 Investment Must Reads This Week

Wealth Management

The IMF raised red flags about the growing private credit market. Blackrock’s bitcoin ETF now has almost $18 billion in assets, putting it in the top 3% of all ETFs ever launched. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors.

Investing 103
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Solving the Advisory Firm Turnover Problem

Advisor Perspectives

I offer a collection of observations and beliefs based on my 48 years of experience in the financial services business, which includes stints as either president or CEO of five different TAMPs and a consulting firm.

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An Update on the House Price Battle Royale: Low Inventory vs Affordability

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: An Update on the House Price Battle Royale: Low Inventory vs Affordability A brief excerpt: Almost a year ago I wrote: House Price Battle Royale: Low Inventory vs Affordability. Here is an update as the battle continues! I’ve been wrestling with the impact on house prices of the rapid increase in mortgage rates and monthly payments over the last two years.

Sales 69
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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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Navigating Client Complaints to Minimize Legal and Regulatory Risks

Advisor Perspectives

In this article, I outline five common mistakes RIAs make when addressing complaints and outline best practices for crafting an effective game plan to handle them.

Clients 64
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Moody's: Retail Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q1

Calculated Risk

Note: I covered apartments and offices in the newsletter: Moody's: Apartment Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q1; Office Vacancy Rate at Record High From Moody’s Analytics economists: Apartment and Retail in Holding Pattern, Office Evolution and Stress Continued, And Industrial Fundamentals Leveled Off Q1 2024 data revealed trends similar to those observed in 2023, with retail vacancy rate remaining stable at 10.3%.

Retail 69
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Multiple Jobholders are 5.3% of All Employed

Advisor Perspectives

Multiple jobholders account for 5.3% of civilian employment. The survey captures data for four subcategories of the multi-job workforce, the relative sizes of which we've illustrated in a pie chart.